CT Megathread: Stefanowski skips first debate

[cinyc]

Here's a map of the winner by town. The data is an hour or so old (before New Haven and Hartford became final), but seems to have held up regardless - and there are very few R voters in those two cities, anyway.



Labeled towns had more than 2,000 Republican primary voters.

An interactive version map of the map, with an option to color in how each candidate performed, is available here.

Eventually, I might try to map what place each candidate came in in each town. Boughton generally did worse as you move east from Danbury - ending up in 5th place in some towns on the RI border. That's why he didn't win, despite putting up good numbers in the towns near Danbury (he won Danbury proper by about 2,000 votes).

[cinyc]

Stefanowski welcomes the endorsement

dumb dumb dumb dumb dumb

Nope. Not welcoming the endorsement would make it a bigger issue and cause a wedge with his base. There's a difference between your average anti-Trump Greenwich voter and a pro-Trump supporter from Watertown. Both places exist within the same state.

[cinyc]

Stefanowski welcomes the endorsement

dumb dumb dumb dumb dumb

Nope. Not welcoming the endorsement would make it a bigger issue and cause a wedge with his base. There's a difference between your average anti-Trump Greenwich voter and a pro-Trump supporter from Watertown. Both places exist within the same state.

Ask Dan Carter or Linda McMahon or any republican in the last 10 years how well they did just courting the Watertown Republican voter.  The republicans base in the state is small. If Republicans want to win they have to court democrats and independents which is something republicans in
CT don't get.

Oh, I think Stefanowski does get that he has to reach out to Independents and certain Democrats to win (those with Trump Derangement Syndrome need not apply). But not accepting the Trump endorsement would make it an even bigger issue than it already is. You don't get into a war with the leader of your party, however unpopular he may be in the state - it just doesn't work out well to get into a feud. You say thank you and try to move on - and then try to hang the even more unpopular Democratic governor around your opponent's neck.

Lamont is the favorite to win CT Gov right now. But nothing is guaranteed. It is nowhere close to Safe D, as some Democratic hacks on this website would want you to believe.