Rate Ohio for 2020

[SN2903]

I rate it as Likely R/Safe R. I think Democrats are pretty much finished in Ohio in presidential elections. The state is moving more and more away from them in terms of where the Democratic party is now vs. even 2004 or 2008. I think Wisconsin, PA and Iowa are moving into Lean GOP territory while Minnesota and Michigan are tossups.  The Midwest is simply too white and working class to be favorable to where the democratic party is now.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Tossup

[Rookie Yinzer]

I rate it as Likely R/Safe R. I think Democrats are pretty much finished in Ohio in presidential elections. The state is moving more and more away from them in terms of where the Democratic party is now vs. even 2004 or 2008. I think Wisconsin, PA and Iowa are moving into Lean GOP territory while Minnesota and Michigan are tossups.  The Midwest is simply too white and working class to be favorable to where the democratic party is now.

Are you trolling? LMAO.

Tossup/Tilt R

[here2view]

I rate it as Likely R/Safe R. I think Democrats are pretty much finished in Ohio in presidential elections. The state is moving more and more away from them in terms of where the Democratic party is now vs. even 2004 or 2008. I think Wisconsin, PA and Iowa are moving into Lean GOP territory while Minnesota and Michigan are tossups.  The Midwest is simply too white and working class to be favorable to where the democratic party is now.

Are you trolling? LMAO.

Tossup/Tilt R

[TML]

It's only lean R.

If the result in OH is R+5 or less, then the national result is probably a Democratic win.

[TDAS04]

Lean R.

You should have included options for “Likely D” and “Safe D” (you have “lean D” twice).  I don’t care if the poll is about Hawaii or Wyoming, these polls should include all the options if we’re going to be consistent.

[IceSpear]

Depends on the nominee, political environment, etc.

But I'll say lean R for now, I guess.

[CookieDamage]

Do y'all really have to question whether this person is a troll? It's an obvious yes.

Anyways. I'd say tossup/tilt R

[McGarnagle]

Tossup

[McGarnagle]

Brown is already a lock to defeat Renacci. It's not necessarily anti-Democratic ground. You'd just have to have the right approach and the right candidate for the right moment.

[Grassroots]

Do y'all really have to question whether this person is a troll? It's an obvious yes.

Anyways. I'd say tossup/tilt R

Not 3 or 4 years from now and he might be right. Wipe those smug faces off your heads while you still can.

[SN2903]

I rate it as Likely R/Safe R. I think Democrats are pretty much finished in Ohio in presidential elections. The state is moving more and more away from them in terms of where the Democratic party is now vs. even 2004 or 2008. I think Wisconsin, PA and Iowa are moving into Lean GOP territory while Minnesota and Michigan are tossups.  The Midwest is simply too white and working class to be favorable to where the democratic party is now.

Are you trolling? LMAO.

Tossup/Tilt R

Absolute not. I firmly believe what I wrote. I don't think you can look at where the democratic party is going which is a focus on culture over economics and say that Ohio isn't moving into likely R territory. This board is stuck in the past

[Mr. Illini]

>one down election for Dems in Ohio

DEMS ARE FINISHED IN OHIO!

Lean R.

[Politician]

I rate it as Likely R/Safe R. I think Democrats are pretty much finished in Ohio in presidential elections. The state is moving more and more away from them in terms of where the Democratic party is now vs. even 2004 or 2008. I think Wisconsin, PA and Iowa are moving into Lean GOP territory while Minnesota and Michigan are tossups.  The Midwest is simply too white and working class to be favorable to where the democratic party is now.

Is this the guy who thinks Virginia is still a swing state but Ohio is a safe red state? Lol.

[SingingAnalyst]

Lean R.

You should have included options for “Likely D” and “Safe D” (you have “lean D” twice).  I don’t care if the poll is about Hawaii or Wyoming, these polls should include all the options if we’re going to be consistent.

I agree, I present all options in my polls even if I suspect few will choose them.

[here2view]

I rate it as Likely R/Safe R. I think Democrats are pretty much finished in Ohio in presidential elections. The state is moving more and more away from them in terms of where the Democratic party is now vs. even 2004 or 2008. I think Wisconsin, PA and Iowa are moving into Lean GOP territory while Minnesota and Michigan are tossups.  The Midwest is simply too white and working class to be favorable to where the democratic party is now.

Are you trolling? LMAO.

Tossup/Tilt R

Absolute not. I firmly believe what I wrote. I don't think you can look at where the democratic party is going which is a focus on culture over economics and say that Ohio isn't moving into likely R territory. This board is stuck in the past

If Ohio is so much likely R territory than how come the two term incumbent Democratic Senator there is going to win re-election this Fall?

[cvparty]

tilt r

[😥]

Without Brown on ticket: Lean R
With Brown on ticket: Likely D

[Peanut]

In a 50-50 election, Trump wins it. Tilt R to Lean R.

[Gillibrand/Brown 2020]

Lean D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems aren't finished in OH, obviously the GOP has sewn up Iowa, not Ohio.

[pbrower2a]

More R than the US as a whole, but far from enough to offset the landslide defeat of President Trump in 2020.

[Ohioguy29]

It really depends who the Democratic nominee is. I put lean R, closely to Likely R than tossup. But with the right nominee that could all change.

[Karpatsky]

It really depends who the Democratic nominee is. I put lean R, closely to Likely R than tossup. But with the right nominee that could all change.

This is a good take. Given a totally generic race, we can call it lean R, but it could very easily become Likely R or Lean D depending on the nominee.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tim Ryan with Cory Booker and Governor Cordray, will take Ohio out of play.