Which one of these scenarios is most likely in 2020? (user search)
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  Which one of these scenarios is most likely in 2020? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which one of these scenarios is most likely in 2020?
#1
Trump wins Pennsylvania		  
#2
The Democrat wins Florida		  
#3
Trump wins Michigan		  
#4
The Democrat wins Pennsylvania		  
#5
Trump wins Iowa		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: Which one of these scenarios is most likely in 2020?  (Read 700 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 88,743
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: August 15, 2018, 03:12:06 PM »
Quote from: mathstatman on August 15, 2018, 10:22:16 AM
I agree; Trump is Trump. People like him or don't like him. For Trump to lose Iowa, a LOT of votes would have to flip. The other four scenarios would require little if any vote switching.

Sabato has taken Iowa as well as Ohio out of the Lean R category to tossup. Reynolds can lose in a big enough wage. So, can Ducey as well. It's unlikely, due to Wolf's magin, 60-40 that Trump wins PA, again, since its a +4 Democratic state, COOK PVI.
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