Rate Pinellas County, Florida

[christian peralta]

From 1948 until 1992 (with the exception of 1964), Pinellas voted Republican, then it became a swing county voting democratic in 1996, 2000, 2008 and 2012, and republican in 2004 and 2016

Year   Republican   Democratic   Third parties
2016   48.08% 239,201   46.98% 233,701   4.94% 24,583
2012   46.45% 213,258   52.08% 239,104   1.47% 6,750
2008   45.16% 210,066   53.38% 248,299   1.46% 6,787
2004   49.56% 225,686   49.51% 225,460   0.92% 4,211
2000   46.38% 184,849   50.35% 200,657   3.27% 13,020
1996   40.44% 152,155   49.10% 184,748   10.46% 39,369
1992   37.63% 159,121   37.96% 160,528   24.41% 103,202
1988   57.76% 211,049   41.72% 152,420   0.52% 1,901
1984   65.16% 240,612   34.82% 128,574   0.02% 63
1980   53.83% 185,728   40.12% 138,428   6.04% 20,847
1976   50.75% 150,003   48.00% 141,879   1.25% 3,687
1972   69.83% 179,541   30.02% 77,197   0.15% 378
1968   51.71% 109,235   32.29% 68,209   16.01% 33,814
1964   44.98% 80,414   55.02% 98,381   
1960   63.68% 101,779   36.32% 58,054

[wesmoorenerd]

Tossup, although gun to my head the Dem wins

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

God d@mnit you people need to include tilt, that said, tilt dem.

[Very Legal & Very Cool]

Likely D. I expect suburbs to swing hard against Republicans.

[TML]

One prominent Democratic strategist in Florida believes that without Comey’s late intervention, Hillary would have narrowly won Pinellas.

I’m going with tilt-to-lean D for now.

[SingingAnalyst]

Lean D. In the last few election cycles it has been a bit more Dem than FL as a whole.

[pbrower2a]

Drifting D, like most of suburban America. "Saint Pete" isn't even the majority of the county in population.   

[Senator-elect Spark]

Toss-up

[JGibson]

Tilt D.

[Fuzzy Bear]

It will probably go Democratic, but just barely, and that depends a bit on the candidate.

Pinellas, Orange, and Broward Counties were once the bedrock of FL Republicans.  Orange and Broward are solid Democratic and Pinellas is moving that way.  Sarasota and Seminole Counties are next.