Rate New Hampshire in 2020
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Poll
Question: This
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Lean D		  
#3
Likely D		  
#4
Tossup		  
#5
Likely R		  
#6
Lean R		  
#7
Safe R		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 91

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Rate New Hampshire in 2020  (Read 1933 times)
christian peralta
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« on: August 15, 2018, 09:38:56 PM »
New Hampshire went narrowly to Hillary in 2016, Trump approval ratings in that state are low right now (in contrast with Sununu ratings), but everything can happen
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Sirius_
Ninja0428
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E: -2.00, S: -7.91


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« Reply #1 on: August 15, 2018, 09:40:44 PM »
Why two options?
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SN2903
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« Reply #2 on: August 15, 2018, 09:51:39 PM »
Tossup/Lean R depending on the economy. If it stays like this Lean R. Power of incumbency should be enough for Trump there in 2020.
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Pericles
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« Reply #3 on: August 15, 2018, 09:53:09 PM »
Tossup in a competitive election.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #4 on: August 15, 2018, 10:30:05 PM »
Lean D. 2016 was the perfect storm for Trump, and he still fell short.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« Reply #5 on: August 15, 2018, 11:03:58 PM »
Pure Tossup


I’m also going to make this Bold Prediction, NH will vote to the right of MI in 2020
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TDAS04
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2018, 12:04:47 AM »
Lean D.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2018, 12:25:32 AM »
Quote from: Old School Republican on August 15, 2018, 11:03:58 PM
Pure Tossup


I’m also going to make this Bold Prediction, NH will vote to the right of MI in 2020
As it did in every election from time out of mind, until 2016.
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McGarnagle
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« Reply #8 on: August 16, 2018, 03:43:32 AM »
Lean D

It was winnable for him in 2016 and he fell short there. He's in no better position now and I don't see him getting 46% (let alone more) of the popular vote again. I could see a more moderate Republican winning the state in the future but I'm gonna go out on a limb and say that I think it will continue to go Democratic for the next two or three elections.
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Skunk
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« Reply #9 on: August 16, 2018, 03:47:09 AM »
Color me skeptical Trump has good chances of winning a state he called a "drug infested den".

But then again he called Iowa voters stupid and they didn't care, so who knows.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: August 16, 2018, 11:06:17 AM »
Tilt D with Shaheen on the ballot
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #11 on: August 16, 2018, 11:37:35 AM »
Lean D with respect to the US as a whole, which means that it will be about 2% more D than the national average. President Trump is going to lose, so Democrats can count on this state being called early on Election Night.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: August 16, 2018, 12:03:51 PM »
Quote from: Skunk on August 16, 2018, 03:47:09 AM
Color me skeptical Trump has good chances of winning a state he called a "drug infested den".

But then again he called Iowa voters stupid and they didn't care, so who knows.

Not to mention he said the latter far closer to the election than he said the former. And not only did he win Iowa, he won it in a landslide.

Hey, maybe if he called NH a drug infested den in 2016 he could've pulled it out. Wink
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DaWN
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« Reply #13 on: August 16, 2018, 12:06:35 PM »
Lean D

Winnable for Trump if he/the GOP are having a pretty good or better year but otherwise probably not. Also his approval ratings have been pretty dire in NH iirc.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #14 on: August 16, 2018, 12:12:58 PM »
Lean D since he will lose ... however, NH is a tiny, insignificant state that people REALLY shouldn't worry about as much (some more than others, for sure). Smiley
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: August 16, 2018, 12:17:25 PM »
Quote from: RINO Tom on August 16, 2018, 12:12:58 PM
Lean D since he will lose ... however, NH is a tiny, insignificant state that people REALLY shouldn't worry about as much (some more than others, for sure). Smiley

If only you applied that same logic to your WV obsession. Wink
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #16 on: August 16, 2018, 12:18:57 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 16, 2018, 12:17:25 PM
Quote from: RINO Tom on August 16, 2018, 12:12:58 PM
Lean D since he will lose ... however, NH is a tiny, insignificant state that people REALLY shouldn't worry about as much (some more than others, for sure). Smiley

If only you applied that same logic to your WV obsession. Wink

LOL, yeah, MY obsession.
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here2view
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« Reply #17 on: August 16, 2018, 12:32:09 PM »
Lean D. I don't think Trump wins any states in 2020 that he didn't win in 2016, much like Obama his second time around.
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #18 on: August 16, 2018, 02:45:20 PM »
Isn't Likely supposed to be stronger than Lean ?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #19 on: August 16, 2018, 02:45:58 PM »
If Shaheen wasn't on the ballot, it could be vulnerable, but she is.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #20 on: August 16, 2018, 02:49:58 PM »
Trump wins by 3.
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Sirius_
Ninja0428
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« Reply #21 on: August 16, 2018, 04:18:54 PM »
Quote from: RINO Tom on August 16, 2018, 12:12:58 PM
Lean D since he will lose ... however, NH is a tiny, insignificant state that people REALLY shouldn't worry about as much (some more than others, for sure). Smiley
Well you could argue that it cost Gore the 2000 election even though Florida is the more famous one.
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
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« Reply #22 on: August 16, 2018, 04:26:31 PM »
Hillary underperformed with Angry Women because of Bill's history, which is also why Gore lost in 2000. The next Democratic candidate won't have that issue.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #23 on: August 16, 2018, 04:31:39 PM »
Quote from: My Immortal on August 16, 2018, 04:26:31 PM
Hillary underperformed with Angry Women because of Bill's history, which is also why Gore lost in 2000. The next Democratic candidate won't have that issue.
^^^ This. And this is why I believe those who feel Gore should have let Clinton campaign with him and for him, and perhaps select a different VP, however sincere they might be, are incorrect. As much as many of us look back fondly on the Clinton years now, in 2000 the Clinton "brand" was poison to many voters.
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cvparty
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« Reply #24 on: August 16, 2018, 04:32:55 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on August 16, 2018, 02:45:58 PM
If Shaheen wasn't on the ballot, it could be vulnerable, but she is.
jeanne’s mega coattails
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