Predict the popular vote % for the Democratic nominee in 2020
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  Predict the popular vote % for the Democratic nominee in 2020		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Predict the popular vote % for the Democratic nominee in 2020?
#1
50+ %		  
#2
48-50 %		  
#3
46-48%		  
#4
44-46%		  
#5
42-44%		  
#6
Under 42 %		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 42

Author Topic: Predict the popular vote % for the Democratic nominee in 2020  (Read 530 times)
SN2903
Junior Chimp
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« on: August 15, 2018, 09:58:55 PM »
I say 46-48%.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2018, 12:29:19 AM »
50-51%. 75 million, numerically.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2018, 12:59:40 AM »
My take:

The economy will be roaring in 2020, and the public will be sick of hearing about Dem manufactured Trump scandals. Mueller will have exonerated Trump and the public will have forgiven the N word tape and understand that Trump has grown as a person. Kamala Harris' white guilt tripping costs her dearly and Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire, Florida, and even possibly Virginia, New Jersey, and New Hampshire vote against her. Trump wins with at least 50%.

ANYWAYS, Dem beats Trump again let's be real folks.
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TML
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2018, 01:01:36 AM »
If the Democrats choose Sanders or someone in his mold, the percentage will exceed 55.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2018, 01:22:51 AM »
Anything between 49.5% to 53.5%. Voted 50+%. 71-74 million votes.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2018, 01:28:29 AM »
Quote from: TML on August 16, 2018, 01:01:36 AM
If the Democrats choose Sanders or someone in his mold, the percentage will exceed 55.

Lmao. I...
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2018, 01:58:16 AM »
48-50

Same with Trump

There will be WAY less third party votes, making both get 48-50 percent
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McGarnagle
SomethingPolitical
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« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2018, 04:08:29 AM »
« Edited: August 16, 2018, 04:20:36 AM by SomethingPolitical »
52%, almost exactly.

Trump will receive between 40 and 41%.

A third party or independent candidate, possibly Kasich, will receive between 5 and 6%.

Democratic 350+ EV win, closest states are Iowa, Ohio and Georgia (all D by close margins). Texas goes R but unexpectedly is the 4th closest state, 48%-45%.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #8 on: August 16, 2018, 01:54:08 PM »
Over 50%, even if Trump wins the Electoral College again, what I doubt. Probably 51% or 52%, the ceiling is around 54%.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: August 16, 2018, 02:36:13 PM »
Quote from: morgankingsley on August 16, 2018, 01:58:16 AM
48-50

Same with Trump

There will be WAY less third party votes, making both get 48-50 percent
I agree. I think that the popular vote will be very close but Trump does the same or even slightly better in the EC in 16.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: August 16, 2018, 02:46:52 PM »
I predict 305 vote electoral victory for Avenetti or Cory Booker for President, along with Veep running mate Tim Ryan.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11 on: August 18, 2018, 05:23:25 PM »
« Edited: August 19, 2018, 06:37:52 PM by Progressive Pessimist »
48-51%. I'm fairly certain that they will beat Trump (again) in the popular vote but could lose the Electoral College again.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #12 on: August 18, 2018, 06:41:45 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on August 18, 2018, 05:23:25 PM
48-51%. I'm fairly certain that they will beat Trump (again) in the Popular Vote but could lose the Electoral College again.
I'm concerned about that too. If Dems pick up MI-PA and nothing else, all it would take is 1 faithless GOP elector to send the election to the House.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: August 18, 2018, 08:54:25 PM »
52%
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