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Author Topic: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11  (Read 867 times)
Kamala/Beto 2020
dfwlibertylover
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« on: August 16, 2018, 03:08:00 pm »

https://www.illinoispoliticsblog.com/single-post/PRITZKER-LEADS-RAUNER-BY-11-POINTS-IN-LATEST-ILLINOIS-POLL-PritzkerE28099s-lead-down-from-15-points-six-weeks-ago

The poll of 1208 likely Illinois general election voters was conducted August 12-14, 2018. The margin of error is 2.8%. The poll was conducted by live callers and answered on both land lines (614) and cell phones (594).

Pritzker - 41%
Rauner - 30%
McCann - 9%
Jackson - 2%
Undecided - 18%
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2018, 03:18:24 pm »

Pritzker was at 45% in their last poll. Rauner gaining ground.
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« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2018, 03:19:57 pm »

Pritzker will win 56-44%
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2018, 03:21:57 pm »

Quote
Geographically, outside of Cook County, McCanns candidacy hits double digit support in the areas of the state where Governor Rauner performed the best in 2016 when he defeated Governor Pat Quinn.

In Northern Illinois, for example, Rauner defeated Quinn by twenty percentage points in 2016 (57.9%-37.8%). In the poll, Rauner is ahead of Pritzker by less than four percentage points (38.5%-34.6%), with McCann breaking double digits at 10.8%. In Central Illinois in 2016, Rauner crushed Quinn by almost thirty percentage points (61.8%-32.6%). Now, Rauner and Pritzker are locked in a dead heat in the region (33.3%-32.4%), with McCann at 15%. Finally, in Southern Illinois, the area of Rauners greatest margin in 2016 (62.2%- 32.2%), the three candidates are locked in a virtual tie, (Pritzker 27.3%, Rauner 27.3%, McCann 23.4%), according to the poll.

If Rauner hadnt alienated his conservative base, this would have been an embarrassingly small margin of victory for Pritzker. Heck, its embarrassing even now. Still Safe D, though.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2018, 03:22:18 pm »

Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. Smiley
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olowakandi
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2018, 03:27:16 pm »

It's the Midwest WI, MI, and IL don't have blowout victories.  Evers, Whitmer and Pritzker should win around 53-47%.
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2018, 03:31:27 pm »

Strange poll that understates Pritzker's performance. He will get at least 55%, which is a solid base of Democratic support in this friendly enviornment. McCann might sink Rauner below 40% though. Worst case scenario for Rauner is 55-35-10%. Safe Democratic anyway.
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« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2018, 03:32:34 pm »

I'm really nervous to be honest
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #8 on: August 16, 2018, 03:41:57 pm »

New Poll: Illinois Governor by Victory Research on 2018-08-14

Summary: D: 41%, R: 30%, U: 20%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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« Reply #9 on: August 16, 2018, 03:48:16 pm »

Safe D, of course.
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« Reply #10 on: August 16, 2018, 05:36:08 pm »

It's still Likely D.
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« Reply #11 on: August 16, 2018, 05:40:37 pm »

Safe D to Likely D for me.
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« Reply #12 on: August 16, 2018, 06:37:48 pm »

Safe D, but I hope that the Democrats primary Pritzker in 2022.
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« Reply #13 on: August 16, 2018, 06:53:24 pm »

The bumpkins of Southern Illinois need to wake up and realize that "Illinois is worth fighting for" - and that ain't gonna happen with McCann.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #14 on: August 16, 2018, 07:31:11 pm »

IL is an Obama state, Safe D
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #15 on: August 16, 2018, 07:53:18 pm »

IL is an Obama state, Safe D

Stellar #analysis. Sen. Giannoulias and Gov. Quinn agree.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #16 on: August 16, 2018, 07:55:07 pm »

They were scandaled, Hillary won it convincingly
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #17 on: August 16, 2018, 08:00:50 pm »

They were scandaled, Hillary won it convincingly

LOL, please let this become a new forum meme.
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« Reply #18 on: August 16, 2018, 08:08:15 pm »

Does that mean that Pritzker might lose if he too gets scandaled?
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olowakandi
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« Reply #19 on: August 16, 2018, 08:09:58 pm »

No, Rauner is a billionaire and is a GOPer, unfortunately for him he has an R next his name. IL is an Obama state and hates Trump.  Rauner is looked upon as the same as Trump. 
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« Reply #20 on: August 16, 2018, 08:11:21 pm »

No, Rauner is a billionaire and is a GOPer, unfortunately for him he has an R next his name. IL is an Obama state and hates Trump.  Rauner is looked upon as the same as Trump. 

Good thing his opponent totally isn't a billionaire.
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« Reply #21 on: August 16, 2018, 08:25:38 pm »

Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. Smiley

God, I wish. Only good outcome from this mess.
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« Reply #22 on: August 16, 2018, 08:41:02 pm »

What those subtabs tell me is Pritzker has a lot of room to grow in Chicago and Cook County.
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« Reply #23 on: August 16, 2018, 08:59:05 pm »

Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. Smiley

God, I wish. Only good outcome from this mess.

It's more of a question of when than if.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #24 on: August 17, 2018, 02:04:15 am »

Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. Smiley

Lock him up! Lock him up!
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