Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 19, 2019, 02:00:48 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | | |-+  MI GOV:WJML/Strategic National—Whitmer +9
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: MI GOV:WJML/Strategic National—Whitmer +9  (Read 813 times)
Littlefinger
Full Member
***
Posts: 117
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 17, 2018, 04:26:40 pm »

45-36 over Shady Schuette. Lean D.

http://strategicnational.com/michigan-statewide-general-election-poll/
« Last Edit: August 17, 2018, 07:29:44 pm by Littlefinger »Logged

#FBS Purple heart

2018
AZ SEN: Krysten Sinema
CA SEN: Kevin De Leon
FL GOV: Andrew Gillum
NV SEN: Jacky Rosen
NY GOV: Cynthia Nixon
OH SEN: Sherrod Brown
PA SEN: Bob Casey
WI SEN: Tammy Baldwin
WI GOV: Tony Evers


2020 Pres:
Sherrod Brown, Jeff Merkley, Kamala Harris

THROW OUT THE IDC!
Pericles
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,654
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2018, 08:01:42 pm »

Totally predictable and unsurprising result yet Atlas will try to unskew this poll('muh sexism')
Logged

libertpaulian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,427
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2018, 08:20:28 pm »

Primary bounce.  Numbers should start to shrink once misogynist blue-collar angry white men come home for Schuette.

/there, said it before LimoLiberal or hoifoid did
Logged

Libertarian temporarily rooting for the Dems until the GOP purges itself of Trumpism.  Before you call me a righty or a leftist, wait until you see my post on an issue.  You'll get whiplash trying to figure me out.

Region Rat.  Libertarian.  ELCA Lutheran.  Juvenile Attorney for the State of Indiana.

2020 Presidential Endorsement: Anyone NOT Trump, a proponent of Bernie-ism, or a proponent of Tumblr SJW-ism.  Weld 2020, I guess.
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,170
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2018, 09:07:31 pm »

Speaking as an elastic WWC populist, I know that 53 year-old blue collar manufacturing white male Detroit Lions fans in Macomb county will swing hard for Schuette, since they'd never vote for Whitlary Clinton. Safe R.
Logged

Wolverine22
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,256
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 17, 2018, 10:44:56 pm »

Speaking as an elastic WWC populist, I know that 53 year-old blue collar manufacturing white male Detroit Lions fans in Macomb county will swing hard for Schuette, since they'd never vote for Whitlary Clinton. Safe R.

Assuming you’re not trolling, Democrats won more votes in Macomb than Republicans.
Logged

 

Congratulations Governor Whitmer! Best of luck over the next four years!

“Whenever Donald Trump appears on TV, it should be preceded by a disclaimer that says ‘This content may not be acceptable for children.’”
-Rep. Maxine Waters (D-CA)

Abolish capital punishment now!

Joe Biden 2020
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 17, 2018, 11:10:37 pm »

OH + IA are next.

Annoying that there are almost no polls from these 2 states.
Logged
libertpaulian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,427
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 17, 2018, 11:17:45 pm »

OH + IA are next.

Annoying that there are almost no polls from these 2 states.
Think Dems have a chance in IA?
Logged

Libertarian temporarily rooting for the Dems until the GOP purges itself of Trumpism.  Before you call me a righty or a leftist, wait until you see my post on an issue.  You'll get whiplash trying to figure me out.

Region Rat.  Libertarian.  ELCA Lutheran.  Juvenile Attorney for the State of Indiana.

2020 Presidential Endorsement: Anyone NOT Trump, a proponent of Bernie-ism, or a proponent of Tumblr SJW-ism.  Weld 2020, I guess.
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 17, 2018, 11:21:26 pm »

OH + IA are next.

Annoying that there are almost no polls from these 2 states.
Think Dems have a chance in IA?

I think so.

The last poll there is half a year old, but in the meantime Democrats have made huge voter registration gains and almost closed the gap with the Republicans there, after being down 70.000 voters a few months ago. And Gov. Reynolds (R) has only approval ratings that are slightly above water. Plus, Hubbell (D) is well-funded.

I think the next polls will show a close-ish race.
Logged
libertpaulian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,427
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 17, 2018, 11:23:18 pm »

OH + IA are next.

Annoying that there are almost no polls from these 2 states.
Think Dems have a chance in IA?

I think so.

The last poll there is half a year old, but in the meantime Democrats have made huge voter registration gains and almost closed the gap with the Republicans there, after being down 70.000 voters a few months ago. And Gov. Reynolds (R) has only approval ratings that are slightly above water. Plus, Hubbell (D) is well-funded.

I think the next polls will show a close-ish race.
What an evening it would be if the Dems swept all of the Midwestern gubernatorial races (with the exception of SD and NE of course)!
Logged

Libertarian temporarily rooting for the Dems until the GOP purges itself of Trumpism.  Before you call me a righty or a leftist, wait until you see my post on an issue.  You'll get whiplash trying to figure me out.

Region Rat.  Libertarian.  ELCA Lutheran.  Juvenile Attorney for the State of Indiana.

2020 Presidential Endorsement: Anyone NOT Trump, a proponent of Bernie-ism, or a proponent of Tumblr SJW-ism.  Weld 2020, I guess.
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 388


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 17, 2018, 11:30:58 pm »

OH + IA are next.

Annoying that there are almost no polls from these 2 states.
Think Dems have a chance in IA?

I think so.

The last poll there is half a year old, but in the meantime Democrats have made huge voter registration gains and almost closed the gap with the Republicans there, after being down 70.000 voters a few months ago. And Gov. Reynolds (R) has only approval ratings that are slightly above water. Plus, Hubbell (D) is well-funded.

I think the next polls will show a close-ish race.
What an evening it would be if the Dems swept all of the Midwestern gubernatorial races (with the exception of SD and NE of course)!

I expect Noem in SD to win by about 10 points, a win but a significant underperformance (Daugaard won by 45 points in 2014).  There's been one poll of the race, and it showed Noem ahead by 4, but I think a 10 point margin sounds about right in the end - Sutton is a better recruit than normal in SD, by a long shot, but will still fall short.
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,307
Australia


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 17, 2018, 11:33:07 pm »

Don't know the pollster's track record, but this is definitely a Lean D sort of race IMO. 2016 nowithstanding Michigan is generally Democratic, it's a Democratic year and Snyder's unpopularity can't help either.
Logged

Joshua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,443
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 18, 2018, 12:07:00 am »

Since when have Nebraska and South Dakota been in the Midwest?
Logged
libertpaulian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,427
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 18, 2018, 12:31:18 am »

Since when have Nebraska and South Dakota been in the Midwest?
Since forever.
Logged

Libertarian temporarily rooting for the Dems until the GOP purges itself of Trumpism.  Before you call me a righty or a leftist, wait until you see my post on an issue.  You'll get whiplash trying to figure me out.

Region Rat.  Libertarian.  ELCA Lutheran.  Juvenile Attorney for the State of Indiana.

2020 Presidential Endorsement: Anyone NOT Trump, a proponent of Bernie-ism, or a proponent of Tumblr SJW-ism.  Weld 2020, I guess.
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,562
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 18, 2018, 02:24:51 am »

Speaking as an elastic WWC populist, I know that 53 year-old blue collar manufacturing white male Detroit Lions fans in Macomb county will swing hard for Schuette, since they'd never vote for Whitlary Clinton. Safe R.

LOL.

Anyway yeah, this is unsurprising. I've been convinced Whitmer was heavily favored ever since polls showed her leading Schuette even when she had like 20% name recognition.

It's also worth noting that Schuette has a 39-51 favorability rating while Whitmer is at 54-34. Looks like the scandals are taking their toll on Shady Schuette.
« Last Edit: August 18, 2018, 02:40:19 am by Anarcho Communists 4 Heller »Logged

Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,562
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 18, 2018, 02:31:50 am »

New Poll: Michigan Governor by Strategic National on 2018-08-14

Summary: D: 45%, R: 36%, U: 19%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged

The Inevitable Kevin Stitt
Mizzouian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,569
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 18, 2018, 02:32:18 am »

Speaking as an elastic WWC populist, I know that 53 year-old blue collar manufacturing white male Detroit Lions fans in Macomb county will swing hard for Schuette, since they'd never vote for Whitlary Clinton. Safe R.

LOL.

Anyway yeah, this is unsurprising. I've been convinced Whitmer was heavily favored ever since polls showed her leading Schuette even when she had like 20% name recognition.

MT Treasurer was floored that I put it at Leans D last year solely based on the fundamentals of an unpopular Trump and an unpopular Snyder. Lol. It was almost akin to suggesting that Heller, Tester or Molly Kelly could lose
« Last Edit: August 18, 2018, 03:12:23 am by RubioRepublican »Logged
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,376
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 18, 2018, 02:58:59 am »

Speaking as an elastic WWC populist, I know that 53 year-old blue collar manufacturing white male Detroit Lions fans in Macomb county will swing hard for Schuette, since they'd never vote for Whitlary Clinton. Safe R.

LOL.

Anyway yeah, this is unsurprising. I've been convinced Whitmer was heavily favored ever since polls showed her leading Schuette even when she had like 20% name recognition.

MT Treasurer was floored that I put it at Leans D Lat hell year solely based on the fundamentals of an unpopular Trump and an unpopular Snyder. Lol. It was almost akin to suggesting that Heller, Tester or Molly Kelly could lose

Whitmer is still easily more likely to lose than Heller and Tester combined (also, Schuette stronger candidate than ROSENdale), and her retail politics and charisma leave much to be desired (*cough* Heitkamp *cough*), but I agree that this is definitely Lean D at this point.
Logged

populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
kph14
Full Member
***
Posts: 206
Germany


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 18, 2018, 07:28:53 am »

Speaking as an elastic WWC populist, I know that 53 year-old blue collar manufacturing white male Detroit Lions fans in Macomb county will swing hard for Schuette, since they'd never vote for Whitlary Clinton. Safe R.

LOL.

Anyway yeah, this is unsurprising. I've been convinced Whitmer was heavily favored ever since polls showed her leading Schuette even when she had like 20% name recognition.

MT Treasurer was floored that I put it at Leans D Lat hell year solely based on the fundamentals of an unpopular Trump and an unpopular Snyder. Lol. It was almost akin to suggesting that Heller, Tester or Molly Kelly could lose

Whitmer is still easily more likely to lose than Heller and Tester combined (also, Schuette stronger candidate than ROSENdale), and her retail politics and charisma leave much to be desired (*cough* Heitkamp *cough*), but I agree that this is definitely Lean D at this point.
The angry white women™ of Oakland county will put Whitmer over the top easily
Logged
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,562
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 18, 2018, 09:10:50 am »

I wish this poll had crosstabs. I want to see who the Reagan Democrats are voting for. Smiley
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines