2020 Senate election: process and result

[😥]

9th June
VIRGINIA PRIMARY

Democratic Party: (5% Reporting)
Mark Warner 67,16%
Donald McEachin 32,84%

Democratic Party: (50% Reporting)
Mark Warner 72,07%
Donald McEachin 27,93%

Democratic Party: (99% Reporting)
Mark Warner 73,19%
Donald McEachin 26,81%

Latest polls
M.Warner---D.McEachin---???         Date
        65                  26             9     18/04-29/04
        67                  25             8     05/05-23/05
        67                  25             8     01/06-07/06

Republican Party: (5% Reporting)
Ed Gillespie 61,37%
Corey Stewart 38,63%

Republican Party: (50% Reporting)
Ed Gillespie 60,82%
Corey Stewart 39,18%

Republican Party: (99% Reporting)
Ed Gillispie 60,11%
Corey Stewart 39,89%

Latest polls
No polls


Final results

Democratic Party:
Mark Warner 74,08%
Donald McEachin 25,92%

Republican Party
Ed Gillispie 62,76%
Corey Stewart 27,24%


General election
Mark Warner (D) inc.
Ed Gillespie (R)
Other

Latest polls (last month)
M.Warner---E.Gillespie---???          Date
        57                 37           6      12/05-22/05
        59                 34           7      20/05-27/05
        60                 33           7      24/05-30/05
        59                 36           5      02/05-08/05
        61                 33           6      03/05-07/05  

[😥]

18th June
Breaking news: Sherrod Brown is presumptive Democratic nominee for President




Sherrod Brown wins Democratic primaries for President over 5 candidates, who remained after Iowa and New Hampshire
This candidates was:
1) Elizabeth Warren suspended campaign after California primary
2) Kamala Harris suspended campaign after Super Tuesday IV (May primary), endorsed Brown
3) Jeff Merkley suspended campaign after Oregon primary, endorsed Warren
4) Kirsten Gillibrand suspended campaign after Super Tuesday I, endorsed Brown
5) Cory Booker suspended campaign after South Carolina primary, make no endorsement

Map

Sherrod Brown 41% of the vote
Kamala Harris 24% of the vote
Elizabeth Warren 22% of the vote
Jeff Merkley 6% of the vote
Other   7% of the vote

GE polling
D.Trump/M.Pence (R)---S.Brown/unknown (D)
             43                                       50    
             44                                       49                              
             43                                       49

Average GE map:

Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) inc. 170 EV
Sherrod Brown/unknown (D) 242 EV
Tossup 126 EV




Sherrod Brown's potential running mates

1) Kirsten Gillibrand
Age: 53
U.S. Senator from New York since 2009, former 2020 Presidential candidate


2) Andrew Gillum
Age: 40
Governor of Florida since 2019

3) Cory Booker
Age: 51
U.S. Senator from New Jersey since 2013, former 2020 Presidential candidate


4) Kamala Harris
Age: 55
U.S. Senator from California since 2017, former 2020 Presidential candidate


5) Steve Bullock
Age: 54
Governor of Montana since 2013


6) Joe Donnelly
Age: 64
U.S. Senator from Indiana since 2013


7) Bob Casey Jr.
Age: 60
U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania since 2007


Gretchen Whitmer
Age: 48
Governor of Michigan since 2019


9) Beto O'Rourke
Age: 47
Former U.S. Representative from Texas, 2018 senatorial nominee


10) Roy Cooper
Age: 63
Governor of North Carolina since 2017


11) Amy Klobuchar
Age: 60
U.S. Senator from Minnesota since 2007


12) Conor Lamb
Age: 35
U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania since 2018

[😥]

20th June
Breaking news: Roy Cooper refused to be Brown's running mate


He said that would be concentrated on his work by a governor and on his reelection as NC Governor

Breaking news: C.Baker, L.Hogan are possible candidates to be Brown's running mates



"Now, I'm seriously considering the possibility of my run for President with Charlie Baker or Larry Hogan as my running mates. They have really shown an impressive job as governors of Massachusetts and Maryland, respectively. Our positions coincide with many issues, I see a real interaction in the future. My press service has already sent the appropriate letters to Hogan and Baker asking them to think about the proposal, the answers have not yet been received. Will wait. My official vice president shortlist will be posted within a week"--- winner of Democratic presidential primaries, presumptive Democratic nominee for President Sherrod Brown

[😥]

23th June
COLORADO PRIMARY

Democratic Party: (5% Reporting)
John Salazar 39,76%
Cary Kennedy 38,01%
Dianne Primavera 22,23%

Democratic Party: (50% Reporting)
John Salazar 40,03%
Cary Kennedy 38,43%
Dianne Primavera 21,54%

Democratic Party: (99% Reporting)
John Salazar 39,76%
Cary Kennedy 39,03%
Dianne Primavera 21,21%

Latest polls
J.Salazar---C.Kennedy---D.Primavera---???            Date
       35                 35                    20            10      10/06-19/06  
       31                 41                    19             9       12/06-21/06
       30                 43                    20             7       12/06-22/06

Republican Party:
Cory Gardner 100%

Final results

Democratic Party
John Salazar 39,81%
Cary Kennedy 39,05%
Dianne Primavera 21,14%

Republican Party
Cory Gardner 100%


General election
Cory Gardner (R) inc.
John Salazar (D)
Other

Latest polls (last month)
C.Gardner---J.Salazar---???          Date
        46                46          6       24/05-21/06
        47                46          7       27/05-11/06
        47                45          8       27/05-20/06 (D-Salazar)
        48                45          7       29/05-10/06
        48                45          7       02/06-11/06 (D-Salazar)
        49                46          5       05/06-15/06
        50                44          6       05/06-21/06
        50                43          7       09/06-22/06 (R-Gardner)
        50                44          6       10/06-16/06
        51                43          6       12/06-20/06

[😥]

2th June
OKLAHOMA PRIMARY

Democratic Party:
Collin Walke 91,08%
Write-ins 8,92%

Republican Party: (5% Reporting)
Markwayne Mullin 18,87%
Scott Pruitt 24,02%
Steve Russell 57,11%

Republican Party: (50% Reporting)
Markwayne Mullin 30,45%
Scott Pruitt 47,13%
Steve Russell 22,42%

Republican Party: (99% Reporting)
Markwayne Mullin 39,13%
Scott Pruitt 30,50%
Steve Russell 30,37%

Latest polls
M.Mullin---S.Pruitt---S.Russell---???            Date
       28              27              27         18       17/05-29/05
       31              34              35          ---       19/05-01/06
       32              28              31          9        22/05-31/05

Final results

Democratic Party
Collin Walke 92,11%
Write-ins 7,89%

Republican Party
Markwayne Mullin 39,18%   advanced to run-off
Steve Russell 30,42%           advanced to run-off
Scott Pruitt 30,40%




General election
TBD on 25th August (R)
Collin Walke (D)

Latest polls
No polls

[😥]

Official list of Brown's (potential) running mates

1) Kirsten Gillibrand
Age: 53
U.S. Senator from New York since 2009, former 2020 Presidential candidate


2) Andrew Gillum
Age: 40
Governor of Florida since 2019


3) Kamala Harris
Age: 55
U.S. Senator from California since 2017, former 2020 Presidential candidate


4) Steve Bullock
Age: 54
Governor of Montana since 2013


5) Bob Casey Jr.
Age: 60
U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania since 2007


6) Gretchen Whitmer
Age: 48
Governor of Michigan since 2019


7) Jon Tester
Age: 63
U.S. Senator from Montana since 2007


Charlie Baker
Age: 63
Governor of Massachusetts since 2015

9) Chris Murphy
Age: 46
U.S. Senator from Connecticut since 2013


10) Larry Hogan
Age: 64
Governor of Maryland since 2015

[😥]

Brown's VP Shortlist

1) Steve Bullock
Age: 54
Governor of Montana since 2013


2) Bob Casey Jr.
Age: 60
U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania since 2007


3) Charlie Baker
Age: 63
Governor of Massachusetts since 2015


4) Chris Murphy
Age: 46
U.S. Senator from Connecticut since 2013


All four candidtes are white men

----------------------------------------------------
Who should become Brown's VP?

[😥]

12th JulyBreaking news: Sherrod Brown select Steve Bullock as his running mate


General election polling

Sherrod Brown (D-OH)/Steve Bullock (D-MT) 306
Donald Trump (R-NY)/Mike Pence (R-IN) 171
Tossup 61

[😥]

4th August
KANSAS PRIMARY

Democratic Party: (99% Reporting)
Paul Davis 100%

Republican Party: (5% Reporting)
Sam Brownback 21,09%
Lynn Jenkins 36,77%
Ron Estes 22,11%
Kris Kobach 20,03%

Republican Party: (50% Reporting)
Sam Brownback 29,76%
Lynn Jenkins 28,73%
Ron Estes 27,97%
Kris Kobach 13,54%

Republican Party: (99% Reporting)
Sam Brownback 29,64%
Lynn Jenkins 29,59%
Ron Estes 26,86%
Kris Kobach 13,91%

Latest polls
S.Brownback---L.Jenkins---R.Estes---B.Kemp---???           Date
           28                    30              24             14         4       20/07-30/07
           29                    29              25             13         4       24/07-02/08
           27                    30              25             13         5       25/07-01/08

Final results

Democratic Party
Paul Davis 100%

Republican Party
Sam Brownback 29,67%
Lynn Jenkins 29,64%
Ron Estes 27,01%
Kris Kobach 13,68%


General election
Sam Brownback (R)
Paul Davis (D)
Other

Latest polls (last month)
S.Brownback---P.Davis---???           Date
           44                 50         6       06/07-18/07
           43                 51         6       09/07-19/07
           43                 51         6       13/07-23/07
           44                 50         6       14/07-28/07
           44                 49         7       19/07-02/08
           43                 52         5       23/07-03/08

[😥]

4th August
MICHIGAN PRIMARY

Democratic Party: (99% Reporting)
Gary Peters 100%

Republican Party: (5% Reporting)
Dave Trott 58,19%
Justin Amash 41,81%

Republican Party: (50% Reporting)
Dave Trott 51,77%
Justin Amash 48,23%

Republican Party: (99% Reporting)
Dave Trott 54,62%
Justin Amash 45,38%

Latest polls
D.Trott---J.Amash---???         Date
     48             44          8     23/06-10/07
     51             40          9     18/07-02/08 (R-Trott)
     40             52          8     20/07-03/08 (R-Amash)
    
Final results

Democratic Party
Gary Peters 100%

Republican Party
Dave Trott 54,24%
Justin Amash 45,76%


General election
Gary Peters (D) inc.
Dave Trott (R)
Other

Latest polls (last month)
G.Peters---D.Trott---???           Date
      45             45        10      05/07-13/07
      47             45         8       06/07-15/07 (D-Peters)
      48             46         6       08/07-16/07 (D-Peters)
      44             49         7       09/07-16/07 (R-Trott)
      44             50         6       11/07-18/07 (R-Trott)
      43             50         7       12/07-19/07 (R-Trott)
      46             46         8       13/07-21/07
      47             47         6       14/07-20/07
      46             46         8       16/07-23/07
      45             45        10      20/07-01/08
      47             47         6       22/07-30/07
      44             50         6       23/07-03/08 (R-Trott)
      49             44         7       25/08-03/08 (D-Peters)

[😥]

6th August
TENNESSEE PRIMARY

Democratic Party: (5% Reporting)
Andy Berke 69,73%
Lincoln Davis 30,27%

Democratic Party: (5% Reporting)
Andy Berke 71,22%
Lincoln Davis 28,78%

Democratic Party: (99% Reporting)
Andy Berke 72,09%
Lincoln Davis 27,91%

Latest polls
No polls

Republican Party: (5% Reporting)
Bill Haslam 50,16%
Stephen Fincher 26,75%
Dianne Black 23,09%

Republican Party: (50% Reporting)
Bill Haslam 49,76%
Stephen Fincher 27,04%
Dianne Black 23,20%

Republican Party: (99% Reporting)
Bill Haslam 50,97%
Stephen Fincher 26,99%
Dianne Black 22,04%

Latest polls
B.Haslam---D.Black---S.Fincher---???          Date
        50              22               20          8      08/06-19/06
        52              22               23          3      20/06-15/07

Final results

Democratic Party
Andy Berke 72,10%
Lincoln Davis 27,90%

Republican Party
Bill Haslam 51,06%
Stephen Fincher 26,78%
Dianne Black 22,16%


General election
Bill Haslam (R)
Andy Berke (D)
Other

Latest polls
B.Haslam---A.Berke---???           Date
        58               35        7       12/07-18/07
        59               36        5       15/07-28/07
        62               30        8       19/07-01/08 (R-Haslam)
        58               36        6       21/07-04/08  



 

[😥]

11th August
MINNESOTA PRIMARY

Democratic Party: (5% Reporting)
Tina Smith 69,43%
Keith Ellison 30,57%

Democratic Party: (50% Reporting)
Tina Smith 71,03%
Keith Ellison 28,97%

Democratic Party: (99% Reporting)
Tina Smith 73,69%
Keith Ellison 26,31%

Latest polls
T.Smith---K.Ellison---???         Date
      60              31          9     18/07-27/04
      65              28          7     01/08-10/08
       

Republican Party: (5% Reporting)
Michele Bachmann 100%

Republican Party: (50% Reporting)
Michele Bachmann 100%

Republican Party: (99% Reporting)
Michele Bachmann 100%

Latest polls
No polls


Final results

Democratic Party
Tina Smith 73,75%
Keith Ellison 26,25%

Republican Party
Michele Bachmann 100%


General election
Tina Smith (D) inc.
Michele Bachmann (R)
Other

Latest polls (last month)
T.Smith---M.Bachmann---???          Date
      55                   39             6      14/07-28/07
      57                   37             6      18/07-02/08
      56                   37             7      27/07-09/08

[JoeyOCanada]

A bit surprised that Keith Ellison lost by such a wide margin. Loving this man, keep it up!

[😥]

18th August
ALASKA PRIMARY

Final results

Democratic Party
Ethan Berkowitz 100%

Republican Party
Dan Sullivan 100%


General election
Dan Sullivan (R) inc.
Ethan Berkowitz (D)

Latest polls (last month)
D.Sullivan---B.Mallott---???           Date
        47                45          8      20/08-02/09
        48                44          8      24/08-04/09
        47                46          7      26/08-05/08
        48                44          8      01/09-15/09
        49                44          7      03/09-16/09
        49                45          6      06/09-14/09

[UWS]

As we are getting to late August, I guess that Arizona is among the next senate primary states. This will be crucial in the process of fulfilling McCain's senate seat.

[😥]

25th August
ARIZONA PRIMARY

Democratic Party: (5% Reporting)
Ann Kirkpatrick 28,55%
Ruben Gallego 71,45%

Democratic Party: (50% Reporting)
Ann Kirkpatrick 45,68%
Ruben Gallego 54,32%

Democratic Party: (99% Reporting)
Ann Kirkpatrick 50,12%
Ruben Gallego 49,88%

Latest polls
A.Kirkpatrick---R.Gallego---???         Date
           39                  52           9     10/08-18/08
           40                  52           8     12/08-21/08
           40                  51           9     16/08-24/08

Republican Party: (5% Reporting)
Marta McSally 33,19%
Michele Reagan 36,94%
Debbie Lesko 29,87%

Republican Party: (50% Reporting)
Marta McSally 31,10%
Michele Reagan 35,69%
Debbie Lesko 33,21%

Republican Party: (99% Reporting)
Marta McSally 34,25%
Michele Reagan 33,87%
Debbie Lesko 31,88%

Latest polls
M.McSally---M.Reagan---D.Lesko---???            Date
         23                  36              35          6      10/08-18/08
         24                  35              35          6      11/08-24/08
         23                  36              34          7      16/08-24/08


Final results

Democratic Party
Ann Kirkpatrick 50,09%
Ruben Gallego 49,91%

After recount:
Ann Kirkpatrick 50,10%
Ruben Gallego 49,90%

Republican Party
Marta McSally 34,13%
Michele Reagan 33,89%
Debbie Lesko 31,98%

After recount:
Marta McSally 34,11%
Michele Reagan 33,90%
Debbie Lesko 31,99%
      

General election
Marta McSally (R)
Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
Other

Latest polls (last month)
M.McSally---A.Kirkpatrick---???          Date
         51                    43            6      28/07-07/08 (R-McSally)
         49                    44            7      01/08-10/08 (D-Kirkpatrick)
         49                    44            7      05/08-13/08
         51                    44            5      08/08-17/08
         51                    43            6      10/08-19/08
         50                    45            5      14/08-23/08
         49                    46            5      17/08-24/08

[😥]

8th September
MASSACHUSETTS PRIMARY

Democratic Party: (99% Reporting)
Niki Tsongas 83,92%
Write-ins 16,08%

Republican Party: (5% Reporting)
Charlie Baker 49,11%
Scott Brown 50,89%

Republican Party: (50% Reporting)
Charlie Baker 54,20%
Scott Brown 45,80%

Republican Party: (99% Reporting)
Charlie Baker 55,93%
Scott Brown 44,07%

Latest polls
C.Baker---S.Brown---???         Date
      46             46          8     23/06-10/07
      40             53          7     18/07-02/08 (R-Brown)
      45             47          8     20/07-03/08
    
Final results

Democratic Party
Niki Tsongas 83,81%
Write-ins 16,19%

Republican Party
Charlie Baker 55,76%
Scott Brown 44,24%


General election
Niki Tsongas (D)
Charlie Baker (R)
Other

Latest polls (last month)
N.Tsongas---C.Baker---???           Date
         47               47         6       10/08-19/08
         46               46         8       10/08-23/08
         46               47         7       13/08-24/08
         50               44         6       15/08-25/08 (D-Tsongas)
         48               44         8       17/08-26/08
         47               47         6       21/08-01/09
         45               47         8       24/08-04/09
         43               50         7       25/08-04/09 (R-Baker)
         45               46         9       27/08-07/09

[😥]

8th September
DELAWARE PRIMARY

Final results

Democratic Party
Chris Coons 100%

Republican Party
Rocky De La Fuente 100%


General election
Chris Coons (D) inc.
Rocky De La Fuente (R)

Latest polls (last month)
No polls

[😥]

8th September
NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY

Final results

Democratic Party
Carol Shea-Porter 100%

Republican Party
Kelly Ayotte 100%


General election
Carol Shea-Porter (D)
Kelly Ayotte (R)

Latest polls (last month)
C.Shea-Porter---K.Ayotte---???            Date
            47                   47         6       10/08-18/08
            44                   47         9       10/08-20/08
            45                   46         9       10/08-21/08
            44                   48         8       13/08-25/08
            45                   47         8       16/08-26/08
            47                   46         7       18/08-01/09
            46                   46         8       23/08-03/09
            48                   46         6       26/08-03/09
            47                   47         6       30/08-06/09
            45                   47         8       02/09-07/09
   

[😥]

8th September
RHODE ISLAND PRIMARY

Final results

Democratic Party
Jack Reed 100%

Republican Party
Mark Zaccaria 100%


General election
Jack Reed (D) inc.
Mark Zaccaria (R)

Latest polls (last month)
No polls

[😥]

                 ELECTION NIGHT
3th November
6:00 PM

POLLS CLOSED in INDIANA and KENTUCKY

Exit polls

KENTUCKY SENATE
Alison Lungergan Grimes 49% (D)
Mitch McConnell 48% (R) inc.


HOUSE RACES

KY-06
DEM* 52%
REP 47%
*- incumbent

[UWS]

It was obvious that Haslam would run for Senate in 2020 if Alexander retires. And nice choice by the Massachusetts Republicans to nominate Charlie Baker. He seems to be making the senate race there very competitive.

[😥]

                          ELECTION NIGHT
3th November
6:20 - 6:59 PM

Kentucky Senate race

6:20 (12% Reporting)
Alison Lundergan Grimes 48,93%
Mitch McConnell 48,62%

6:40 (27% Reporting)
Mitch McConnell 51,23%
Alison Lundergan Grimes 47,05%

6:50 (36% Reporting)
Mitch McConnell 52,19%
Alison Lundergan Grimes 46,11%

6:59 (43% Reporting)
Mitch McConnell 52,06%
Alison Lundergan Grimes 46,13%

[😥]

                          ELECTION NIGHT
3th November
7:00 PM

POLLS CLOSED in FLORIDA, GEORGIA, SOUTH CAROLINA, VIRGINIA, VERMONT

Exit polls

GEORGIA SENATE
Teresa Tomlinson 51%
Karen Handel 48%

SOUTH CAROLINA SENATE
Lindsey Graham 66%
Mandy Powers Norrell 32%

VIRGINIA SENATE
Mark Warner 59%
Ed Gillispie 38%

HOUSE RACES
Competitive races
*-incumbent
FL-15   DEM 50%      REP* 47%
FL-16   REP  49%      DEM  48%
FL-26   REP* 58%    DEM  40%
FL-27   DEM 49%      REP   49%
GA-06  DEM 50%      REP   48%
GA-07  DEM* 49%     REP  48%
SC-01  REP* 50%      DEM 47%
VA-02  DEM* 49%     REP  49%
VA-05  DEM 50%       REP  48%

[😥]

                                ELECTION NIGHT
3th November
7:10 PM

Georgia Senate race
7:10 (11% Reporting)
Teresa Tomlinson 66,04%
Karen Handel 32,90%

Kentucky Senate race
7:15 (62% Reporting)
Mitch McConnell 50,12%
Alison Lundergan Grimes 48,91%

South Carolina Senate race
7:10 (12% Reporting)
Lindsey Graham 64,17%
Mandy Powers Norrell 34,64%

Virginia Senate race
7:10 (12% Reporting)
Mark Warner 56,87%
Ed Gillispie 40,11%