Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (v2)

[Alabama_Indy10]

So apparently Stacy Abrams burned the state flag during a college protest.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.foxnews.com/politics/georgia-democratic-gubernatorial-candidate-stacey-abrams-burned-flag-during-protest-at-state-capitol.amp

[libertpaulian]

So apparently Stacy Abrams burned the state flag during a college protest.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.foxnews.com/politics/georgia-democratic-gubernatorial-candidate-stacey-abrams-burned-flag-during-protest-at-state-capitol.amp

Does the media honestly think that THIS is what will SURELY DESTROY HER (!!!!) ?

[Adam Griffin]

It could get more traction than some might think, and it's hitting at just the right time to give the suburbrons their excuse...even if it has zero impact, if the suburbrons pull their usual shtick, this will be what the history books say caused it.

In all seriousness, assuming we get some decent polling in the final stretch, we'll know in about one week whether the treacherous suburbrons are gonna pull their usual last-minute shtick (which will result in Kemp pretty consistently polling in the 48-50% range) - though perhaps this time, it may be the rowdy rubes who put the screws to Democrats.

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[Rookie Yinzer]

So apparently Stacy Abrams burned the state flag during a college protest.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.foxnews.com/politics/georgia-democratic-gubernatorial-candidate-stacey-abrams-burned-flag-during-protest-at-state-capitol.amp

You go girl!

This isn’t landing. Even Brian Kemp’s press secretary declined to comment. In my opinion it’s not an argument worth having for a myriad of reasons. We’ll see if he brings it up tonight at the debate.

[nolesfan2011]

GA-06 poll from JMC and Bold Blue is out

Handel 49-45 on McBath
Kemp 47-45 on Abrams

Trump underwater at 45-51 approval and the generic ballot is 48-39 GOP

https://www.scribd.com/document/391417199/GA-06-Polling-Memo-Karen-Handel-vs-Lucy-McBath-October-2018-Bold-Blue-Campaigns-with-JMC-Analytics-and-Polling

[Adam Griffin]

GA-06 poll from JMC and Bold Blue is out

Handel 49-45 on McBath
Kemp 47-45 on Abrams

Trump underwater at 45-51 approval and the generic ballot is 48-39 GOP

https://www.scribd.com/document/391417199/GA-06-Polling-Memo-Karen-Handel-vs-Lucy-McBath-October-2018-Bold-Blue-Campaigns-with-JMC-Analytics-and-Polling

Do you think the two races are actually this close to one another, or could there be a little bit of room for error here? I would have expected an Abrams plurality/Handel majority personally (but maybe crossover voting is minimizing here). Either way, I guess it's all within MoE.

[nolesfan2011]

GA-06 poll from JMC and Bold Blue is out

Handel 49-45 on McBath
Kemp 47-45 on Abrams

Trump underwater at 45-51 approval and the generic ballot is 48-39 GOP

https://www.scribd.com/document/391417199/GA-06-Polling-Memo-Karen-Handel-vs-Lucy-McBath-October-2018-Bold-Blue-Campaigns-with-JMC-Analytics-and-Polling

Do you think the two races are actually this close to one another, or could there be a little bit of room for error here? I would have expected an Abrams plurality/Handel majority personally (but maybe crossover voting is minimizing here). Either way, I guess it's all within MoE.

It is all within MOE (both 06 and 07 are VERY close for Governor and both plurality rn (no one has 50%+)

That said, the 7th is less white than the 6th and my finding is that the GOP is still holding up better in areas that are more white than rapidly diversifying districts.

The crossover voting Handel+Abrams was pretty minimal actually which is either good for McBath if you expect an Abrams surge, or good for Kemp if you expect Handel to carry the ticket.

Either way the anti Trump sentiment in both is still very real

[Pollster]

Flag burning is a notoriously difficult topic for both parties to talk about since it really serves as a wedge issue for both of them - I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't take hold.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Flag burning is a notoriously difficult topic for both parties to talk about since it really serves as a wedge issue for both of them - I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't take hold.

True, but there's a world of difference between burning the U.S. flag and burning a state flag (one that included the Confederate battle flag).  People aren't that emotionally connected to their state flags in most states; there are probably a few exceptions, like Texas.  I doubt that many Georgians could even describe our current state flag.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Flag burning is a notoriously difficult topic for both parties to talk about since it really serves as a wedge issue for both of them - I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't take hold.

True, but there's a world of difference between burning the U.S. flag and burning a state flag (one that included the Confederate battle flag).  People aren't that emotionally connected to their state flags in most states; there are probably a few exceptions, like Texas.  I doubt that many Georgians could even describe our current state flag.

It's been 16 hours and Brian Kemp hasn't said a peep. They aren't going with this. The Confederate symbol is a divisive topic and Kemp himself voted to change the flag in 2003. If he doesn't bring it up at the debate then it's not going anywhere.

[Comrade Funk]

https://twitter.com/JamilSmith/status/1054774868971945984

[Yank2133]

https://twitter.com/JamilSmith/status/1054774868971945984

Lmao!

[Hammy]

So apparently Stacy Abrams burned the state flag during a college protest.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.foxnews.com/politics/georgia-democratic-gubernatorial-candidate-stacey-abrams-burned-flag-during-protest-at-state-capitol.amp

Nobody's going to care aside from people who had zero chance of voting for her to start with.

[Pollster]

The Confederate symbol is a divisive topic and Kemp himself voted to change the flag in 2003.

This might actually depress turnout among his base.

[libertpaulian]

Anyone watching the debate?

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/JesseFFerguson/status/1054879231778451456

[Suburbia]

Kemp will win by 4 points, but Abrams could get a bitter rematch in 2022.

I see this race going to a runoff.

[Adam Griffin]

[libertpaulian]

Best political meme of 2018.

[GeorgiaModerate]

AJC article on the debate: https://www.ajc.com/news/stacey-abrams-brian-kemp-debate-tonight/h5hAHuiFtUPlEOR66cK0HN/.

Here's a tidbit about Abrams that I didn't know:

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[libertpaulian]

AJC article on the debate: https://www.ajc.com/news/stacey-abrams-brian-kemp-debate-tonight/h5hAHuiFtUPlEOR66cK0HN/.

Here's a tidbit about Abrams that I didn't know:

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I love how the Bigfoot thing stuck with Riggleman yet the Montgomery thing hasn't stuck with Abrams.

[Roblox]

AJC article on the debate: https://www.ajc.com/news/stacey-abrams-brian-kemp-debate-tonight/h5hAHuiFtUPlEOR66cK0HN/.

Here's a tidbit about Abrams that I didn't know:

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I love how the Bigfoot thing stuck with Riggleman yet the Montgomery thing hasn't stuck with Abrams.

In fairness, having an interest in "bigfoot erotica" is a lot more eye catching than a simple romance novel.

[KingSweden]

AJC article on the debate: https://www.ajc.com/news/stacey-abrams-brian-kemp-debate-tonight/h5hAHuiFtUPlEOR66cK0HN/.

Here's a tidbit about Abrams that I didn't know:

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I love how the Bigfoot thing stuck with Riggleman yet the Montgomery thing hasn't stuck with Abrams.

In fairness, having an interest in "bigfoot erotica" is a lot more eye catching than a simple romance novel.

To put it mildly

[QAnonKelly]

AJC article on the debate: https://www.ajc.com/news/stacey-abrams-brian-kemp-debate-tonight/h5hAHuiFtUPlEOR66cK0HN/.

Here's a tidbit about Abrams that I didn't know:

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I love how the Bigfoot thing stuck with Riggleman yet the Montgomery thing hasn't stuck with Abrams.

An old lady at work told me she thought it was awesome we could have a romance writer as a governor

[Adam Griffin]

According to Georgia Votes, an additional 108,878 valid votes were cast yesterday (Tuesday); today's accepted ballot total stands at 741,161 votes: 29.06% of total 2014 turnout.

Early vote totals are 194% higher than at this point in 2014 (down from 203% Monday).

The white share of the vote ticked back up slightly, falling just short of the 60 mark. The electorate that voted Monday was 61% white, 28% black and 11% other. Today's electorate was substantially more female (55%).

Code:

White	443915	59.9% (+0.2)
Black	217990	29.4% (-0.2)
Latino	8946         1.2% (0.0)
Asian	9151         1.2%  (-0.1)
Other	61159        8.3%  (+0.1)

Female	397712	53.7% (+0.3)
Male		328622 	44.3% (-0.3)
Unknown	14827         2.0% (0.0)

18-29	 43577	5.9%   (+0.1)
30-39	 54361	7.3%   (+0.1)
40-49	 88948	12.0%   (+0.2)
50-64       235122	31.7%  (0.0)
65+         304832      41.1%  (-0.5)
Unknown	 14321       1.9%   (0.0)