Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (v2)

[Bidenworth2020]

I lied; I'm back!

That GeorgiaVotes page provides some relevant information along the same lines of what I was mining out of my county earlier today.

Just take a look at this:

• 24% of mail ballots cast thus far by whites come from people who did not vote at all in 2014
• For blacks, that figure is 56%
• For Latinos, 74%
• For everybody else, 69%

Guess we have a tentative (early) verdict as to whether or not early vote is being cannibalized.

I assume you live in gwinett? idk any other georgia areas with any hispanic strength

[Bidenworth2020]

Glad to see Democrats finally breaking the law to reverse all the GOP's voter shenanigans!

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FF!

[Bidenworth2020]

Something I found interesting from local reporting on the Abrams visit: at the same time that Abrams is traversing North Georgia, Kemp is launching his tour of Southeast Georgia. I initially thought it was weird that Tifton wasn't on Kemp's stop, especially since it's on the path of his no-name town tour.

But a closer look at the exact stops makes me wonder...

not to be naive, but what are you referring to jere?

[Bidenworth2020]

Stacey was stumping with Cecile Richards in Carroll County.

What a time to be alive.

I get it is really rep, but what is so crazy about this?

[Bidenworth2020]

On the flip side, my wife voted in Forsyth County on her way to work this morning, about 8:15.  There were zero other voters present.

interesting. What is her take on the races on the ballot?

[Bidenworth2020]

does barrow outperform or underperform his loss in 2014 in his CD? I actually think he will outperform his 55-45 loss/ Also, I was watching the debates, did anyone else notice metz only has one ear?

[Bidenworth2020]

howabout barrow, is he at least making a runoff?

[Bidenworth2020]

Honestly Sally Yates > Stacey Abrams in 2020. Just need to a little better in rurals and hold Abrams support in suburbs and that should do it and I think Yates is better suited to do that.

michelle nunn 2.0? haha hell no

[Bidenworth2020]

anybody know how badly dems curbstomped rs at the county level in Gwinnett and Cobb.? Gives us a bench in GA-07 if Bordeaux loses.

[Bidenworth2020]

I like Stacey, she ran an incredible campaign and she should be proud of herself,
I think she has a bright ahead of her
however, I do think she could've conceded graciously

think about what Kemp did to effect this election. He purged the voters, did everything in his power to give him the win. And Abrams should "graciously concede"? That is surrendering, IMO.

[Bidenworth2020]

Kemp is and always will be an illegitimate Governor.

How?

The only reason he avoided a runoff is through massive voter suppression.

That poster prefers to be willfully ignorant about the calculated actions of the GOP to keep “unfavorables” from voting. Don’t even bother with her.

Of course, he's a Reasonable Pragmatic Republican. Reasonable Pragmatic Republicans' motto has always been "see no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil".

RFKFan68's beloved Stacey Abrams lost. Given his nastiness on this forum, towards me and towards many others, I am actually glad that she did. Her classless concession speech only further confirms that impression with me. And once again, my gender has been confused...

You must see that gleeful schadenfreude over someone’s favourite candidate losing is exactly the kind of pearl-clutching ‘nastiness’ you decry so often. I’m sorry about the mistaken identity, but names with an ‘a’ suffix do imply female bearers in most English/French/Spanish cases, so it’s clearly an honest mistake.

Anyway, Abrams was well within her rights to wait and let a full picture of the race develop befor she conceded. Was she overconfident? Probably. But she knew she was running against a man who was inclined and willing to disenfranchise those who opposed him, and quite rightly felt wronged by the whole affair. And without a runoff in the picture, I imagine she’d have conceded a week ago.

At this point, I've given up trying to be nice to my detractors on here. Given how they have behaved, they don't deserve any respect from me.

MUH AD HOMINEM ATTACKS

I'm pretty sure if a Democrat had illegitimately won an election by 1% you would be fuming "THE EVUL SOCIALIST DEMONCRATS STOLE THE ELECTION FROM MUH RIGHTFUL REPUBLICAN WINNER"

No, I would not be. That is a gross distortion of my viewpoints. But at any rate, the continued reactions people are giving me on here only deepens my sanctification that the Democrats failed with Abrams.

Dude, she came closest to winning for a democrat since 1998. And this is a black woman democrat. In no way has she "failed".

[Bidenworth2020]

On the first day of early voting, 45,390 people voted (including returned mail ballots).

This compares to 158,721 people who voted on the first day of the final week of early voting in the general election.

Including mail ballots that are unreturned, a total of 154,580 ballots have been cast or requested.

goddamnit. SOS Raffensburger

[Bidenworth2020]

Let’s go Brad!

how can you support him dude? Look at what Kemp did to the voting process!

[Bidenworth2020]

On the third day of early voting, 76,196 people voted (including returned mail ballots). The total early vote now stands at 192,949 voters.

This compares to 474,960 people who voted by the third day of the final week of early voting in the general election.

Including mail ballots that are unreturned, a total of 316,196 ballots have been cast or requested. That means 123,247 mail ballots have been issued but have yet to be returned.

Race and gender numbers are slowly getting better for Democrats, but it's still way below where Democrats would want it to be.

that isn't a horrible trend rate. Will there be another souls to the polls?

[Bidenworth2020]

On the third day of early voting, 76,196 people voted (including returned mail ballots). The total early vote now stands at 192,949 voters.

This compares to 474,960 people who voted by the third day of the final week of early voting in the general election.

Including mail ballots that are unreturned, a total of 316,196 ballots have been cast or requested. That means 123,247 mail ballots have been issued but have yet to be returned.

Race and gender numbers are slowly getting better for Democrats, but it's still way below where Democrats would want it to be.

that isn't a horrible trend rate. Will there be another souls to the polls?

No. Early voting ends tomorrow.

Voted today. Nice sized line. Demographically it favored Democrats on the surface.

Im pissed at Abrams tbh. She needed to be in full force for Miller and (especially) Barrow.

[Bidenworth2020]

Finally saw a Raffensperger ad (there have been plenty of Barrow ads) attacking Barrow as a threat to the integrity of future elections.

I sometimes wonder how some Republicans can sleep at night.

too stupid to realize their evil, probably.

[Bidenworth2020]

So Democrats are completely blowing this race because "who cares, we lost the Gubernatorial election". I really  f**king hate this party tbh.

The state party is doing a bunch of canvasses and phonebanks statewide Saturday-Tuesday. I plan on volunteering Sunday and Monday. In Democrat’s defense, several of the Metro Atlanta counties have less early vote locations than the general and the locations are located in white areas. Fulton only has two open in Alpharetta and Buckhead, completely ignoring the city of Atlanta most favorable to Democrats and the universally black South Fulton area.

Good luck! You're doing god's work.

FIFY

[Bidenworth2020]

Republicans will win the SOS runoff. Barrow might come as close as Abrams did, but I doubt that he actually pulls it off.

Barrow has to remember the old hicks who actually care about the secretary of state position remember that one ad with the gun and the lynching or whatever.

The fact his grandpa stopped a lynching probably hurts barrow

And Barrow will not make up any losses in the Atlanta metro area, compared to Abrams, in rural Georgia. He only barely outperformed her in the rural areas in the first place. This will be a Republican hold.

This is factually incorrect.

[Bidenworth2020]

Gwinnett:

54.4% Barrow (D)
45.6% Raffensperger (R)

Obviously not enough for Barrow if it holds.

I think he will do slightly better with EDay votes,but ofc it wont be enough.

[Bidenworth2020]

honestly, and I know how low a bar this is, but this really isnt that bad a result considering it was a runoff and howEV numbers looked.

[Bidenworth2020]

honestly, and I know how low a bar this is, but this really isnt that bad a result considering it was a runoff and howEV numbers looked.

That's expectations-game bullsh*t. Given the Nov. 6 results, there's no reason why Democrats couldn't have won that race - if they cared to actually move their lazy asses and go vote.

again, I recognize this is a low bar, and this a bad loss for Democrats. But it shows an improvement on turnout, which is encouraging for future runoffs. And I think democrats may have finally learned their lesson to stop pandering to demosaurs.

[Bidenworth2020]

honestly, and I know how low a bar this is, but this really isnt that bad a result considering it was a runoff and howEV numbers looked.

That's expectations-game bullsh*t. Given the Nov. 6 results, there's no reason why Democrats couldn't have won that race - if they cared to actually move their lazy asses and go vote.

again, I recognize this is a low bar, and this a bad loss for Democrats. But it shows an improvement on turnout, which is encouraging for future runoffs. And I think democrats may have finally learned their lesson to stop pandering to demosaurs.

its a row office and one single thing. The fact if Barrow likes guns or is moderate has little influence on somethign like SOS. Blame the dumbsh**t Abrams voters who can't bother to read down a ballot.

It isnt about his policies lol. He shouldn't have ran the "I'm a good ol boy dem, not the bad ones" to appeal to the demosaurs

[Bidenworth2020]

honestly, and I know how low a bar this is, but this really isnt that bad a result considering it was a runoff and howEV numbers looked.

That's expectations-game bullsh*t. Given the Nov. 6 results, there's no reason why Democrats couldn't have won that race - if they cared to actually move their lazy asses and go vote.

again, I recognize this is a low bar, and this a bad loss for Democrats. But it shows an improvement on turnout, which is encouraging for future runoffs. And I think democrats may have finally learned their lesson to stop pandering to demosaurs.

its a row office and one single thing. The fact if Barrow likes guns or is moderate has little influence on somethign like SOS. Blame the dumbsh**t Abrams voters who can't bother to read down a ballot.

It isnt about his policies lol. He shouldn't have ran the "I'm a good ol boy dem, not the bad ones" to appeal to the demosaurs

It did help him a bit. It might turn off people to not coming to vote for him if you were a dem. But if you were a dem and you saw Kemp's SOS use how could you bother to go to the ballot and actually leave the SOS race blank.
Do I agree that strategy was dumb in Donnely and Mcaskill's case?
absolutely as they led the ticket but Barrow was trying to expand the coalition a bit.

the rural demosaur Kemp-Barrow voters already knew Barrow and like him, so they were going to vote for him anyway. But running this ad likely took away a lot of votes in the ATL Metro he could have also easily gotten had he not run it.

[Bidenworth2020]

honestly, and I know how low a bar this is, but this really isnt that bad a result considering it was a runoff and howEV numbers looked.

That's expectations-game bullsh*t. Given the Nov. 6 results, there's no reason why Democrats couldn't have won that race - if they cared to actually move their lazy asses and go vote.

again, I recognize this is a low bar, and this a bad loss for Democrats. But it shows an improvement on turnout, which is encouraging for future runoffs. And I think democrats may have finally learned their lesson to stop pandering to demosaurs.

its a row office and one single thing. The fact if Barrow likes guns or is moderate has little influence on somethign like SOS. Blame the dumbsh**t Abrams voters who can't bother to read down a ballot.

It isnt about his policies lol. He shouldn't have ran the "I'm a good ol boy dem, not the bad ones" to appeal to the demosaurs

It did help him a bit. It might turn off people to not coming to vote for him if you were a dem. But if you were a dem and you saw Kemp's SOS use how could you bother to go to the ballot and actually leave the SOS race blank.
Do I agree that strategy was dumb in Donnely and Mcaskill's case?
absolutely as they led the ticket but Barrow was trying to expand the coalition a bit.

the rural demosaur Kemp-Barrow voters already knew Barrow and like him, so they were going to vote for him anyway. But running this ad likely took away a lot of votes in the ATL Metro he could have also easily gotten had he not run it.

This may be the hottest of hot takes for the evening

really? This doesnt seem that much of a stretch?

[Bidenworth2020]

honestly, and I know how low a bar this is, but this really isnt that bad a result considering it was a runoff and howEV numbers looked.

That's expectations-game bullsh*t. Given the Nov. 6 results, there's no reason why Democrats couldn't have won that race - if they cared to actually move their lazy asses and go vote.

again, I recognize this is a low bar, and this a bad loss for Democrats. But it shows an improvement on turnout, which is encouraging for future runoffs. And I think democrats may have finally learned their lesson to stop pandering to demosaurs.

its a row office and one single thing. The fact if Barrow likes guns or is moderate has little influence on somethign like SOS. Blame the dumbsh**t Abrams voters who can't bother to read down a ballot.

It isnt about his policies lol. He shouldn't have ran the "I'm a good ol boy dem, not the bad ones" to appeal to the demosaurs

It did help him a bit. It might turn off people to not coming to vote for him if you were a dem. But if you were a dem and you saw Kemp's SOS use how could you bother to go to the ballot and actually leave the SOS race blank.
Do I agree that strategy was dumb in Donnely and Mcaskill's case?
absolutely as they led the ticket but Barrow was trying to expand the coalition a bit.

the rural demosaur Kemp-Barrow voters already knew Barrow and like him, so they were going to vote for him anyway. But running this ad likely took away a lot of votes in the ATL Metro he could have also easily gotten had he not run it.

This may be the hottest of hot takes for the evening

really? This doesnt seem that much of a stretch?

I feel like you'd just be better off saying "he's an old white guy with a twang and that cost him votes in the metro", because that's frankly the undertone of your broader message. There was nothing offensive or alienating in that ad unless you think being folksy counts.

So I rewatched the ad, and I see what you are saying. But I still don't think that ad really helped him.