Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (v2)

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This kind of stuff is nothing new. Notice how it said 10 other counties (most of which are heavily-black) have done the same in effect? The only sigh of relief I can muster is that Randolph County only gave Democrats a net gain of 117 votes in 2014 (1110-993). I don't know if the Chairman is a Republican or just a Dixiecrat but if it's the latter then it wouldn't surprise me one bit that they're trying to gut black representation in favor of white Democrats (see below).

Also, let's not forget that Nathan Deal & Brian Kemp also brought the full force of their offices and the Georgia State Patrol to forcibly remove three black school board members in Brooks County after they organized a campaign in 2010 to encourage vote by mail - which led to a black majority on the school board for the first time, and the ouster of the white Democratic majority who initiated said witchhunt - and went around intimidating every black voter in the county literally on their doorsteps. They were all acquitted four years later.

Oh, and that ignores the intimidation of organizations like New Georgia Project & AALAC by threatening legal action against them for purportedly registering voters incorrectly. Neither investigation found any (legal) wrongdoing.

Obviously both are FFs

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Whitfield's gone up massively, damn.

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Looking at the 5 big metro counties, the white share of the electorate in VBM seems to be higher there than it is statewide; inversely, the non-white share of VBMs is lower there:

"The Big 5" (Fulton/Dekalb/Clayton/Gwinnett/Cobb) VBM Returns
44.4% White

GA Outside "The Big 5" VBM Returns
44.1% White

And here are the 2017 Census estimates:

"The Big 5" (Fulton/Dekalb/Clayton/Gwinnett/Cobb) 2017 Pop
37.2% White

GA Outside "The Big 5" 2017 Pop
61.5% White

Think about that for a second.

My only reaction can be a meme, that's absolutely insane.

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Lovely sight in Monroe, Georgia.

Okay that's nice.

Now a question as a non-Georgian too lazy to look back in the thread, what are the 5 Amendments up for votes and what would they do?

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Just downloaded the voter file for today that came out a few minutes ago, and based on the number of requested mail ballots that existed yesterday and comparing them to the total number on the sheet today, it looks like 75-80k people voted early today. To compare, 23k voted early on the first day in 2014. Wow.

Will wait for Georgia Votes data to update and provide precise figures.

So at least triple what it was in 2014?  That's nuts.

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So today was younger and slightly more female, but whiter as well.  If the older group keeps decreasing that is a generally positive thing for Abrams right?

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https://twitter.com/ariberman/status/1055160572361236480?s=21

Court dealt Kemp a loss just now

RIP Gwinnett County GOP then

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https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1058570834678374400

According to McDonald, there are still approximately 88,000 unreturned mail ballots out there. If around 65% or more get returned, GA will break both 2012 (already done) and 2008 early voter totals.

God damn Georgia, nice.

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Neither Kemp or Abrams are good candidates, but some people may hold their nose and vote for Abrams.

I'm sure some apathetic black voters are probably being bullied and coerced to vote for Abrams, assuming every black person is a Democrat.

Abrams will win 90%-98% of the black vote, she will receive 20% of the white vote or less, but Latino voters look like a tossup.

Bronz whatever you're on can I have some?

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Alright I've followed this race for a while, and I'm gonna mostly bet on what  RFKFan is saying:  Abrams will either win on EDay or get a plurality close to a majority, and then a runoff.

I feel unusually hopeful about this, I just think that through all the evil and darkness of Kemp's actions, people will see through that and Abrams will pull it off.  :shrug:  We'll see tomorrow.

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https://twitter.com/BrianKempGA/status/1059581337554898944

If this does not show desperation of some sort..

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LET'S GO ABRAMS!

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Welp

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https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/09/georgia-2018-elections-stacey-abrams-runoff-982557

Okay uhh

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https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/09/georgia-2018-elections-stacey-abrams-runoff-982557

Okay uhh

Very considerate of them to buy and/or reserve airtime for our run-off candidates!

Or perhaps they think a significant share of her voters will not actually know she's not going to be on the ballot, and are attempting to drive them out for the runoff to support our other candidates.

I hope that's what they intend to actually use it for, and that this is all partly a calculated move to keep her supporters energized to go vote for Barrow, but we'll see.

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And now all eyes shift to Barrow

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anybody know how badly dems curbstomped rs at the county level in Gwinnett and Cobb.? Gives us a bench in GA-07 if Bordeaux loses.

Gwinnett here

Both County Commission Seats flipped Dem at a 55-44 margin in Gwinnett



Cobb Here

County Commission Seat 1 was uncontested R, Seat 3 was 51.46 (R)-48.41 (D).

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Ossoff is considering a Senate bid.

N O

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Ossoff is considering a Senate bid.

N O

Why not? Genuinely asking. I probably won’t for him in a primary.

Considering he lost a Special in a District that was taken in the Midterms, him being uninspiring, and the field of possible candidates being good enough to avoid running a retread loser, I think it's obvious that he shouldn't be the candidate.