2020 by Congressional District?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 12:17:02 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 by Congressional District?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2020 by Congressional District?  (Read 463 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 19, 2018, 03:18:53 PM »
« edited: August 19, 2018, 03:23:20 PM by politicalmasta73 »



224-211 r
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,637
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 19, 2018, 04:51:13 PM »

Most elections have featured at least one seat weirdly and counter-intuitively bucking the country (a rural NorCal seat voted Dukakis '88/Bush '92; a SWPA seat voted Kerry '04/McCain '08; Staten Island rather famously voted McCain '08/Obama '12). Sometimes this isn't quite the case (I do think Bush carried every single Dole seat in the country, for instance), but I'd expect Trump to win at least one Hillary CD for some reason even if he's going down to a pretty clear defeat.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 19, 2018, 06:28:47 PM »

It seems Dems are doing well in suburbs, so why not flip IA-03? It voted the same as IA-1 in 2016 and is less rural.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 19, 2018, 07:30:36 PM »

Most elections have featured at least one seat weirdly and counter-intuitively bucking the country (a rural NorCal seat voted Dukakis '88/Bush '92; a SWPA seat voted Kerry '04/McCain '08; Staten Island rather famously voted McCain '08/Obama '12). Sometimes this isn't quite the case (I do think Bush carried every single Dole seat in the country, for instance), but I'd expect Trump to win at least one Hillary CD for some reason even if he's going down to a pretty clear defeat.
which one would it be, you think? Tx-07 would make sense, as it was 60-38 Romney and Clinton only won 47%
Logged
Deblano
EdgarAllenYOLO
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,680
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 19, 2018, 08:51:47 PM »

"Surburban Republican" suburbs will still trend Dem (if only by a little)
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 13 queries.