FL Panhandle Haas Center: Scott +7 in the Panhandle

[ON Progressive]

I’m going to guess the 18 counties here are the ones Wikipedia considers always or sometimes called panhandle:
Bay County
Calhoun County
Escambia County
Gulf County
Holmes County
Jackson County
Okaloosa County
Santa Rosa County
Walton County
Washington County
Franklin County
Gadsden County
Jefferson County
Leon County
Liberty County
Madison County
Taylor County
Wakulla County

[ON Progressive]

These are great numbers for a Democrat in the Panhandle...

The white kind of Democrat can play very well there.

Nah, this is the sort of thinking that's led the FDP into oblivion. Those candidates can statistically overperform somewhat, win a couple more counties (ex: Alex Sink), but Nelson's the only Democrat who can reliably generate a meaningful number of votes out of the Panhandle. He has deep family roots in Washington County, an extensive network, etc etc. People try to mimic the formula, but none of the (white conservative) Dems the FDP has nominated have ever come close to pulling it off.

He’s also the only Dem who can do nearly as well as he does on the Space Coast.

[ON Progressive]

A lot of the FL polls have a big number of undecideds with neither candidate breaking 45%, which is strange considering how high profile both candidates are. I think the undecideds lean D, maybe younger and Hispanic voters less familiar with Nelson.

That's because a lot of the FL polls are from junk pollsters like Saint Leo and FAU.