Many of the rurals are not showing favorable strength to Republicans as evidenced by primary totals. Walker is definitely at a disadvantage asking for a third term. Even he has as much admitted that he's going to have trouble.
I'm gonna trust the Gold Standard Marquette poll over wonky primary numbers that have no bearing with actual results.
You are really a troll if you think that actual election numbers count for less than polling. With that said, how is a tie even remotely good for an incumbent Governor?