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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  NBC/Marist-TX: Cruz +4
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Author Topic: NBC/Marist-TX: Cruz +4  (Read 2188 times)
Gass3268
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« on: August 22, 2018, 04:02:16 pm »

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yeah_93
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« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2018, 04:05:44 pm »

Wow we're on a roll with quality polling today!

Anyway, 45 is a strong number for O'Rourke.

There's also this:

Quote
Among Latinos, who make up 20 percent of the registered voters sampled in the poll, O’Rourke gets 53 percent support compared to Cruz’s 42 percent.
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2018, 04:06:32 pm »

Tossup.
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Anthony Davis is Awesome
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« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2018, 04:07:08 pm »

TN, MS are better pickups
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Former President Weatherboy1102
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« Reply #4 on: August 22, 2018, 04:07:25 pm »

sounds about right.
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #5 on: August 22, 2018, 04:08:08 pm »

Looks quite reasonable.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #6 on: August 22, 2018, 04:10:57 pm »

This seat definitely feels vulnerable in a wave.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: August 22, 2018, 04:11:00 pm »

imo dems win tx before wi imo
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Anthony Davis is Awesome
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« Reply #8 on: August 22, 2018, 04:15:03 pm »

imo dems win FL-GOV before WI gov imo

 Dems will win FL
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Unbeatable Titan Ralph Abraham
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« Reply #9 on: August 22, 2018, 04:15:41 pm »

Certainly more believable than the "Baldwin +2" nonsense.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: August 22, 2018, 04:16:56 pm »

Clearly Menendez and Heinrich are more vulnerable than Cruz. Roll Eyes This is in line with other polls in Texas, showing a narrow edge for Cruz. Still going with Likely R for now, with my prediction being Cruz 52-46, or something like that.
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136or142
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« Reply #11 on: August 22, 2018, 04:17:13 pm »

If this is accurate it certainly suggests the Democrats could gain a number of House seats in Texas.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: August 22, 2018, 04:17:59 pm »

imo dems win FL-GOV before WI gov imo

 Dems will win FL

Thanks for the edit OC. Purple heart
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yeah_93
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« Reply #13 on: August 22, 2018, 04:19:20 pm »

If this is accurate it certainly suggests the Democrats could gain a number of House seats in Texas.

The generic congressional ballot is 46-43 R.
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136or142
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« Reply #14 on: August 22, 2018, 04:20:09 pm »

If this is accurate it certainly suggests the Democrats could gain a number of House seats in Texas.

The generic congressional ballot is 46-43 R.

The aggregate Texas U.S House vote was 57-39% R in 2016.
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #15 on: August 22, 2018, 04:25:32 pm »

If this is accurate it certainly suggests the Democrats could gain a number of House seats in Texas.

The generic congressional ballot is 46-43 R.

The aggregate Texas U.S House vote was 57-39% R in 2016.

Rest in pieces, Austin gerrymander.
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adrac
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« Reply #16 on: August 22, 2018, 04:47:08 pm »

Literally the definition of Lean R.
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #17 on: August 22, 2018, 04:54:15 pm »

I wish Perry had primaried Cruz.
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #18 on: August 22, 2018, 05:01:47 pm »

If this is accurate it certainly suggests the Democrats could gain a number of House seats in Texas.

The generic congressional ballot is 46-43 R.

Congresswoman Ortiz Jones!
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #19 on: August 22, 2018, 05:24:56 pm »

Lean R makes sense. O'Rourke is definitely closing the gap. But the last few points are usually the hardest for a Democrat to get.

I think Cruz winning by 4 points is probably close to what will happen, but Beto could yet win. He doesn't need to lead any of the polls, he only needs to lead in the actual vote count.
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SunriseAroundTheWorld
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« Reply #20 on: August 22, 2018, 05:26:15 pm »

imo dems win FL-GOV before WI gov imo

 Dems will win FL

Thanks for the edit OC. Purple heart

lol OC
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krazen1211
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« Reply #21 on: August 22, 2018, 05:26:41 pm »
« Edited: August 22, 2018, 05:38:36 pm by Brittain33 »

I believe that in the general election, Senator Cruz will have a floor of 70% of whites. Possibly 80%.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: August 22, 2018, 05:35:02 pm »

New Poll: Texas Senator by Marist College on 2018-08-16

Summary: D: 45%, R: 49%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Totalitarian Contrarian
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« Reply #23 on: August 22, 2018, 05:37:43 pm »

My gut says O'Rourke wins. He's only leading by 4 now and it's only August. O'Rourke has all the momentum
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ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #24 on: August 22, 2018, 06:06:25 pm »

I am starting to feel a bit more worried about this race.  I actually think this might be more likely to flip than my state's race.  Still Lean R.
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