Safe R, but I highly doubt that there will be that many Abbott/O'Rourke voters.
This. There’s just no way there is a difference of 15% on Election Day between the governor and senate results, as this poll finds. This also leads me to believe that most of the undecideds in the senate race are Abbott voters or leaners - the math doesn’t really work out otherwise unless you believe that like 12% of the electorate will vote for Abbott / O’Rourke in November.
If O’Rourke keeps the senate race close Abbott will not win a twenty point blowout. If he does win a twenty point blowout, then the senate race won’t really end up all that close.
