PA-Marist: Wolf +14
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 03:10:26 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  PA-Marist: Wolf +14
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: PA-Marist: Wolf +14  (Read 1697 times)
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,624


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 23, 2018, 04:04:29 PM »

http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/NBCNews_MaristPoll_PennsylvaniaAnnotatedQuestionnaire_1808201202_wit.pdf

Wolf 54
Wagner 40
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2018, 04:05:44 PM »

Enough to flip the House, though?
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2018, 04:06:27 PM »

Democrats are up on the Generic Congressional ballot 51-39, which would probably flip the state house and net almost all the competitive us house seats.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2018, 04:08:52 PM »

The only real question in this race is if Wolf does slightly better or slightly worse than he did in 2014. On one hand, Toxic Tom Corbett won't be weighing down the GOP this time. On the other hand, they won't have an R wave to help them, and will very possibly have a D wave to contend with.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2018, 04:09:52 PM »

We should only believe the polls showing Wolf/Casey/Baldwin up by low single digits because something something 2016. Smiley
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2018, 04:11:34 PM »

Scott Wagner is embroiled in a new embarrassing scandal every day, so it wouldn't surprise me to see Wolf doing even better than this on election day.
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,884
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2018, 04:28:58 PM »

Democrats are up on the Generic Congressional ballot 51-39, which would probably flip the state house and net almost all the competitive us house seats.

And it would be just in time to prevent the PAGOP from trying to amend the state constitution to pry legislative redistricting power away from a commission soon to be controlled by Democrats!
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,512
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 23, 2018, 04:30:56 PM »

I think so, there are so many incumbent retiring. They could as well make many gains in the senate. Even if only half of the state senate is up, most of the "competitive districts" were put during the midterms intentionnally, the republicans believing it would help them to hold them.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,979
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 23, 2018, 04:36:24 PM »

Trump has a 60% disapproval rating amongst college educated whites
Logged
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,171
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 23, 2018, 04:36:38 PM »

The only real question in this race is if Wolf does slightly better or slightly worse than he did in 2014. On one hand, Toxic Tom Corbett won't be weighing down the GOP this time. On the other hand, they won't have an R wave to help them, and will very possibly have a D wave to contend with.
Wagner might be even worse than Corbett.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 23, 2018, 04:42:51 PM »

What’s with the Trump approval being so high in Western PA?
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,979
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 23, 2018, 04:49:15 PM »

Wolf is winning the West 49-44%, thanks to John Fetterman

He's also polling 40% in rural areas
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 23, 2018, 05:00:35 PM »

Trump has a 60% disapproval rating amongst college educated whites



What’s with the Trump approval being so high in Western PA?

Is there a reason it wouldn't be? Western PA is Trump country.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 23, 2018, 05:02:09 PM »

But I thought this was a tossup because that poll showed Wolf was only ahead by 3

Safe D, obviously. The only question is the margin.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,979
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 23, 2018, 08:42:33 PM »

This poll's really fun to pick apart-

60% of those voting for Wolf strongly support him while it's only 40% for Wagner

He's winning 14% of Trump voters

He's +7 with men and +20 with women

He's winning the west 49-44%

He's winning nearly 20% of people who are either Conservative or Very Conservative

Winning white college graduates 61-35%

So from the loos of it, Wolf is on his way to a well-deserved easy reelection.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,453
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 23, 2018, 09:30:22 PM »


RINOTom sock #37? Tongue
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,471
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 23, 2018, 10:04:43 PM »

Wolf willl win between 6-9 points, he's not gonna win by 14
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 24, 2018, 01:54:45 AM »

New Poll: Pennsylvania Governor by Marist College on 2018-08-16

Summary: D: 54%, R: 40%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.045 seconds with 12 queries.