2020 redistricting with DRA (user search)
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  2020 redistricting with DRA (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 redistricting with DRA  (Read 9010 times)
Idaho Conservative
BWP Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,234
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.00, S: 6.00

« on: March 09, 2019, 01:53:05 AM »

Pretty good but a couple of the states need improvement.  AZ is probably the one most needing change, waaaay too many swing districts.  1 or 2 would be appropriate but 5?  AZ should have at minimum 5 solidly R seats and 3 or 4 solidly D seats.  Most likely giving the state a 5-5 or 6R-4D delegation depending on the year.  Also, 3 swing seats in the north Atlanta suburbs are way too much, basically a gerrymander that will result in greater Atlanta being represented by 6 Dems in Congress.  Atlanta metro should have 4 solidly Democratic seats (3 being black) and 3 Republican seats in the suburbs.  That would be representative of the overall Democratic lean of metro Atlanta without a potential 6-0 or 5-1 blowout.   Oregon is actually gerrymandered for Republicans, no way a Dem leaning state should have half R leaning districts. Even if they are competitive.  OR should have 3 soldiy D seats, 2 solidly R, and 1 even seat that would likely be won by Dem considering both of Oregon's "swing" seats have gone Dem every cycle.  The resulting 4D-2R delegation would be representative of the state.  Finally, Clark county should be divided into 1 safe Dem seat (around D+20), a likely Dem seat (around D+8) and a lean Rep seat (around R+6).  Since the county generally votes Dem 55-45, or 60-40, having 2 Dems in the city and a Republican in the outer ring suburbs would represent Vegas area well, resulting in a split delegation from NV. Which is the fairest possible delegation for a state that is pretty 50-50.
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Idaho Conservative
BWP Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,234
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.00, S: 6.00

« Reply #1 on: March 09, 2019, 06:00:14 PM »

I never said we shouldn't have them, but having 5/10 swing seats is absurd and would end up being a Democratic gerrymander.  AZ is trending blue, so it would result in a 7 D- 3 R delegation by the end of the decade, maybe sooner.  If AZ had a Dem trifecta, that would make sense.  If you control the process, you get to draw.  But AZ has a nonpartisan commission.  No way should they draw a Dem gerrymander that brazen.  AZ currently has 4 red seats, after gaining a seat in 2022, that number shouldn't go down. 
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