How did John Anderson voters in the 1980 general election vote in 1984?
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  How did John Anderson voters in the 1980 general election vote in 1984?
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Author Topic: How did John Anderson voters in the 1980 general election vote in 1984?  (Read 917 times)
Joe McCarthy Was Right
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« on: August 23, 2018, 03:33:39 PM »

I can't find any information on that. In northeastern states like Connecticut, they would've had to break for Reagan, but in Midwest farming states like Iowa, they would've had to break towards Mondale.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2018, 03:36:42 PM »
« Edited: August 23, 2018, 03:54:16 PM by mathstatman »

I can't find any information on that. In northeastern states like Connecticut, they would've had to break for Reagan, but in Midwest farming states like Iowa, they would've had to break towards Mondale.
Anderson himself endorsed Mondale IIRC. According to one poll, Anderson's 1980 voters voted Mondale by a 68% - 29% margin, virtually the same as Carter's 1980 voters (73% - 26%).

It's instructive to look at some of the most liberal cities/towns in MA, Anderson's best state:

Cambridge: 1980, 60.8% D - 19.9% R; 1984, 76.2% D - 23.4% R.
Brookline: 1980, 50.6% D - 30.4% R; 1984, 69.2% D - 30.7% R.
Newton: 1980, 45.8% D - 35.4% R; 1984, 62.7% D - 37.1% R.

Clearly Mondale got the lion's share of the Anderson 1980 vote in these places.
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2018, 03:59:46 PM »

My dad voted for Anderson in 1980 and has voted Democrat ever since.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2018, 04:34:58 PM »

I can't find any information on that. In northeastern states like Connecticut, they would've had to break for Reagan, but in Midwest farming states like Iowa, they would've had to break towards Mondale.
Anderson himself endorsed Mondale IIRC. According to one poll, Anderson's 1980 voters voted Mondale by a 68% - 29% margin, virtually the same as Carter's 1980 voters (73% - 26%).

It's instructive to look at some of the most liberal cities/towns in MA, Anderson's best state:

Cambridge: 1980, 60.8% D - 19.9% R; 1984, 76.2% D - 23.4% R.
Brookline: 1980, 50.6% D - 30.4% R; 1984, 69.2% D - 30.7% R.
Newton: 1980, 45.8% D - 35.4% R; 1984, 62.7% D - 37.1% R.

Clearly Mondale got the lion's share of the Anderson 1980 vote in these places.

This is only "instructive" if Anderson's best areas in his best state were "the most liberal cities/towns."  Was that the case?  I initially am skeptical of that.
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Joe McCarthy Was Right
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« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2018, 04:38:36 PM »

I can't find any information on that. In northeastern states like Connecticut, they would've had to break for Reagan, but in Midwest farming states like Iowa, they would've had to break towards Mondale.
Anderson himself endorsed Mondale IIRC. According to one poll, Anderson's 1980 voters voted Mondale by a 68% - 29% margin, virtually the same as Carter's 1980 voters (73% - 26%).

It's instructive to look at some of the most liberal cities/towns in MA, Anderson's best state:

Cambridge: 1980, 60.8% D - 19.9% R; 1984, 76.2% D - 23.4% R.
Brookline: 1980, 50.6% D - 30.4% R; 1984, 69.2% D - 30.7% R.
Newton: 1980, 45.8% D - 35.4% R; 1984, 62.7% D - 37.1% R.

Clearly Mondale got the lion's share of the Anderson 1980 vote in these places.
Surprising margins; it makes it hard to believe Reagan could squeeze enough votes to win '76 Ford/'80 Carter counties like Monroe County NY, Niagara County NY, and Grand Isle County VT.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2018, 04:57:10 PM »

I can't find any information on that. In northeastern states like Connecticut, they would've had to break for Reagan, but in Midwest farming states like Iowa, they would've had to break towards Mondale.
Anderson himself endorsed Mondale IIRC. According to one poll, Anderson's 1980 voters voted Mondale by a 68% - 29% margin, virtually the same as Carter's 1980 voters (73% - 26%).

It's instructive to look at some of the most liberal cities/towns in MA, Anderson's best state:

Cambridge: 1980, 60.8% D - 19.9% R; 1984, 76.2% D - 23.4% R.
Brookline: 1980, 50.6% D - 30.4% R; 1984, 69.2% D - 30.7% R.
Newton: 1980, 45.8% D - 35.4% R; 1984, 62.7% D - 37.1% R.

Clearly Mondale got the lion's share of the Anderson 1980 vote in these places.

This is only "instructive" if Anderson's best areas in his best state were "the most liberal cities/towns."  Was that the case?  I initially am skeptical of that.
Well... Anderson received 15.2% in MA as a whole, 16.6% in Cambridge, and 17%-18% in Brookline and Newton. There weren't many areas Anderson did better: in Lexington he neared 21% and Lexington went from 37.7% D - 40.3% R in 1980 to 53.5% D - 46.2% R in 1984; in Lincoln he neared 28% and Lincoln went from 33% D - 38% R in 1980 to 53.7% D - 46.0% R in 1984. Another good example is Belmont, in which Anderson received 17%: Belmont went from 37.8% D - 43.9% R in 1980 to 51.6% D - 48.2% R in 1984.

So, yes, I think Anderson did best in the more liberal areas of MA. (For example, he only received 7% in South Boston AKA "Southie").
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SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2018, 04:58:24 PM »

I can't find any information on that. In northeastern states like Connecticut, they would've had to break for Reagan, but in Midwest farming states like Iowa, they would've had to break towards Mondale.
Anderson himself endorsed Mondale IIRC. According to one poll, Anderson's 1980 voters voted Mondale by a 68% - 29% margin, virtually the same as Carter's 1980 voters (73% - 26%).

It's instructive to look at some of the most liberal cities/towns in MA, Anderson's best state:

Cambridge: 1980, 60.8% D - 19.9% R; 1984, 76.2% D - 23.4% R.
Brookline: 1980, 50.6% D - 30.4% R; 1984, 69.2% D - 30.7% R.
Newton: 1980, 45.8% D - 35.4% R; 1984, 62.7% D - 37.1% R.

Clearly Mondale got the lion's share of the Anderson 1980 vote in these places.
Surprising margins; it makes it hard to believe Reagan could squeeze enough votes to win '76 Ford/'80 Carter counties like Monroe County NY, Niagara County NY, and Grand Isle County VT.
Excellent question: I wonder if Reagan underperformed these areas in 1980 because of the Love Canal disaster of the late 1970s?
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