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  TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20
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Author Topic: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20  (Read 842 times)
Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁
The Impartial Spectator
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« on: August 27, 2018, 09:09:15 am »

In the Governor race, Gov. Greg Abbott has a 20 point advantage - 48% to 28% for Lupe Valdez a former sheriff of Dallas County, 3% were voting for someone else and 20% were undecided.

https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-tx-aug2018-pr.pdf



It is interesting how Abbott is consistenly leading by large amounts in the same TX polls that have the Senate race between Cruz and O'Rourke close. That lends more plausibility to the Senate race actually being close, but on the other hand there is not much recent history of much split ticket voting in Texas.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2018, 09:18:09 am »

Safe R.

This makes me less confident on Beto because I doubt that there will be enough ticket splitting if Abbott wins by more than 10-12 points. TX is not MA in that regard.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2018, 09:41:17 am »

New Poll: Texas Governor by Emerson College on 2018-08-25

Summary: D: 28%, R: 48%, U: 24%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Senator Barbara Bollier
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« Reply #3 on: August 27, 2018, 09:58:09 am »

Cruz isnít going to underperform Abott by 19 points, lol.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #4 on: August 27, 2018, 09:58:44 am »

Safe R.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #5 on: August 27, 2018, 12:12:26 pm »

I really don't know why everyone keeps doubting the ticket splitting....it is very real, in fact i am one of the mythical beto/Abbott voters, we exist! ( just like NH swing voters)
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Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁
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« Reply #6 on: August 27, 2018, 01:41:08 pm »

I really don't know why everyone keeps doubting the ticket splitting....it is very real, in fact i am one of the mythical beto/Abbott voters, we exist! ( just like NH swing voters)

The reason to doubt it is that in the past, there has not been much ticket splitting in Texas, whereas in a state like New Hampshire, there has been lots of substantial ticket splitting in previous elections.
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Senator Barbara Bollier
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« Reply #7 on: August 27, 2018, 01:43:20 pm »

I really don't know why everyone keeps doubting the ticket splitting....it is very real, in fact i am one of the mythical beto/Abbott voters, we exist! ( just like NH swing voters)

No oneís denying that they exist, but there wonít be that many.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #8 on: August 27, 2018, 02:13:30 pm »

I really don't know why everyone keeps doubting the ticket splitting....it is very real, in fact i am one of the mythical beto/Abbott voters, we exist! ( just like NH swing voters)

The Dems in TX couldn't come up with anyone better than Valdez and she's gonna drag down Beto. Cruz is also Latino in a conservative Latino state like TX..
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #9 on: August 27, 2018, 04:07:01 pm »

I really don't know why everyone keeps doubting the ticket splitting....it is very real, in fact i am one of the mythical beto/Abbott voters, we exist! ( just like NH swing voters)

The reason to doubt it is that in the past, there has not been much ticket splitting in Texas, whereas in a state like New Hampshire, there has been lots of substantial ticket splitting in previous elections.
It helps that Lupe Valdez is an awful candidate with an awful record at sheriff including working with ICE even though she claims to be with certain people....the NH comment was more a joke about MT Treasurer's NH views Tongue
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bronz4141
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« Reply #10 on: August 28, 2018, 03:34:19 pm »

Democrats should have nominated Andrew White, he would have made TX competitive.

Democrats won't win Texas GOV until 2022, 2026, or 2032.
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