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August 23, 2019, 08:55:06 am
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  AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
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Author Topic: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10  (Read 1372 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: August 27, 2018, 04:45:58 pm »

36% Mike Dunleavy (R) (+4 since June)
26% Bill Walker (I) (-2)
24% Mark Begich (D) (-4)

http://www.ktuu.com/content/news/Alaskas-AFL-CIO-endorses-Walker-for-governor-491684601.html

Rosen +5, Rosendale +2, Hunter +8, Dunleavy +10, whatís next? Michelle Lujan Grisham leading in NM? I mean, does candidate quality even matter AT ALL anymore? This is just crazy. Iím just relieved I can continue to do my part, though. Wink #retailpolitics
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2018, 04:50:50 pm »

Walker needs to drop out.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2018, 04:50:54 pm »

Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: August 27, 2018, 04:53:09 pm »

Impossible. Atlas told me that Walker and Dunleavy would split the right wing vote and allow Bad Boy Begich to dominate.

Rosen +5, Rosendale +2, Hunter +8, Dunleavy +10, whatís next? Michelle Lujan Grisham leading in NM? I mean, does candidate quality even matter AT ALL anymore? This is just crazy. Iím just relieved I can continue to do my part, though. Wink #retailpolitics

Lol, it's like the pollsters conspired this week to troll this forum.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: August 27, 2018, 04:56:58 pm »


It was dumb for him to run to begin with, it was probably done solely as an ego trip. And he could very well end up giving Republicans their only gubernatorial pickup of 2018.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5 on: August 27, 2018, 04:57:14 pm »

Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: August 27, 2018, 07:18:11 pm »

Two way race:

Walker 47
Dunleavy 43

And according to this article, the AFL-CIO has just endorsed Walker. It is time for Begich to end his vanity run and drop out.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #7 on: August 27, 2018, 07:26:50 pm »


It was dumb for him to run to begin with, it was probably done solely as an ego trip. And he could very well end up giving Republicans their only gubernatorial pickup of 2018.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #8 on: August 27, 2018, 07:29:40 pm »

Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: August 27, 2018, 07:35:32 pm »

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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #10 on: August 27, 2018, 07:36:31 pm »

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Cory Booker
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« Reply #11 on: August 27, 2018, 07:43:11 pm »

36% Mike Dunleavy (R) (+4 since June)
26% Bill Walker (I) (-2)
24% Mark Begich (D) (-4)

http://www.ktuu.com/content/news/Alaskas-AFL-CIO-endorses-Walker-for-governor-491684601.html

Rosen +5, Rosendale +2, Hunter +8, Dunleavy +10, whatís next? Steve Pearceleading in NM? I mean, does candidate quality even matter AT ALL anymore? This is just crazy. Iím just relieved I can continue to do my part, though. Wink #retailpolitics
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #12 on: August 27, 2018, 10:10:08 pm »

Walker needs to drop so that Purple heart Begich Purple heart can win.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #13 on: August 27, 2018, 11:43:42 pm »

Begich wins the award of biggest pos retread that I've seen in quite a while.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #14 on: August 28, 2018, 12:06:35 am »

Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
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Pericles
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« Reply #15 on: August 28, 2018, 12:13:11 am »

Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
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The Saint
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« Reply #16 on: August 28, 2018, 07:01:14 am »
« Edited: August 28, 2018, 09:31:45 am by Delegate The Saint »


Yes, because the incumbent governor needs to make room for a losing challenger because muh split-ticket voting Roll Eyes

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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #17 on: August 28, 2018, 09:23:41 am »

Somewhere between lean and likely R
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Zaybay
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« Reply #18 on: August 28, 2018, 09:27:33 am »

Its pretty obvious that this race is gonna be a staredown, a game of chicken. Begich and Walker both know that they are both favoured against the R, but with them both in the race, their chances both diminish. Its a game of who drops out first, and I personally think that Walker will.

Now that I think about it, its possible that Begich will drop out, and that could be the whole plan. A run to regain his name rec and base before running for senate in 2020, but thats just a hunch.
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Politician stands with Sanchez
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« Reply #19 on: August 28, 2018, 09:28:50 am »

Yeah, no. I don't buy this at all.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: August 28, 2018, 01:48:21 pm »


Why?
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Politician stands with Sanchez
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« Reply #21 on: August 28, 2018, 01:51:50 pm »

Alaska polls are some of the least reliable in the country. I also don't believe this is Safe R like most of the forum because of vote-splitting (I feel the polls are overestimating this).
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #22 on: August 28, 2018, 02:22:42 pm »

Alaska polls are a joke. We won't know anything until votes come in on election night.
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« Reply #23 on: August 28, 2018, 02:28:34 pm »

Obviously the undecideds and half of Walkerís supporters will get behind Bad Boy Begich when they realize how badass he is.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #24 on: August 28, 2018, 02:43:07 pm »

Begich is really an idiot. Why does he run? He just hands the governor's mansion to the Republicans. Walker needs the left of center votes to hang on. I hope Begich drops out like Mallott did four years ago.
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