FL-Frederick Polls: Graham +4 over DeSantis

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000165-7ad3-d0d5-af75-fbffa5250001

GOV - Graham 44, DeSantis 40

For Commissioner of Agriculture, Democrat Nikki Fried leads Baxter Troutman 43-39, and Denise Grimsley 42-40 in the general.

[Use Your Illusion]

Is this a normally credible source? Sounds like a little bit of early backlash against the Republicans but still so much time to go before November.

[MT Treasurer]

Not much of a surprise. DeSantis is going to underperform Scott, potentially even significantly.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Lol, hopefully these coattails will pull over Nelson, never thought I would say that haha.

[Xing]

The idea that Democrats might pick up FL-GOV for the first time in decades while losing a Senate race here with an incumbent in this cycle is just so weird. This race is still a Toss-Up, and Democrats shouldn’t assume that DeSantis can’t win, but Graham vs. DeSantis is definitely the most favorable matchup for Democrats.

[windjammer]

Lol, hopefully these coattails will pull over Nelson, never thought I would say that haha.

Coattails don't really exist between a senate and gubernatorial race.

It's more between a GOV/SEN race with the congressional and state legislature results.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Keep showing priamry polls and no general election, really, OH was polled by Marist and showed a small DeWine lead and assuming they won't poll the GE, the race probably has it a small GOP lead as well.

[libertpaulian]

Does anyone think Roy David Walker can win the nod for Agriculture Commissioner?  One of my friends in Wilton Manors is a huge supporter of his.

[Progressive Pessimist]

The idea that Democrats might pick up FL-GOV for the first time in decades while losing a Senate race here with an incumbent in this cycle is just so weird. This race is still a Toss-Up, and Democrats shouldn’t assume that DeSantis can’t win, but Graham vs. DeSantis is definitely the most favorable matchup for Democrats.

If this is how it turns out, it's a wash for the Florida Democrats. It's so depressing that they can't do any better than that.

[Donerail]

Does anyone think Roy David Walker can win the nod for Agriculture Commissioner?  One of my friends in Wilton Manors is a huge supporter of his.

Doubtful, but it's a low name-ID race so it's possible. Fried has most of the establishment support and generally has a much cleaner record than Walker, who exaggerated his scientific credentials and who seems to have been employed by a notoriously abusive roadside zoo.

Is this a normally credible source?

This is an internal poll conducted by the Fried campaign.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Oh what could have been....

[wesmoorenerd]

Oh what could have been....

Bagel, what's your official #endorsement for the GE?

[Blackacre]

Yeah this is an oof

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Oh what could have been....

Bagel, what's your official #endorsement for the GE?

Gillum obviously. He's our dem nominee, and we got to unite, and he's a hell of a lot better than DeSantis. I don't really dislike Gillum, it was more that I really liked Graham and wanted her to win, and I thought she was the most electorally skilled candidate, so I am a bit sore about that. I am optimistic about Gillum though, boosting young and black turnout for Nelson to put him over the top, so onward as Graham graciously said!!

[Donerail]

Yeah this is an oof

eh, the real whiff here was not polling Caldwell, the actual R nominee for Ag Commissioner — this was a Fried internal.