FL: PPP: GILLUM +5

[MAINEiac4434]

Told you DeSantis is too dumb even for Florida.

[Comrade Funk]

DeSantis is a terrible candidate.

[libertpaulian]

Wow.  I stand corrected.

I'll bet Abrams is leading in the polls if this is any indicator.

[Zaybay]

Have you read "Gillum's chance" thread? Or the FL-Gov thread? Or my joke thread which got taken seriously?

My recollection is there were a lot of sarcastic posts ironically agreeing with your joke, and a bunch of people empty quoting Tossup ---> Tossup

Some people did clearly agree that Gillum was much weaker, but it didn't seem to me like a clear majority.

Generally, it seems that people moved it to lean R after hearing that he won, but then many started to warm up to him. The percentages do show that many saw him as the underdog, however. Hopefully this changes that idea.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Have you read "Gillum's chance" thread? Or the FL-Gov thread? Or my joke thread which got taken seriously?

My recollection is there were a lot of sarcastic posts ironically agreeing with your joke, and a bunch of people empty quoting Tossup ---> Tossup

Some people did clearly agree that Gillum was much weaker, but it didn't seem to me like a clear majority.

I thought he was stronger but it was still a tossup at the time, but now after actually hearing him speak and this poll i'm putting this in Tilt D almost lean D

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Gillum  Gillum Gillum Gillum!!

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

BADA BING

[Zaybay]

BADA BING

BADA BOOM

[Use Your Illusion]

No....... ING...... way.





Oh my God




Does anyone have salt for my crow? This is a good/almost very good first poll for Gillum. We're just getting started so you can't read too much into it.

I would agree, it is early. But DeSantis is already being pelted by scandals, Gillum has successfully pivoted the FBI invest, and hes already near 50%. Hes doing better than Nelson!

He did a very admirable job deflecting the issue and it needs to be his long term strategy while the FBI thing unfolds.

[Nyvin]

DeSantis is already well known too, it'll be tough for him to move up going forward.

[Use Your Illusion]

The differences in the ethnicity numbers is staggering. It's almost a bonafide race war via democratic election

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

No.. no.. no.. NO! Atlas told me he CAN’T WIN!

Titanium R

[Use Your Illusion]

All better praise future Governor-elect Gillum for dragging Nelson across the finish line on election day.

lol

*in thickest Brooklyn accent possible*

Wouldja lookit dis this guy eh??! FUHGEDDABOUDIT!!

[Politician]

IceSpear and RubioRepublican told me Gillum can't win though

Atlas just got so much egg on its face.

[Use Your Illusion]

No.. no.. no.. NO! Atlas told me he CAN’T WIN!

Titanium R

Atlas Dems said he can't win. Big difference

[MT Treasurer]

Atlas just got so much egg on its face.

At this point it’s probably the best to assume that the opposite of whatever Atlas says is going to happen.

[Strudelcutie4427]

Its PPP and Gillum's favorability will crater once he starts his whole socialism sh**t

His "socialism sh**t" (note: he isn't and never claimed to be a Socialist) is why his approval rating is so high. He's still not universally known in the state, but nearly 3/4 know about him already and only 27% dislike him. It'll almost certainly be a tight race, but to suggest his "favorability will crater" is beyond stupid af.

Hillary had 70% approval when she started rnning for president, shes less liked than trump now. Once the race gets into full gear, he's gonna crater

[Blackacre]

I was initially very down on Gillum, but I did move the race to tossup before the poll came out so I get to skip the crow

This is, thankfully, a public poll that isn't a Gravis, but while the numbers look good, I'll need more info before I move the race OUT of tossup. But this should prove to everyone that Gillum has a non-negligible, legitimate, honest to Dave shot.

[MasterJedi]

The unprecedented red tide in the southwest strongly conservative areas probably isn't helping them since Republicans have done nothing to protect the waterways which are the lifeblood for that region. Thanks big sugar!

[new_patomic]

Its PPP and Gillum's favorability will crater once he starts his whole socialism sh**t

His "socialism sh**t" (note: he isn't and never claimed to be a Socialist) is why his approval rating is so high. He's still not universally known in the state, but nearly 3/4 know about him already and only 27% dislike him. It'll almost certainly be a tight race, but to suggest his "favorability will crater" is beyond stupid af.

Hillary had 70% approval when she started rnning for president, shes less liked than trump now. Once the race gets into full gear, he's gonna crater

But his emails?

[wesmoorenerd]

Its PPP and Gillum's favorability will crater once he starts his whole socialism sh**t

His "socialism sh**t" (note: he isn't and never claimed to be a Socialist) is why his approval rating is so high. He's still not universally known in the state, but nearly 3/4 know about him already and only 27% dislike him. It'll almost certainly be a tight race, but to suggest his "favorability will crater" is beyond stupid af.

Hillary had 70% approval when she started rnning for president, shes less liked than trump now. Once the race gets into full gear, he's gonna crater

I gotta say, the forum was significantly more pleasant without you around

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I told everyone Gillum had it but no Muh Moderate hero Graham was strongest.

[Zaybay]

Something funny I noticed in the crosstabs. When people were saying how Gillum would be a weaker candidate, most pointed to the white vote, that he would lose this, something people like Graham and Nelson could get. And this is true, Gillum is only at 37% with the white vote.

But then I looked at Nelson, and I was shocked. He got the exact same percentage, 37%. In fact, Gillum's lead comes from the fact that he does better with AAs and Latinos, where Nelson does not.

Based on this, its highly likely that Gillum was actually the strongest candidate the whole time, and Graham was simply overhyped.

[Skye]

Well, the race is still a Tossup, but the fact that he is overperforming Nelson by 4 points should be worrisome for the GOP.

[Use Your Illusion]

But what about small sample size?