House Triage Ward
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Author Topic: House Triage Ward  (Read 21248 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: August 31, 2018, 08:04:59 AM »
« edited: September 30, 2018, 07:25:00 PM by RogueBeaver »

Among other impending write-offs for the NRCC.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2018, 08:06:56 AM »

According to Sabato, Blum is still a toss-up.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: August 31, 2018, 08:11:16 AM »

Rothfus will probably lose by double digits, and I can't wait to see that jerk get thrown out by young Lambchop.
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Doimper
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« Reply #3 on: August 31, 2018, 08:14:14 AM »

It's hilarious how hard Rothfus got screwed this cycle. Took him a few months to go from being a cozy incumbent in a safe seat to being cut loose by the NRCC.
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #4 on: August 31, 2018, 08:16:04 AM »

They should've cut Comstock off months ago.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2018, 08:16:24 AM »

It's hilarious how hard Rothfus got screwed this cycle. Took him a few months to go from being a cozy incumbent in a safe seat to being cut loose by the NRCC.

What are yall's guesses for how the race goes? I think 56.6-43.4 for Lamb right now.
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Politician
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« Reply #6 on: August 31, 2018, 08:25:36 AM »

My predictions for these races:
VA-10: Wexton 58-40
PA-17: Lamb 56-42
IA-01: Finkanaeur 54-44

Good riddance, Comstock, Rothfus and Blum! Don't let the door hit you on the way out!
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #7 on: August 31, 2018, 08:36:31 AM »

It's hilarious how hard Rothfus got screwed this cycle. Took him a few months to go from being a cozy incumbent in a safe seat to being cut loose by the NRCC.

Serves the PAGOP well for gerrymandering the House for 16 years.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #8 on: August 31, 2018, 08:37:25 AM »

Apparently David Young is close to being cut off too, as they called him a mediocre campaigner.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #9 on: August 31, 2018, 08:38:50 AM »

It's hilarious how hard Rothfus got screwed this cycle. Took him a few months to go from being a cozy incumbent in a safe seat to being cut loose by the NRCC.

Serves the PAGOP well for gerrymandering the House for 16 years.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #10 on: August 31, 2018, 08:39:14 AM »

They should've cut Comstock off months ago.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #11 on: August 31, 2018, 08:44:53 AM »
« Edited: August 31, 2018, 08:48:17 AM by ajc0918 »

These aren't races they're "just" cutting off. IMO, these races have been lost for months and their ad buys have signaled they've already declared them lost.

There will likely be more races cut off in the near term. Any ideas who else they might triage? I could see them abandoning Dino Rossi (not an incumbent but still).
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Blair
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« Reply #12 on: August 31, 2018, 08:48:10 AM »

I'm spit-balling here; but I think the Democrats best hope is to aggressively target the people who entered congress in GOP wave years, and have never had to run a tough campaign, or fund-raise in their life.

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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: August 31, 2018, 08:50:49 AM »


Especially considering she has enough money raised that she can at least put up defense on her own, without wasting dollars that could go to closer districts.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: August 31, 2018, 08:54:46 AM »

Also this article calls Tom MacArthur, the King of Trumpcare, a freaking moderate!!!
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Brittain33
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« Reply #15 on: August 31, 2018, 08:55:23 AM »

Apparently David Young is close to being cut off too, as they called him a mediocre campaigner.

Also, Kevin Yoder is complaining that the Republicans aren't sending him money to match what the Dems are spending against him.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #16 on: August 31, 2018, 09:44:44 AM »

Apparently David Young is close to being cut off too, as they called him a mediocre campaigner.

Also, Kevin Yoder is complaining that the Republicans aren't sending him money to match what the Dems are spending against him.

I mentioned it before, but I think KS-03 falls if Democratic gains are 30+. I think it definitely falls before KS-02.


As to the topic, so it begins. And it really is just the beginning. With hostile terrain and overstretched gerrymanders, Republicans are facing horrific prospects.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #17 on: August 31, 2018, 09:46:14 AM »

Sad! If I was one of them, I might drop out of the race.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: August 31, 2018, 09:47:57 AM »

If they’re triaging Blum and Young, they’re basically giving up. They’re not going to hold the House without IA-01/IA-03.
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windjammer
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« Reply #19 on: August 31, 2018, 10:05:52 AM »

If they’re triaging Blum and Young, they’re basically giving up. They’re not going to hold the House without IA-01/IA-03.
I don't think they will triage Young, that would be stupid.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #20 on: August 31, 2018, 10:10:53 AM »

Don't buy it.
YoungConservative told me that Queen Goddess Comstock and her oppo research team will crush any Democrat who dares to run against her. 
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Brittain33
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« Reply #21 on: August 31, 2018, 10:11:27 AM »

If they’re triaging Blum and Young, they’re basically giving up. They’re not going to hold the House without IA-01/IA-03.
I don't think they will triage Young, that would be stupid.

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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #22 on: August 31, 2018, 10:16:07 AM »

If they’re triaging Blum and Young, they’re basically giving up. They’re not going to hold the House without IA-01/IA-03.
I don't think they will triage Young, that would be stupid.

Republican strategists aren’t exactly known for being smart. Tongue Obviously Blum and Young are vulnerable (and I don’t view Young as someone who is significantly more likely to win than Blum), but there are more than enough seats that should be triaged before IA-01 and IA-03.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #23 on: August 31, 2018, 10:43:54 AM »

Speaking of Comstock, does anyone know why she didn't gun for the Senate? Her fate was sealed the minute Trump was sworn in. Now, she wouldn't have beaten Kaine, but she could have stopped the bleeding down the ballot.
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Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #24 on: August 31, 2018, 10:54:23 AM »

Speaking of Comstock, does anyone know why she didn't gun for the Senate? Her fate was sealed the minute Trump was sworn in. Now, she wouldn't have beaten Kaine, but she could have stopped the bleeding down the ballot.

Reelection for her House seat was always going to be an easier and less unpleasant experience than an uphill battle against Kaine. At a minimum, think of the travel.
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