Incumbency: Is the 'incumbency advantage' overrated? Can it be a disadvantage? (user search)
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  Incumbency: Is the 'incumbency advantage' overrated? Can it be a disadvantage? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Incumbency: Is the 'incumbency advantage' overrated? Can it be a disadvantage?  (Read 9430 times)
Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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Posts: 14,142
« on: November 06, 2018, 02:38:46 PM »
Quote from: Proto on September 01, 2018, 08:43:48 PM
Statistics shows that sitting Presidents regularly win elections. Ford and Carter have been few exceptions since 1950s when 22 amendment came into force.
Statistics also show the incumbent party is likely to lose the presidency in years ending in '0' (see: 2000, 1980, 1960) since the end of the Second World War, and a president who lost the popular vote in his first election has only a 1 in 4 chance of being reelected.
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