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Author Topic: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)  (Read 651 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: September 06, 2018, 01:02:42 pm »

http://innovationohio.org/2018/09/06/new-poll-shows-tied-gubernatorial-race-close-races-up-and-down-the-ballot/

Aug. 31-Sep. 4, 822 LV

2-way: DeWine 43, Cordray 43

4-way: DeWine 45, Cordray 43

(No, I don't understand it either.)
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Originally a Rockefeller Republican, then a long-time independent.  Converted to the Democrats in October 2018 out of revulsion at what the Republican party has become.
OneJ
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2018, 01:06:57 pm »

Strange, very strange indeed.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2018, 01:12:40 pm »

The crosstabs show the Green candidate polling at 3%, while the Libertarian is at 6%.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2018, 01:16:33 pm »

Yeah, a bit strange. But this is a pure toss-up. I think Brown will get Cordray over the finish line by a narrow margin.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2018, 01:18:45 pm »

Is this a push poll in either direction?
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Politician
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« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2018, 01:21:16 pm »

Pretty much a tossup, but gun to my head, Cordray wins.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2018, 01:23:55 pm »

Cordray (D) probably wins by 51-48 or something and Brown (D) by about 54-45.
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Former Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #7 on: September 06, 2018, 01:24:53 pm »

I distrust Change, as its been wrong this whole time, and that this is also an online poll, but I guess this can be thrown in the average.
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hofoid
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« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2018, 02:29:43 pm »

Overstating Cordray's margin. No poll showing Brown ahead by 4 would show a tied race.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: September 06, 2018, 07:29:13 pm »

This is yet another tossup that isn't moving out of that category.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: September 06, 2018, 09:46:19 pm »

Gonna be a close one!
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THE BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #11 on: September 06, 2018, 09:47:04 pm »

Overstating Cordray's margin. No poll showing Brown ahead by 4 would show a tied race.

Or hilariously understating Brown’s on purpose. This is a D internal.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #12 on: September 06, 2018, 10:57:17 pm »

New Poll: Ohio Governor by Other Source on 2018-09-04

Summary: D: 43%, R: 43%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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olowakandi
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« Reply #13 on: September 07, 2018, 11:00:05 am »

Brown should win by 6 giving Cordray a 2% win
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