WI-PPP (D): Evers (D) +4
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  WI-PPP (D): Evers (D) +4
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Author Topic: WI-PPP (D): Evers (D) +4  (Read 1811 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: September 06, 2018, 02:59:16 PM »

726 registered Wisconsin voters, conducted Sept. 4-5:

49% Tony Evers (D)
45% Scott Walker (R-Inc.)

https://madison.com/ct/news/local/govt-and-politics/election-matters/liberal-group-s-poll-shows-wisconsin-governor-s-race-in/article_04c6a53b-29e0-59c3-9bcd-1253412695fe.html
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2018, 03:00:59 PM »

Tilt D
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2018, 03:02:53 PM »

RIP hofoid
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2018, 03:03:03 PM »

Toss-up -> Toss-up
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2018, 03:03:59 PM »

"K, but it's still Likely R."

-Cook and Sabato
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2018, 03:07:16 PM »

Virtually unchanged from their last poll, which had Evers up 5 (#WalkerSurging, #RedwaveIncoming, etc.) Toss-Up, but I'd sooner bet on Evers than Walker.
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
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« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2018, 03:16:02 PM »

Yeah, PPP is practically a Dem internal for all intents and purposes. Still Walker's race to lose 
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: September 06, 2018, 03:18:28 PM »

Yeah, PPP is practically a Dem internal for all intents and purposes. Still Walker's race to lose 
PPP is one of the most reliable polls, much better than the garbage polls you froth over.
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2018, 03:20:44 PM »

Thats a wrap for Walker

Hello Gov. Evers
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President Johnson
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« Reply #9 on: September 06, 2018, 03:23:37 PM »

Democratic internal and Evers under 50%. Safe Republican.

/s
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hofoid
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« Reply #10 on: September 06, 2018, 03:24:26 PM »

Yeah, PPP is practically a Dem internal for all intents and purposes. Still Walker's race to lose 
PPP is one of the most reliable polls, much better than the garbage polls you froth over.
Reliable enough that Hillary won Michigan handily. Got it.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #11 on: September 06, 2018, 03:25:44 PM »

Yeah, PPP is practically a Dem internal for all intents and purposes. Still Walker's race to lose 
PPP is one of the most reliable polls, much better than the garbage polls you froth over.
Reliable enough that Hillary won Michigan handily. Got it.
Her lead was within the margin of error in that poll.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #12 on: September 06, 2018, 03:33:02 PM »

Yeah, PPP is practically a Dem internal for all intents and purposes. Still Walker's race to lose 
PPP is one of the most reliable polls, much better than the garbage polls you froth over.
Reliable enough that Hillary won Michigan handily. Got it.
Her lead was within the margin of error in that poll.

I suspect he's one of those people that believe a poll showing candidate A+10 was closer to correct than one showing B+2, when the actual result was A+1, because the first poll was "right".
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #13 on: September 06, 2018, 04:02:49 PM »

Yeah, PPP is practically a Dem internal for all intents and purposes. Still Walker's race to lose 
PPP is one of the most reliable polls, much better than the garbage polls you froth over.
Reliable enough that Hillary won Michigan handily. Got it.
Michigan is a dreadfully difficult state to poll.

Wait why am I even engaging with you
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #14 on: September 06, 2018, 04:20:41 PM »
« Edited: September 06, 2018, 04:44:25 PM by Wisconsinite »


Evers will continue to lead as long as voters don't fall for Walker's lies about Evers having authority over revoking a teacher's license for watching pornography. That's the only campaign barrier against Evers, in my opinion.

Walker is a huge fraud.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: September 06, 2018, 05:25:49 PM »

This race leans Evers and to say it doesn't is denying the obvious
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #16 on: September 06, 2018, 05:42:51 PM »

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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #17 on: September 06, 2018, 07:30:15 PM »

Virtually unchanged from their last poll, which had Evers up 5 (#WalkerSurging, #RedwaveIncoming, etc.) Toss-Up, but I'd sooner bet on Evers than Walker.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #18 on: September 06, 2018, 11:38:42 PM »

At this point in the race - tilt D.
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #19 on: September 07, 2018, 05:09:56 AM »

PPP POLLS in Wisconsin Senate race 2016
      8/26-/16 Feingold 49% Johnson 42%
     10/18-19/16.           47%.               41%
     10/31-11/1/16.       49%.               44%
              The same dates Loras College had it Feingold 47% Johnson 45%
              By the last week Marquette Law school had down to Feingold 45% Johnson 44%
               
PPP POLLS Wisconsin Presidential
      10/18-19/16 Clinton 50% Trump 38%
      10/31-11//1/16        48%.          41%
           The same dates Loras College had it Clinton 44% Trump 42%

I think 538 needs to reevaluate PPP at least in Wisconsin.  I think I would rely more on Marquette which has Walker up 2

I rate this race a tossup based on the national environment.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #20 on: September 07, 2018, 05:44:42 AM »

When you adjust for the dork penalty, Evers loses 4 points and this becomes a literal tie. Gonna be close, boys and girls
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #21 on: September 07, 2018, 06:51:42 AM »

Still Toss Up, but man, am I excited for this one.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #22 on: September 07, 2018, 07:04:23 AM »

Evers still is dominating
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
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« Reply #23 on: September 07, 2018, 11:03:34 AM »

PPP POLLS in Wisconsin Senate race 2016
      8/26-/16 Feingold 49% Johnson 42%
     10/18-19/16.           47%.               41%
     10/31-11/1/16.       49%.               44%
              The same dates Loras College had it Feingold 47% Johnson 45%
              By the last week Marquette Law school had down to Feingold 45% Johnson 44%
               
PPP POLLS Wisconsin Presidential
      10/18-19/16 Clinton 50% Trump 38%
      10/31-11//1/16        48%.          41%
           The same dates Loras College had it Clinton 44% Trump 42%

I think 538 needs to reevaluate PPP at least in Wisconsin.  I think I would rely more on Marquette which has Walker up 2

I rate this race a tossup based on the national environment.

Yep, PPP has a clear slant, and this should be tossed in the trash.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #24 on: September 07, 2018, 11:17:57 AM »

Evers is the favorite, and WI isn't Iowa
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