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Author Topic: NM-Global Strategy: Lujan-Grisham +10  (Read 654 times)
Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« on: September 06, 2018, 03:15:05 pm »

Lujan-Grisham (D): 52%
Pearce (R): 42%

https://www.scribd.com/document/387926367/Global-Strategy-Group-NM-AG-Poll-Memo
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Neoliberalbusters
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2018, 03:19:36 pm »

LOL at people thinking this is a "battleground" race. Safe D.
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2018, 03:24:58 pm »

Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
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« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2018, 03:26:55 pm »

Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
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« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2018, 04:51:30 pm »

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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2018, 05:42:08 pm »

Weak Lean D, Grisham will win by 2-3 points.
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2018, 05:46:58 pm »

Weak Lean D, Grisham will win by 2-3 points.

Polling average and fundamentals: "Grisham is ahead by 8 in polls since June started in a blue state with an unpopular GOP governor. The GOP candidate is also a bad candidate, as shown by the fact he lost by 22 the last time he ran statewide"

Bagel: "Weak Lean D"
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #7 on: September 06, 2018, 06:28:53 pm »

Weak Lean D, Grisham will win by 2-3 points.

Stop.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2018, 07:30:36 pm »

But that Pearce upset!
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olowakandi
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« Reply #9 on: September 06, 2018, 08:55:52 pm »

Summer polls are unreliable, and states like NM, are gonna vote Dem. We saw the same thing in 2016
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: September 06, 2018, 10:14:25 pm »

First a poll showing Rosen ahead. Then Dunleavy. Then Rosendale. And now Lujan Grisham?!

The Atlas Forum #triggering ritual is officially complete.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: September 06, 2018, 10:21:43 pm »

New Poll: New Mexico Governor by Other Source on 2018-08-30

Summary: D: 52%, R: 42%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Badger
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« Reply #12 on: September 08, 2018, 01:36:23 am »

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Wolverine22
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« Reply #13 on: September 08, 2018, 01:42:23 am »

Yeah thatís not an implausible result. Likely D.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #14 on: September 08, 2018, 03:20:43 am »

Steve Pearce lost in a blue wave in 2008, tilt D
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Wolverine22
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« Reply #15 on: September 09, 2018, 06:40:53 pm »

Steve Pearce lost in a blue wave in 2008, tilt D

Actually he gave up his seat (along with both of New Mexico's other congresscritters) to seek the nomination for the Senate in 2008. He won the nomination but got crushed by Tom Udall.
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