GA-UGA (AJC/WSB-TV): Abrams/Kemp tied at 45

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Adam and RFKFan68 seem to have substantially different attitudes on this race, who will win?

[Badger]

Toss-up, but I doubt she’ll crack 50% in November.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Toss-up, but I doubt she’ll crack 50% in November.

So, the folks posting here will have another 30 days for our avocation, as a runoff result.

[RFayette]

Likely runoff

[junior chįmp]

If Dems ever capture the GA legislature again...they really need to junk this primary runoff system

[ON Progressive]

If Dems ever capture the GA legislature again...they really need to junk this primary runoff system

Agreed. What's the point of runoff elections? Far more often than not, they end up having far lower turnout than the first round, and destroys county finances as they have to pay hundreds of thousands to conduct as many as 4 elections in a year.

[IceSpear]

If Dems ever capture the GA legislature again...they really need to junk this primary runoff system

Agreed. What's the point of runoff elections? Far more often than not, they end up having far lower turnout than the first round, and destroys county finances as they have to pay hundreds of thousands to conduct as many as 4 elections in a year.

Presumably so the blacks have two chances to forget to vote.

"Fiscally responsible"

[Adam Griffin]

It wouldn't surprise me if Democrats did what they did between 1993-2005 after Wyche Fowler lost: simply change the runoff provision to 45% instead of 50% (and the GOP, if they ever were to come back into power, would flip it back to 50% like they did after winning majorities in the General Assembly).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GA can become a swing state in 2020, if things go really bad for the GOP in 2018

[Skill and Chance]

Likely runoff

This.  I think a December runoff leans toward Abrams given recent special election turnout.  Do you agree?

[RFayette]

Likely runoff

This.  I think a December runoff leans toward Abrams given recent special election turnout.  Do you agree?

That seems fair, though I wouldn't be surprised if we see a 2008 like situation where the GOP comes out to vote in the runoff after facing a bruising defeat.

[Beet]

How can there be a runoff with just two candidates? I keep hearing people obsessing over a runoff but the only two candidates I ever hear mentioned are Kemp and Abrams. That means mathematically, one of them must reach 50+ in the first round. And if there are other candidates, the fact that they're so unknown that I, a well-informed poster who has been following this race for months, has not heard any of their names mentioned even a single time, suggests there will be no runoff.

[IceSpear]

How can there be a runoff with just two candidates? I keep hearing people obsessing over a runoff but the only two candidates I ever hear mentioned are Kemp and Abrams. That means mathematically, one of them must reach 50+ in the first round. And if there are other candidates, the fact that they're so unknown that I, a well-informed poster who has been following this race for months, has not heard any of their names mentioned even a single time, suggests there will be no runoff.

I doubt many people heard of Allen Buckley in 2008.

[Pericles]

There's a Libertarian called Ted Metz running, he got 2% in this poll actually.