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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL-StPete Polls: Gillum up slightly on DeSantis (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-StPete Polls: Gillum up slightly on DeSantis  (Read 970 times)
Councilor Zaybay
Zaybay
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Posts: 5,133
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Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

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« on: September 07, 2018, 09:09:46 am »

Good to see Gillum up, and its also promising that the undecideds appear to be mostly minority voters, such as AAs, Latinos, and, strangely the largest group, Asians. Its also promising as the poll is more R friendly in registration than FL is.
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Councilor Zaybay
Zaybay
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,133
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2018, 07:31:54 pm »

Good to see Gillum up, and its also promising that the undecideds appear to be mostly minority voters, such as AAs, Latinos, and, strangely the largest group, Asians. Its also promising as the poll is more R friendly in registration than FL is.

Did you not observe that DeSantis leads in every racial group except Black non Hispanics?

Why do you expect undecided AA to break to Gillum?  I suspect they may not like his tax increase proposals.

One truly interesting thing is how small the gender gap is.
Its not just this poll that I have found those to be the undecided group, it was also in Q, in PPP, and the other polls we have gotten. While the polls differ on who leads in which demographic group, the consensus is that AAs are going to Gillum, Hispanics are a tossup, and the white vote is split around 40/60. As to why I think the undecided AA vote will go to Gillum, its the same reason that Conservative voters in OK are more likely to go to DeSantis than Gillum. The gender gap is interesting, though.
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