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Author Topic: Emerson-IA: Hubbell +5  (Read 2242 times)
Jeppe
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« on: September 10, 2018, 08:00:56 am »

Fred Hubbell (D) - 36%
Kim Reynolds (R) - 31%
Somebody else - 7%

Trump Approval - 37/53 = -16
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2018, 08:06:24 am »

Ooooof lots of undecideds. Margin looks somewhat reasonable, perhaps a bit too D friendly, but Iím quite skeptical with that many who werenít pushed
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TX more competitive than OH
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« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2018, 08:10:02 am »

I guess the pundits had access to internal polling when they moved this to tossup several months ago. Also would explain why Kim Reynolds has adopted the #ShrillB!tch strategy
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3 on: September 10, 2018, 08:32:05 am »

Source (podcast) https://www.emerson.edu/communication-studies/emerson-college-polling-society
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OneJ
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« Reply #4 on: September 10, 2018, 08:36:08 am »

>Emerson
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: September 10, 2018, 08:38:50 am »

But in line with polling for Minnesota and Wisconsin on approval of the President.
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Jbrase
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« Reply #6 on: September 10, 2018, 08:40:09 am »

Interesting, if true. But obviously there are way to many undecideds to start writing Reynolds' eulogy just yet.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #7 on: September 10, 2018, 08:42:19 am »

Nice to see a poll out of IA.

Many undecideds but, obviously a tossup.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #8 on: September 10, 2018, 08:59:33 am »

Talk about surprised. Hubbell is gonna win
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #9 on: September 10, 2018, 09:00:19 am »

>Emerson
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The Saint
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« Reply #10 on: September 10, 2018, 09:08:11 am »

lol
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Klepto Kemp
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« Reply #11 on: September 10, 2018, 09:13:25 am »

I'm skeptical but this race is tightening under the radar.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #12 on: September 10, 2018, 09:45:29 am »

Dems if they win Iowa can revert back to 272 format and win without the South. But given how dire Blum is, Reynolds is endangered😁
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Mondale
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« Reply #13 on: September 10, 2018, 10:53:45 am »

Yeah, im pretty sure Reynolds will lose this year

Iowa has been under GOP rule too long
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #14 on: September 10, 2018, 11:32:02 am »

This poll is trash. Too many undecideds.
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Former Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #15 on: September 10, 2018, 11:36:57 am »

Im less interested in the general numbers, too many undecideds. Instead, Im looking at the Trump approvals, which are more telling. If hes around 35%, then hes not winning the state, the Dems are taking 3 seats, and Hubbell is favoured.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #16 on: September 10, 2018, 11:57:23 am »

I wish this were a better pollster than Emerson, but I'm hopeful that the "Iowa is a permanent GOP state that won't elect a Democrat again in our lifetime" narrative will die after November.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #17 on: September 10, 2018, 11:59:03 am »

If GOP can't take Iowa, they they aren't winning the EC. It looks like partisans are coming home in ME, Iowa, and NV. And finger's crossed in MD
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: September 10, 2018, 12:12:36 pm »

20%+ undecided = Trash
Emerson = Trash
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #19 on: September 10, 2018, 12:18:52 pm »

This poll is trash. Too many undecideds.
20%+ undecided = Trash
Emerson = Trash
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Pickup Paulite
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« Reply #20 on: September 10, 2018, 12:19:53 pm »

If GOP can't take Iowa, they they aren't winning the EC. It looks like partisans are coming home in ME, Iowa, and NV. And finger's crossed in MD

Hon. Gov Reynolds Purple heart is queen in IA && might still win -- demcrats cannot get comfortable on EC because Trump 2016 could cancelle Obama 12 coattails: in Iowa. but, not if trump gets scandaled more/ partisans may come home to trump in 2020 re-election MD*** gov Hogan coatales transend time- will drag trump to finish line! Sad uncrossed fringes and hope partisan Heller voter in Clark county, NV come to dem candydate. SEN SUSAN COLLINS! will lose to G. GRAHAM in ME and cause Trump to lose there/
« Last Edit: September 10, 2018, 12:22:55 pm by Paulite Hick »Logged
Tender Branson
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« Reply #21 on: September 10, 2018, 12:59:18 pm »

I already posted some months ago that this would turn into a tossup or even into slightly Dem.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #22 on: September 10, 2018, 12:59:45 pm »

Huh, interesting - wasn't expecting that.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #23 on: September 10, 2018, 01:21:37 pm »

This poll is trash. Too many undecideds.
20%+ undecided = Trash
Emerson = Trash
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #24 on: September 10, 2018, 01:28:33 pm »

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