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February 19, 2019, 04:09:55 am
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News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

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Author Topic: Emerson-IA: Hubbell +5  (Read 2175 times)
Bevinevitable
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E: -4.65, S: -5.70

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« on: September 10, 2018, 12:12:36 pm »

20%+ undecided = Trash
Emerson = Trash
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Bevinevitable
IceSpear
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Posts: 30,562
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Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

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« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2018, 02:57:16 pm »

It will be refreshing to see Iowa's (and the Midwest's in general) total reversal in characterization as soon as they vote for literally one Democrat again. Tongue

More seriously, Iowa was and will be (for the foreseeable future) a swing state.  Not a surprising poll.
Dead cat bounce at best. National Dems have shown they would rather flush away their Midwestern hopes down the toilet to chase billionaire trophy wives in Atlanta and Phoenix.

1) Everyone's assumption that Iowa is a populist haven just because it went Obama-Trump is kind of strange to me ... well, not really from you.

2) Citation needed on that incredibly odd last part about trophy wives.

Sun belt billionaires will create the new #permanentmajority for Democrats.

Eat your heart out Midwestern "WWC" #populists Purple heart.
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Bevinevitable
IceSpear
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Posts: 30,562
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Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

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View Profile
« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2018, 03:05:12 pm »

It will be refreshing to see Iowa's (and the Midwest's in general) total reversal in characterization as soon as they vote for literally one Democrat again. Tongue

More seriously, Iowa was and will be (for the foreseeable future) a swing state.  Not a surprising poll.
Dead cat bounce at best. National Dems have shown they would rather flush away their Midwestern hopes down the toilet to chase billionaire trophy wives in Atlanta and Phoenix.

1) Everyone's assumption that Iowa is a populist haven just because it went Obama-Trump is kind of strange to me ... well, not really from you.

2) Citation needed on that incredibly odd last part about trophy wives.

Sun belt billionaires will create the new #permanentmajority for Democrats.

Eat your heart out Midwestern "WWC" #populists Purple heart.
Good to know 1%ers like you finally feel comfy among the Dems.

LOL, I wish.
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Bevinevitable
IceSpear
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Posts: 30,562
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile
« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2018, 05:56:26 pm »

If that WI poll is accurate, I think Hubbell being a little ahead makes sense, even though this is Emerson.

The Selzer poll having Reynolds ahead by 5 in January was why I've had this as a toss up for a while actually. If she could only lead Hubbell by 5 when he was completely unknown, it seems logical it would be a toss up once his name recognition went up.
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Bevinevitable
IceSpear
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Posts: 30,562
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Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

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« Reply #4 on: September 19, 2018, 12:39:46 am »

The polls in the Midwest (Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan, Iowa) clearly indicate that the Trump bloom is off.

But I thought these were all safe R states now!?

The Midwest is now seeing what voting R is doing to them.

At least they seem able to learn from their mistakes, unlike Southern whites.

Yeah, we thought they learned in 2006/2008 too. Just wait for the next Democratic president and the GOP will be their saviors again in the next midterm.
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