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Author Topic: MI-WDIV: Whitmer +14  (Read 1543 times)
Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« on: September 10, 2018, 05:20:17 pm »

Whitmer holds a 14-point lead over Schuette-

Whitmer (D): 50%
Schuette (R): 36%

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/michigan/2018/09/11/michigan-whitmer-schuette-governor-poll-september/1256313002/
« Last Edit: September 10, 2018, 10:39:20 pm by PittsburghSteel »Logged
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2018, 05:22:42 pm »

link?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2018, 05:41:59 pm »

link?
The tweet literally says that it will be coming out in the future. How can you even cross the street by yourself?
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #3 on: September 10, 2018, 05:47:24 pm »

link?
The tweet literally says that it will be coming out in the future. How can you even cross the street by yourself?

No heís fine. I improperly posted the link to the tweet and it didnít show up.
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THE BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #4 on: September 10, 2018, 05:49:28 pm »

Doubt. But RGA is pulling out of Michigan.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #5 on: September 10, 2018, 05:56:58 pm »

This race is likely D at this point.
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #6 on: September 10, 2018, 05:57:12 pm »

Doubt. But RGA is pulling out of Michigan.

Why? Itís pretty much in line with Whitmerís climb.
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Badger
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« Reply #7 on: September 10, 2018, 06:12:41 pm »

Doubt. But RGA is pulling out of Michigan.

Link?
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #8 on: September 10, 2018, 06:17:58 pm »

I'll believe it when I see it.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #9 on: September 10, 2018, 06:32:04 pm »

I'll believe it when I see it.

Not really that unbelievable. The past few polls had hit Whitmer nearly +10 IIRC
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: September 10, 2018, 07:16:11 pm »

Ah yes Mystery Pollster. They're super predictive! In spite of that, this could be an accurate margin for Whitmer if she is having a really good night.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: September 10, 2018, 07:40:38 pm »

Hopefully this margin ends up being accurate so I can look prescient.

The interesting thing is that Whitmer is continually getting decent leads in these polls despite the low name recognition. It makes me wonder if this could end up being the inverse of the 2010 race, especially if Schuette's scandals get worse.
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #12 on: September 10, 2018, 08:10:21 pm »

Why are people so skeptical? The race is obviously moving quickly into Whitmer's corner. She's highly popular, running against a guy who's scandal-plagued and easily tied to Snyder, running in a Dem-leaning state that went almost 20 points to the GOP in 2010, so why is it hard to believe she can't pull that off.
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #13 on: September 10, 2018, 10:28:32 pm »

Poll details have been released, and it is no mystery why the GOP has decided to triage the state. The cross tabs are spelling an inverse of 2010-

Schuette favorable rating is -15

Whitmer favorable rating is +20

Whitmer wallops Schuette in Metro Detroit 57-30%, but interestingly they are tied in out-state with Whitmer leading by a .3 margin.

Whitmer leads amongst men by a 7-point margin, leads amongst women by 21 points.

Whitmer is winning the age group of 65+ years by a 28-point margin

Whitmer leads Schuette amongst independents by a 14-point margin. Independents view Schuette unfavorably by a 2-1 margin.

https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-elections/wdiv_detroit-news-poll-whitmer-holds-double-digit-lead-over-schuette-in-michigan-governors-race?__vfz=medium%3Dsharebar
« Last Edit: September 10, 2018, 10:33:59 pm by PittsburghSteel »Logged
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #14 on: September 10, 2018, 10:45:38 pm »

It's disappointing that my early endorsement of Schuette failed to create a Toss-Up Contest.
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Mondale
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« Reply #15 on: September 10, 2018, 10:48:07 pm »

Hopefully this is enough to flip the state legislature
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #16 on: September 10, 2018, 10:50:13 pm »

It's disappointing excellent that my early endorsement of Schuette failed to create a Toss-Up Contest.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: September 10, 2018, 10:55:00 pm »

Yeah, add this one to the "safe D pickups" list along with IL and NM.
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Wolverine22
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« Reply #18 on: September 11, 2018, 12:12:10 am »

A year ago Democratic insiders were wringing their hands saying Whitmer was doomed and we needed to find a man to run for Governor. My how times have changed.
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #19 on: September 11, 2018, 12:19:29 am »

A year ago Democratic insiders were wringing their hands saying Whitmer was doomed and we needed to find a man to run for Governor. My how times have changed.

Who knew women could make good candidates?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: September 11, 2018, 12:24:56 am »

A year ago Democratic insiders were wringing their hands saying Whitmer was doomed and we needed to find a man to run for Governor. My how times have changed.

Who knew women could make good candidates?

Indeed. I know a certain place that could take a lesson from this...

Img
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: September 11, 2018, 12:27:56 am »

New Poll: Michigan Governor by Glengariff Group on 2018-09-07

Summary: D: 50%, R: 36%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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« Reply #22 on: September 11, 2018, 01:14:21 am »

It's disappointing that my early endorsement of Schuette failed to create a Toss-Up Contest.

I'm sure Schuette would be losing by over 25% by now without your coveted endorsement.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #23 on: September 11, 2018, 01:53:47 am »

A year ago Democratic insiders were wringing their hands saying Whitmer was doomed and we needed to find a man to run for Governor. My how times have changed.

This was nonsense then and is nonsense now. MI already elected a female governor twice, in 2002 and 2006. And Whitmer seems to run a strong campaign. Most voters don't care about gender. At least not those who vote or might vote Democratic. Same on male Democratic incumbents or candidates. If they're doomed, it's not because of gender.
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TX more competitive than OH
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« Reply #24 on: September 11, 2018, 02:12:48 am »

The state House is certainly flipping with these kinds of numbers, and the State Senate is an underrated proposition too. Republicans already triaged the Secretary of Stateís Race, and itís getting harder to see how Tom Leonard outruns the top of the ticket by double digits in the AG race even if his opponent is a disaster. The GOP bench will be completely annhilated ahead of the 2020 Senate race where Mighigan is one of a small number of seats Republicans can realistically target. Guess a self-funding businessman it will be for that race!
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