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Author Topic: NV-GOV Suffolk: Sioslak +2  (Read 994 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: September 11, 2018, 11:13:50 am »

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Nevada_Suffolk_September_2018.pdf

Sisolak 37
Laxalt 35
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yeah_93
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« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2018, 11:18:57 am »

Note that the Libertarian is at 5% and an indy candidate is at 4% before you say anything about undecideds, which are at 15%.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2018, 11:32:44 am »

Not surprising that this continues to be a Toss-Up. Nevada hasn't elected a Democratic Governor in over 20 years.
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BeTo In DiSaRrAy
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2018, 11:37:40 am »

Seems like the sample slightly favored Trump voters (it sampled Hillary and Trump voters equally).
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Mondale
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« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2018, 11:43:49 am »

This will be a trifecta state after November
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yeah_93
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« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2018, 12:03:37 pm »


Can't tell if joking, or...
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: September 11, 2018, 12:21:02 pm »

Note that the Libertarian is at 5% and an indy candidate is at 4% before you say anything about undecideds, which are at 15%.

Which, neither are going to get anywhere near that high so it'd be nice if Suffolk did a 2-way head to head as well.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
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« Reply #7 on: September 11, 2018, 12:54:31 pm »

Sisolak running ahead of Rosen? Weird.
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Former Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #8 on: September 11, 2018, 12:55:59 pm »

Sisolak running ahead of Rosen? Weird.
I was thinking the same thing. I believe this is the first instance of this. But, of course, too many undecideds to make an accurate assumption.
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Noted Irishman
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« Reply #9 on: September 11, 2018, 12:58:05 pm »


Note that the Libertarian is at 5% and an indy candidate is at 4% before you say anything about undecideds, which are at 15%.

Plus, Nevada has a legit NOTA option on the ballot which will easily get 2% of the vote. Having 15% undecided in a state like NV is a bit less egregious than in most other states.
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Holmes
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« Reply #10 on: September 11, 2018, 01:38:22 pm »

Sisolak running ahead of Rosen? Weird.

Well, not really, Sisolak is at 37 and Rosen is at 41.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #11 on: September 11, 2018, 02:23:26 pm »

Tilt D
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: September 11, 2018, 03:55:23 pm »

MUH Laxalt family name though. Guess his last name isn't gonna give him an automatic victory. Roll Eyes

This is a trash poll though. Suffolk needs to start pushing their undecideds, because this is just pointless.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
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« Reply #13 on: September 11, 2018, 04:24:29 pm »

Likely D, just like the Senate race.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #14 on: September 11, 2018, 04:58:25 pm »

When Sisolak and Rosen win by more than expected, will Atlas finally accept that Nevada at least leans Democratic, and isn't the most likely state to flip to Trump in 2020?

... Nah, they'll say it's a Toss-Up again as soon as a poll has a Democrat only leading Trump by 3 there in 2020. Anyway, terrible poll for Laxalt.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: September 11, 2018, 06:12:08 pm »

When Sisolak and Rosen win by more than expected, will Atlas finally accept that Nevada at least leans Democratic, and isn't the most likely state to flip to Trump in 2020?

... Nah, they'll say it's a Toss-Up again as soon as a poll has a Democrat only leading Trump by 3 there in 2020. Anyway, terrible poll for Laxalt.

They'll never learn, but here's an easy bookmarkable post we can go back to for future reference. Wink

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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #16 on: September 11, 2018, 10:31:04 pm »

^^^Thanks for this, IceSpear. Hopefully at least a few more posters will understand why we argue that Nevada is not a "Toss-Up" state, lol. It used to be, but in 2018... lolno.
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