NV-GOV Suffolk: Sioslak +2

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Nevada_Suffolk_September_2018.pdf

Sisolak 37
Laxalt 35

[Skye]

Note that the Libertarian is at 5% and an indy candidate is at 4% before you say anything about undecideds, which are at 15%.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Not surprising that this continues to be a Toss-Up. Nevada hasn't elected a Democratic Governor in over 20 years.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Seems like the sample slightly favored Trump voters (it sampled Hillary and Trump voters equally).

[junior chįmp]

This will be a trifecta state after November

[Skye]

This poll is trash. Too many undecideds.

20%+ undecided = Trash

Can't tell if joking, or...

[wbrocks67]

Note that the Libertarian is at 5% and an indy candidate is at 4% before you say anything about undecideds, which are at 15%.

Which, neither are going to get anywhere near that high so it'd be nice if Suffolk did a 2-way head to head as well.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Sisolak running ahead of Rosen? Weird.

[Zaybay]

Sisolak running ahead of Rosen? Weird.

I was thinking the same thing. I believe this is the first instance of this. But, of course, too many undecideds to make an accurate assumption.

[Adam Griffin]

This poll is trash. Too many undecideds.

20%+ undecided = Trash

Note that the Libertarian is at 5% and an indy candidate is at 4% before you say anything about undecideds, which are at 15%.

Plus, Nevada has a legit NOTA option on the ballot which will easily get 2% of the vote. Having 15% undecided in a state like NV is a bit less egregious than in most other states.

[Holmes]

Sisolak running ahead of Rosen? Weird.

Well, not really, Sisolak is at 37 and Rosen is at 41.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tilt D

[IceSpear]

MUH Laxalt family name though. Guess his last name isn't gonna give him an automatic victory.

This is a trash poll though. Suffolk needs to start pushing their undecideds, because this is just pointless.

[MT Treasurer]

Likely D, just like the Senate race.

[Xing]

When Sisolak and Rosen win by more than expected, will Atlas finally accept that Nevada at least leans Democratic, and isn't the most likely state to flip to Trump in 2020?

... Nah, they'll say it's a Toss-Up again as soon as a poll has a Democrat only leading Trump by 3 there in 2020. Anyway, terrible poll for Laxalt.

[IceSpear]

When Sisolak and Rosen win by more than expected, will Atlas finally accept that Nevada at least leans Democratic, and isn't the most likely state to flip to Trump in 2020?

... Nah, they'll say it's a Toss-Up again as soon as a poll has a Democrat only leading Trump by 3 there in 2020. Anyway, terrible poll for Laxalt.

They'll never learn, but here's an easy bookmarkable post we can go back to for future reference.

[Xing]

^^^Thanks for this, IceSpear. Hopefully at least a few more posters will understand why we argue that Nevada is not a "Toss-Up" state, lol. It used to be, but in 2018... lolno.