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Author Topic: FL-SurveyUSA/Spectrum News: Gillum +4  (Read 1465 times)
North Fulton Democrat
mollybecky
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« Reply #25 on: September 11, 2018, 09:13:42 pm »

What's interesting is that this is an LV screen model, as opposed to an RV model.

Although Florida is an extremely tricky State to poll, because of a wide range of Metro Areas, fast changing population and demographic changes (Much like Texas), we are starting to see some interesting numbers in recent polls contrary to political conventional wisdom (CW).

I wonder to what extent the "Medicare for All" part of his platform is resonating among Senior Anglo swing voters, in a State with a high % of retirees that are quite comfortable with Medicare???

https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2018/aarp-politico-florida-poll.html

The "Medicare for All" would probably have more of an impact with the 50-64 year old voter--where health insurance premiums are ridiculous with high deductibles, narrow networks, and poor coverage.    To create this option may be resonating with these voters--by getting access to Medicare, they would effectively get a larger access to doctors and hospitals (over 90% of doctors participate in Medicare) and have a higher level of coverage than what is available with private insurance HMOs.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #26 on: September 11, 2018, 09:25:06 pm »

To the people freaking out about the Bradley effect: It doesn't exist anymore. In fact, the 2008 exit polls suggest that being black was actually a plus for Obama.
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Former Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #27 on: September 11, 2018, 09:25:19 pm »

What's interesting is that this is an LV screen model, as opposed to an RV model.

Although Florida is an extremely tricky State to poll, because of a wide range of Metro Areas, fast changing population and demographic changes (Much like Texas), we are starting to see some interesting numbers in recent polls contrary to political conventional wisdom (CW).

I wonder to what extent the "Medicare for All" part of his platform is resonating among Senior Anglo swing voters, in a State with a high % of retirees that are quite comfortable with Medicare???

https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2018/aarp-politico-florida-poll.html

I never thought about it like that, and it does make sense. We have seen large swings among seniors and older voters, and it could be the D emphasis on healthcare thats causing this.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #28 on: September 11, 2018, 09:58:42 pm »

No Bradley affect in OK and KS either, Gillum only helps Nelson
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Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
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« Reply #29 on: September 11, 2018, 10:10:08 pm »

What are the Senate numbers?
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"In the end, the world we live in is in darkness."
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« Reply #30 on: September 11, 2018, 10:28:16 pm »

The Bradley Effect never existed. The polling was only wrong in that race because absentees were not properly reflected in the sample.
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LOCK TRUMP UP!
olowakandi
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« Reply #31 on: September 11, 2018, 10:35:47 pm »

Nelson will win after all, and this poll shows no good news for him, Scott
« Last Edit: September 11, 2018, 10:40:47 pm by Cory Booker »Logged
Xing
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« Reply #32 on: September 11, 2018, 10:38:48 pm »

Here's how this race is Likely R because of Gillum:
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#TheShadowyAbyss
LibertarianRepublican
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« Reply #33 on: September 11, 2018, 10:57:00 pm »

B..B....BUT ATLAS TOLD ME GILLUM CAN'T WIN!
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Proud Palestinian-American, so proud to have Rashida Tlaib and Justin Amash represent us in Congress.

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« Reply #34 on: September 12, 2018, 06:59:36 am »

B..B....BUT ATLAS TOLD ME GILLUM CAN'T WIN!
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olowakandi
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« Reply #35 on: September 12, 2018, 07:45:42 am »

Voters want a new Gov, and want to bring back Rick Scott
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Snek!
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« Reply #36 on: September 12, 2018, 07:57:26 am »

Voters want a new Gov, and want to bring back Rick Scott

Gillum is running 6 points ahead  of Nelson now?
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