Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 17, 2019, 02:20:10 am
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL-SurveyUSA/Spectrum News: Gillum +4
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Author Topic: FL-SurveyUSA/Spectrum News: Gillum +4  (Read 2084 times)
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,916
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: September 11, 2018, 09:25:06 pm »

To the people freaking out about the Bradley effect: It doesn't exist anymore. In fact, the 2008 exit polls suggest that being black was actually a plus for Obama.
Logged
Zaybay
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,621
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: September 11, 2018, 09:25:19 pm »

What's interesting is that this is an LV screen model, as opposed to an RV model.

Although Florida is an extremely tricky State to poll, because of a wide range of Metro Areas, fast changing population and demographic changes (Much like Texas), we are starting to see some interesting numbers in recent polls contrary to political conventional wisdom (CW).

I wonder to what extent the "Medicare for All" part of his platform is resonating among Senior Anglo swing voters, in a State with a high % of retirees that are quite comfortable with Medicare???

https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2018/aarp-politico-florida-poll.html

I never thought about it like that, and it does make sense. We have seen large swings among seniors and older voters, and it could be the D emphasis on healthcare thats causing this.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,770
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: September 11, 2018, 09:58:42 pm »

No Bradley affect in OK and KS either, Gillum only helps Nelson
Logged
Mangez des pommes !
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,468
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: September 11, 2018, 10:10:08 pm »

What are the Senate numbers?
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,999
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: September 11, 2018, 10:28:16 pm »

The Bradley Effect never existed. The polling was only wrong in that race because absentees were not properly reflected in the sample.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,770
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: September 11, 2018, 10:35:47 pm »
« Edited: September 11, 2018, 10:40:47 pm by Cory Booker »

Nelson will win after all, and this poll shows no good news for him, Scott
Logged
Still couldn't quell the Bel
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,425
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: September 11, 2018, 10:38:48 pm »

Here's how this race is Likely R because of Gillum:
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
LibertarianRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,558
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -1.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: September 11, 2018, 10:57:00 pm »

B..B....BUT ATLAS TOLD ME GILLUM CAN'T WIN!
Logged
Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22,890
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: September 12, 2018, 06:59:36 am »

B..B....BUT ATLAS TOLD ME GILLUM CAN'T WIN!
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,770
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: September 12, 2018, 07:45:42 am »

Voters want a new Gov, and want to bring back Rick Scott
Logged
Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22,890
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: September 12, 2018, 07:57:26 am »

Voters want a new Gov, and want to bring back Rick Scott

Gillum is running 6 points ahead  of Nelson now?
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC