FL-SurveyUSA/Spectrum News: Gillum +4
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  FL-SurveyUSA/Spectrum News: Gillum +4
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Author Topic: FL-SurveyUSA/Spectrum News: Gillum +4  (Read 3509 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #25 on: September 11, 2018, 09:25:06 PM »

To the people freaking out about the Bradley effect: It doesn't exist anymore. In fact, the 2008 exit polls suggest that being black was actually a plus for Obama.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #26 on: September 11, 2018, 09:25:19 PM »

What's interesting is that this is an LV screen model, as opposed to an RV model.

Although Florida is an extremely tricky State to poll, because of a wide range of Metro Areas, fast changing population and demographic changes (Much like Texas), we are starting to see some interesting numbers in recent polls contrary to political conventional wisdom (CW).

I wonder to what extent the "Medicare for All" part of his platform is resonating among Senior Anglo swing voters, in a State with a high % of retirees that are quite comfortable with Medicare???

https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2018/aarp-politico-florida-poll.html

I never thought about it like that, and it does make sense. We have seen large swings among seniors and older voters, and it could be the D emphasis on healthcare thats causing this.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #27 on: September 11, 2018, 09:58:42 PM »

No Bradley affect in OK and KS either, Gillum only helps Nelson
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #28 on: September 11, 2018, 10:10:08 PM »

What are the Senate numbers?
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DrScholl
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« Reply #29 on: September 11, 2018, 10:28:16 PM »

The Bradley Effect never existed. The polling was only wrong in that race because absentees were not properly reflected in the sample.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #30 on: September 11, 2018, 10:35:47 PM »
« Edited: September 11, 2018, 10:40:47 PM by Cory Booker »

Nelson will win after all, and this poll shows no good news for him, Scott
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Xing
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« Reply #31 on: September 11, 2018, 10:38:48 PM »

Here's how this race is Likely R because of Gillum:
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #32 on: September 11, 2018, 10:57:00 PM »

B..B....BUT ATLAS TOLD ME GILLUM CAN'T WIN!
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Person Man
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« Reply #33 on: September 12, 2018, 06:59:36 AM »

B..B....BUT ATLAS TOLD ME GILLUM CAN'T WIN!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #34 on: September 12, 2018, 07:45:42 AM »

Voters want a new Gov, and want to bring back Rick Scott
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Person Man
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« Reply #35 on: September 12, 2018, 07:57:26 AM »

Voters want a new Gov, and want to bring back Rick Scott

Gillum is running 6 points ahead  of Nelson now?
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