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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL-SurveyUSA/Spectrum News: Gillum +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-SurveyUSA/Spectrum News: Gillum +4  (Read 1603 times)
Councilor Zaybay
Zaybay
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Posts: 5,014
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Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

P P
« on: September 11, 2018, 07:03:44 pm »

Gillum has had a consistent lead this whole time, I wonder if this means that perhaps he is favored in this race? Nah, that FBI investigation will bring him down......eventually......any time now



So the polls are showing a small but consistent Gillum lead.  But the Bradley effect cannot be discounted.
The Bradley effect is nonexistent.
Yeah, this doesnt exist
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Councilor Zaybay
Zaybay
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,014
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2018, 08:41:34 pm »

Lol the "Bradley effect"? Atlas still trying to convince themselves that Gillum has no chance winning?
Yeah, this is really dumb. There is no Bradley effect, or Shy Tory effect, or whatever. Gillum is leading. Deal with it.
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Councilor Zaybay
Zaybay
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,014
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

P P
« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2018, 09:25:19 pm »

What's interesting is that this is an LV screen model, as opposed to an RV model.

Although Florida is an extremely tricky State to poll, because of a wide range of Metro Areas, fast changing population and demographic changes (Much like Texas), we are starting to see some interesting numbers in recent polls contrary to political conventional wisdom (CW).

I wonder to what extent the "Medicare for All" part of his platform is resonating among Senior Anglo swing voters, in a State with a high % of retirees that are quite comfortable with Medicare???

https://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2018/aarp-politico-florida-poll.html

I never thought about it like that, and it does make sense. We have seen large swings among seniors and older voters, and it could be the D emphasis on healthcare thats causing this.
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