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Author Topic: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2  (Read 713 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: September 12, 2018, 09:06:04 am »

http://www.news9.com/story/39072182/exclusive-news-9-poll-examines-race-for-governor

Stitt (R) 46.6, Edmondson (D) 44.2, Powell (L) 3.2
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Clinton Blumenthal Murphy Lamont voter for Trump
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« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2018, 09:06:29 am »

Inb4 Atlas declares Edmondson DOA because he's barely behind.
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Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2018, 09:23:03 am »

I have no idea what "Soonerpoll.com" is, and I dont trust them, but I will say, this race is probably tilt R at this point.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2018, 09:33:53 am »

This was going back to GOP
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« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2018, 10:46:03 am »

#StittUnder46.7
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The Inevitable Kevin Stitt
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« Reply #5 on: September 12, 2018, 10:49:20 am »

Edmondson getting 44% of the vote sounds reasonable
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2018, 12:27:03 pm »

Haha. Muhry Fallin = Muhloy confirmed! But Politician told me Edmondson was GUARANTEED to win because Muhry was unpopular and Edmondson led by 1 point in a poll before the primary!

Also, it's Stitt +3.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #7 on: September 12, 2018, 12:29:41 pm »

I have no idea what "Soonerpoll.com" is, and I dont trust them, but I will say, this race is probably tilt R at this point.

It's the only poll we've ever gotten in Oklahoma, which has gone from Edmondson +7 to Edmondson +1 to Stitt +3. I can only imagine how the "undecideds" will continue to break in Oklahoma:

Edmondson getting 44% of the vote sounds reasonable
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Clinton Blumenthal Murphy Lamont voter for Trump
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« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2018, 01:05:29 pm »

I have no idea what "Soonerpoll.com" is, and I dont trust them, but I will say, this race is probably tilt R at this point.

It's the only poll we've ever gotten in Oklahoma, which has gone from Edmondson +7 to Edmondson +1 to Stitt +3. I can only imagine how the "undecideds" will continue to break in Oklahoma:

Edmondson getting 44% of the vote sounds reasonable
This same poll showed Edmondson trailing both Cornett and Lamb. Stitt's problem was lack of name recognition, something he has now. Still a toss-up, unless we see a trend in Stitt's favor.
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« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2018, 01:22:55 pm »

Sooner is a common pollster for Oklahoma and has a B- rating on 538 @Zaybay.  Instead of just tossing out polls because you haven't heard of them, do the bare minimum and and at least cross-reference 538's ratings and then decide to throw them when you don't like the results.

I remember in some previous election/year (not sure which one) I saw SoonerPoll and it seemed junky and I was inclined to throw it out/ignore it. But then it turned out to be pretty accurate.

I think this might have been for a Dem primary.


So I would say this is not as junky as all those Florida junk pollsters, for example.
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ORourke today is probably the most far-left candidate out there. Running of Medicare-for-all, abolishing ICE, No PAC money along with positions like impeaching Trump. In 2018, O'Rourke is to the left of Sanders & Warren & Brown !

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« Reply #10 on: September 12, 2018, 02:00:54 pm »

Mary Fallen has legit like a 15% approval in this state, and the teacher strikes are going to hurt Rs. Not sure if Edmonson will win, but I think undecideds will lean towards him.
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« Reply #11 on: September 12, 2018, 02:23:50 pm »

Mary Fallen has legit like a 15% approval in this state, and the teacher strikes are going to hurt Rs. Not sure if Edmonson will win, but I think undecideds will lean towards him.

They already are hurting Rs, which is why Stitt is leading by 3 instead of 30. The trend continues to be in his favor though, and undecideds are mostly severely conservative Trump lovers.

FWIW, Muhry is up to 22% approval now. #Surge
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« Reply #12 on: September 12, 2018, 02:37:58 pm »

Gotta have a few polls with a Republican lead before the upset.
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Joshua
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« Reply #13 on: September 12, 2018, 04:52:31 pm »

Oh, I thought this was affiliated with the University of Oklahoma. Guess not.
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #14 on: September 12, 2018, 05:03:51 pm »

If Stitt wins, it will be because great parts of fly over country absolutely despise the coastal Democrat Party.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #15 on: September 12, 2018, 05:05:07 pm »

I'd still be surprised if the Democrat wins, but this is a terrible poll for the GOP.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #16 on: September 12, 2018, 07:24:13 pm »

I'd still be surprised if the Democrat wins, but this is a terrible poll for the GOP.
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Florida is, and always will be, the worst state in the country!
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