Gravis NV-Sen: Rosen +2
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  Gravis NV-Sen: Rosen +2
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Author Topic: Gravis NV-Sen: Rosen +2  (Read 2136 times)
reagente
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« on: September 16, 2018, 11:25:50 PM »

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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2018, 11:28:11 PM »

These numbers next to eachother make no sense.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2018, 11:28:41 PM »

Interesting that Sisolak is doing so much better than everyone else...
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2018, 11:28:54 PM »

What the hell is with the massive gap between the Senate and gubernatorial numbers?

Oh right, this is >G R A V I S
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andjey
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« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2018, 11:30:03 PM »

What the hell is with the massive gap between the Senate and gubernatorial numbers?

Oh right, this is >G R A V I S
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2018, 11:30:18 PM »

Uh...did Gravis misplace a digit somewhere along the way? LOL
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #6 on: September 16, 2018, 11:33:40 PM »

Uh...did Gravis misplace a digit somewhere along the way? LOL

This is Gravis, so I wouldn’t even be surprised.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: September 16, 2018, 11:34:01 PM »

Following Jon Ralston on Twitter, I knew that the Laxalt campaign was struggling, not sure it was this bad.

Brian Sandoval won't endorse in the race and won't even say who he's voting for. Not great when the popular incumbent governor of your own party won't endorse you.
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CityofSinners
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« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2018, 11:34:17 PM »

Just why would you poll lt. Governor and SoS but not AG?

But what to expect from gravis...
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Virginiá
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« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2018, 11:36:32 PM »

Just curious, but does Gravis ever get any races right? I know they get knocked on a lot, but I'm wondering if they have any redeeming polls.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: September 17, 2018, 12:04:02 AM »

My guess is that this race will end up like NV-PRES 2012, when polls showed a consistent but tiny lead for Obama, and he won by a... not so tiny margin.
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YE
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« Reply #11 on: September 17, 2018, 12:05:46 AM »

I actually buy this more than you think. Sisolak and Kate Marshall have more appeal to the northern part of the state, especially Marshall, but then again it's still Gravis lol.
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YE
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« Reply #12 on: September 17, 2018, 12:06:59 AM »

My guess is that this race will end up like NV-PRES 2012, when polls showed a consistent but tiny lead for Obama, and he won by a... not so tiny margin.

Also, this is the most likely outcome. Rosen wins by 5 or 6. Rosen isn't the right candidate to win in a landslide.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #13 on: September 17, 2018, 02:06:45 AM »

Just curious, but does Gravis ever get any races right? I know they get knocked on a lot, but I'm wondering if they have any redeeming polls.
Yep, they had Clinton +2 in NV in 2016 and Clinton won by 2.4 Wink
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #14 on: September 17, 2018, 03:11:30 AM »

LOLvis.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #15 on: September 17, 2018, 03:18:55 AM »

Just curious, but does Gravis ever get any races right? I know they get knocked on a lot, but I'm wondering if they have any redeeming polls.
They get races right when the Republicans outperform their polls. They did significantly better than PPP in 2016, for example. In as much as one feels 2018 will be like 2012 (with Democrats outperforming their polls), it doesn't make much sense to put a lot of stock into Gravis.

However, they have also produced some notably terrible polls.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: September 17, 2018, 05:47:03 AM »

Laxalt was favored, now he is polling like Sisolak was. Safe D.
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« Reply #17 on: September 17, 2018, 12:40:33 PM »

No way Rosen is underperforming Sisolak by 10 points, and also G R A V I S
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: September 17, 2018, 03:00:36 PM »

I could definitely see Rosen doing worse than Sisolak (lol@how overrated Laxalt is), but 10 points? No way. Anyway, still Likely D.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #19 on: September 17, 2018, 04:18:18 PM »

Why is Laxalt sucking?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #20 on: September 17, 2018, 04:37:59 PM »


Way right if the state and the Sandoval machine hates him
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #21 on: September 17, 2018, 06:23:31 PM »


Because he is the dumber version of W.
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