TN-FOX: Lee (R) +20

[100% pro-life no matter what]

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2018/09/12/fox-news-poll-tennessee-912.html

Can we finally admit that this is Safe R now?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He's obviously not gonna win by 20 points with a competetive Senate race, try 6-9 pts

[ON Progressive]

It'll probably be closer than this. By that, I mean Lee winning by 15%. Safe R.

[IceSpear]

Remember when Atlas thought this was a toss up because of a single poll by Emerson in July? Lol. Pepperidge Farm remembers.

Safe R, as it has always been.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Remember when Atlas thought this was a toss up because of a single poll by Emerson in July? Lol. Pepperidge Farm remembers.

Safe R, as it has always been.

States are coming home and MD & NH are gonna come around for Dems

[Predictor]

Remember when Atlas thought this was a toss up because of a single poll by Emerson in July? Lol. Pepperidge Farm remembers.

Safe R, as it has always been.

States are coming home and MD & NH are gonna come around for Dems

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gvdf5n-zI14

[Alabama_Indy10]

Remember when Atlas thought this was a toss up because of a single poll by Emerson in July? Lol. Pepperidge Farm remembers.

Safe R, as it has always been.

[Xing]

Yeah, Safe R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race oversampled to many GOPers, years Lee will win, but by a 6-9 pt margin, Dean can make it close enough to push Bredesen over the line. The goal was to get Dean elected, but more importantly Bredesen.

[wesmoorenerd]

Safe R. Weird how this somehow became less competitive than SC and SD.

[Calthrina950]

Safe R. Weird how this somehow became less competitive than SC and SD.

Lee will probably carry Blackburn across the finish line, just like Abbott will probably carry Cruz across the finish line in Texas.

[wesmoorenerd]

Safe R. Weird how this somehow became less competitive than SC and SD.

Lee will probably carry Blackburn across the finish line, just like Abbott will probably carry Cruz across the finish line in Texas.

Not really how it works. Senate races tend to provide coattails for gubernatorial races, not the other way around.

[Calthrina950]

Safe R. Weird how this somehow became less competitive than SC and SD.

Lee will probably carry Blackburn across the finish line, just like Abbott will probably carry Cruz across the finish line in Texas.

Not really how it works. Senate races tend to provide coattails for gubernatorial races, not the other way around.

I dispute this point here. Abbott and Lee are both polling far ahead of Cruz and Blackburn. Are you saying that they will have no effect whatsoever on the Senate races in those states? In 2006, for example, in Tennessee, Phil Bredesen far outperformed Harold Ford, Jr, and Ford came very close to winning that year. Arguably, it could be said that he may not have done as well if Bredesen had won by a smaller margin.

[wesmoorenerd]

Safe R. Weird how this somehow became less competitive than SC and SD.

Lee will probably carry Blackburn across the finish line, just like Abbott will probably carry Cruz across the finish line in Texas.

Not really how it works. Senate races tend to provide coattails for gubernatorial races, not the other way around.

I dispute this point here. Abbott and Lee are both polling far ahead of Cruz and Blackburn. Are you saying that they will have no effect whatsoever on the Senate races in those states? In 2006, for example, in Tennessee, Phil Bredesen far outperformed Harold Ford, Jr, and Ford came very close to winning that year. Arguably, it could be said that he may not have done as well if Bredesen had won by a smaller margin.

I'm not saying they'll have no effect whatsoever, but if any effect happens to occur, it'll be minor. It's not like Larry Hogan or Charlie Baker's performance will improve Tony Campbell or Geoff Diehl's performance. Ford came close to winning because he was a strong candidate running for an open seat in a wave year. If Bredesen hadn't been the governor, Ford probably would've done worse, but it would've been a minor difference, barely perceptible.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Safe R. Weird how this somehow became less competitive than SC and SD.

Lee will probably carry Blackburn across the finish line, just like Abbott will probably carry Cruz across the finish line in Texas.

Not really how it works. Senate races tend to provide coattails for gubernatorial races, not the other way around.

Governors are usually way more well known than Senators in a State(of course there are some exceptions )

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Safe R. Weird how this somehow became less competitive than SC and SD.

It's because Bill Lee is a very strong candidate.  He doesn't have any sort of controversial history.  Even though he is extremely conservative, it isn't exactly the sort of way that would cause voters hesitation in a state as red as this.  His message and campaign have played very well here (see his primary victory when he was a distant third a month before the election).

[I’m not Stu]

If I could, I would have voted in the GOP primary to vote for an establishment candidate like Black or Boyd; because TN is a safe R state, where I don't want to risk a GOP insurgent victory.

[Politician]

If I could, I would have voted in the GOP primary to vote for an establishment candidate like Black or Boyd; because TN is a safe R state, where I don't want to risk a GOP insurgent victory.

Black would be much worse than Lee.

[Boobs]

Safe R. Weird how this somehow became less competitive than SC and SD.

Lee will probably carry Blackburn across the finish line, just like Abbott will probably carry Cruz across the finish line in Texas.

Not really how it works. Senate races tend to provide coattails for gubernatorial races, not the other way around.

There is no reason for such a violent, aggressive ad hominem attack. 

[ON Progressive]

Safe R. Weird how this somehow became less competitive than SC and SD.

Lee will probably carry Blackburn across the finish line, just like Abbott will probably carry Cruz across the finish line in Texas.

Not really how it works. Senate races tend to provide coattails for gubernatorial races, not the other way around.

Coattails outside presidential races are dubious as is, really.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Split voting, and Bredesen is a better candidate than Dean is, obviously, Dean needed Dianne Black to win in order to be carried across the finish line, and it didn't happen.

[Young Conservative]

Tennessee loves businessman governors. Bredesen, Haslam, Lee