Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal
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Author Topic: Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal  (Read 129143 times)
Virginiá
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« Reply #100 on: October 16, 2018, 07:03:54 PM »
Quote from: Justice Jellybean on October 16, 2018, 06:52:52 PM
Quote from: Secret Cavern Survivor on September 14, 2018, 01:57:19 PM
oh please god no

After 2016 I don't want to hear a f**king word about early voting ever again (except if it's about Nevada and from Jon Ralston, I guess).

Absolutely right, butttttt:




Bring on the early voting stats! My Body is ready.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #101 on: October 16, 2018, 07:12:10 PM »
Quote from: Coastal Elitist on October 16, 2018, 11:18:32 AM
California voting started October 8th. I wonder when they will start posting ballot returns cause I haven't seen anything yet.

https://www.politicaldata.com/absentee-vote-tracker/
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Crumpets
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« Reply #102 on: October 16, 2018, 07:13:14 PM »
Quote from: Virginiá on October 16, 2018, 07:03:54 PM
Bring on the early voting stats! My Body is ready.

More like
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Vern
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« Reply #103 on: October 17, 2018, 09:12:29 AM »
Early voting starts today in North Carolina. I'll probably vote toward the end of the week.
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #104 on: October 17, 2018, 09:56:47 AM »






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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #105 on: October 17, 2018, 10:11:20 AM »
Just as a quasi-comparison: in 2014, when there were approximately 210,000 early votes banked in GA (which was on October 22), the electorate was 66% white, 29% black and 5% other.

As of last night, approximately 210,000 early votes had been cast: the current electorate is 57% white, 32% black and 10% other.

Ultimately in 2014, the electorate became less white as early voting progressed and settled at 61% white, 33% black and 6% other; Nathan Deal won this group by less than 1 point.

By the way, this is a great resource for anybody who's not aware of it: http://georgiavotes.com/
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Gass3268
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« Reply #106 on: October 17, 2018, 10:26:45 AM »
Absentee voting is up 92.4% in Virginia compared to last year's state elections.

VA-10 in particular is up 153.7%.

Source
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RI
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« Reply #107 on: October 17, 2018, 10:53:37 AM »
I get why people are doing it, but I wish there were more comparisons to 2016 rather than 2014. This is going to be a high-turnout midterm, and the patterns we'll see will be much closer to the 2016 patterns.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #108 on: October 17, 2018, 11:22:25 AM »
Quote from: RI on October 17, 2018, 10:53:37 AM
I get why people are doing it, but I wish there were more comparisons to 2016 rather than 2014. This is going to be a high-turnout midterm, and the patterns we'll see will be much closer to the 2016 patterns.

Doing both would be useful.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #109 on: October 17, 2018, 09:37:18 PM »
Over 10,000 people voted in Davidson County, TN (Nashville) on the first day of early voting.

https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2018/10/17/nashville-early-voting-turnout-midterms-2018/1675688002/

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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #110 on: October 17, 2018, 11:10:17 PM »
Early California absentee returns:

Democrats 82,050
Republicans 62,087
Other 44,856

Returns in San Diego and the Central Valley with the exception of Nunes's district are very low. Also voters on both sides in Orange County seem to be energized.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #111 on: October 17, 2018, 11:37:45 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 17, 2018, 09:37:18 PM
Over 10,000 people voted in Davidson County, TN (Nashville) on the first day of early voting.

https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2018/10/17/nashville-early-voting-turnout-midterms-2018/1675688002/

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Not bad.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #112 on: October 18, 2018, 04:49:32 AM »
Kansas mailed ballots (as of 8:00 AM on 10/17):

128,220 Sent (compared to 133,822 in 2016; 89,285 in 2014)

GOP - 51,558 (40.21%)
DEM - 51,326 (40.02%)
UNA - 24,665 (19.24%)
LIB - 670 (0.53%)
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Brittain33
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« Reply #113 on: October 18, 2018, 05:45:33 AM »

Swift bump
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #114 on: October 18, 2018, 06:10:21 AM »


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IceSpear
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« Reply #115 on: October 18, 2018, 07:16:11 AM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on October 18, 2018, 04:49:32 AM
Kansas mailed ballots (as of 8:00 AM on 10/17):

128,220 Sent (compared to 133,822 in 2016; 89,285 in 2014)

GOP - 51,558 (40.21%)
DEM - 51,326 (40.02%)
UNA - 24,665 (19.24%)
LIB - 670 (0.53%)

Whoa. I can't imagine this is anywhere near typical in Kansas, right?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #116 on: October 18, 2018, 07:40:50 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 18, 2018, 07:16:11 AM
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on October 18, 2018, 04:49:32 AM
Kansas mailed ballots (as of 8:00 AM on 10/17):

128,220 Sent (compared to 133,822 in 2016; 89,285 in 2014)

GOP - 51,558 (40.21%)
DEM - 51,326 (40.02%)
UNA - 24,665 (19.24%)
LIB - 670 (0.53%)

Whoa. I can't imagine this is anywhere near typical in Kansas, right?

That's like GOP turnout equaling Dem turnout in Massachusetts. I know nothing about past patterns but it's not as if there's a vital Democratic party with a humming turnout machine in that state, no?
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #117 on: October 18, 2018, 08:09:40 AM »
^^^ FWIW, there are only 423 returned ballots in KS thus far: all UOCAVA ballots. Their breakdown:

DEM - 225 (53.2%)
GOP - 115 (17.2%)
UNA - 79 (18.7%)
LIB - 4 (0.9%)

I wonder how many of those are actually uniformed ballots...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #118 on: October 18, 2018, 12:43:31 PM »
Yesterday was the first day to vote early in TN, and here are the statistics.

2018: 109.472 people voted
2016: 141.654 people voted

For the 2018 primaries, 47.052 voted on the first day.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #119 on: October 18, 2018, 01:16:48 PM »
Steve Schale update out of Florida

While Republicans are currently up 6.31% with ballots returned, this is about only half the margin that was present at this point in 2014.
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Seattle
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« Reply #120 on: October 18, 2018, 01:32:36 PM »
Ballots were mailed out yesterday in WA.
As of 10/17, 3,411 ballots had been returned in King County.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #121 on: October 18, 2018, 02:58:11 PM »
Quote from: Seattle on October 18, 2018, 01:32:36 PM
Ballots were mailed out yesterday in WA.
As of 10/17, 3,411 ballots had been returned in King County.

I still haven't gotten mine Sad #EastCoastProblems
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #122 on: October 18, 2018, 03:26:20 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 18, 2018, 07:16:11 AM
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on October 18, 2018, 04:49:32 AM
Kansas mailed ballots (as of 8:00 AM on 10/17):

128,220 Sent (compared to 133,822 in 2016; 89,285 in 2014)

GOP - 51,558 (40.21%)
DEM - 51,326 (40.02%)
UNA - 24,665 (19.24%)
LIB - 670 (0.53%)

Whoa. I can't imagine this is anywhere near typical in Kansas, right?
Just eyeballing 2016 Party Affiliation numbers, Republicans had 807,912 registered voters, Democrats had 450,265, and NPA had a total of 544,194...Libertarians were at 15,556.

Even assuming that postal ballots skew Democratic, this is definitely not a good sign for the Kansas GOP.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #123 on: October 18, 2018, 07:19:33 PM »
Quote from: Crumpets on October 18, 2018, 02:58:11 PM
Quote from: Seattle on October 18, 2018, 01:32:36 PM
Ballots were mailed out yesterday in WA.
As of 10/17, 3,411 ballots had been returned in King County.

I still haven't gotten mine Sad #EastCoastProblems

Haven’t gotten mine either and I live in King
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #124 on: October 18, 2018, 07:47:48 PM »

Overall... What are the likely indications (if any) that could be drawn for early voting numbers in TN as a whole?
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