Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal

[Hindsight was 2020]

But at the same time Blum has been triaged, Young is in trouble, and the gov race is close. Is it really shocking to see Iowa Dems fired up?

[Hindsight was 2020]

At the Election project the question has been raised as to whether this could be the first midterm since 1914 to have a 50% or more turnout:

http://www.electproject.org/early_2018

Another observation I have is that the folks who are harassing Republican lawmakers are foolishly in the process of driving up the GOP turnout.  They are also in the process of making Senator McConnell a hero to Republicans.  I cannot understand why they are doing that.

Can someone explain this foolishness?

Yeah can’t a guy destroy our democratic norms, put an accused sexual assaulter on the SCOTUS, and politicize our courts all in a cynical bid for power have a nice dinner without being told to go f**k himself? The outrage

[Hindsight was 2020]

I don’t want to read too much in but Heller can’t afford to do badly in Washoe

[Hindsight was 2020]

Washoe numbers are in.

Bad #’s for Dean

[Hindsight was 2020]

Ok that article is clickbait as all hell seeing as it actually about mail in ballots which the GOP always does well in

[Hindsight was 2020]

Another big day in Clark https://mobile.twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1054508750390743040

[Hindsight was 2020]

BTW the guy who runs TargetSmart thinks NBC article isn’t a correct interpretation of his data https://mobile.twitter.com/tbonier/status/1054530925323845633

[Hindsight was 2020]

I must confess I’m getting nervous that turnout is getting too high to the point we might have a really polarized result

[Hindsight was 2020]

Honestly the one that’s got me down is Florida. It’s only one day but the Dems getting only 2k from that big of a turnout is atrocious in all honesty

[Hindsight was 2020]

The fact that Heidi is DOA but Heller could survive is disgusting

[Hindsight was 2020]

The fact that Heidi is DOA but Heller could survive is disgusting

Not exactly surprising that ND is more Republican than NV is Democratic, but if Washoe holds up, and Clark turnout is high, I'm still confident Heller goes down.

But Dems aren’t running up as big of margin they need to in Clark

[Hindsight was 2020]

The fact that Heidi is DOA but Heller could survive is disgusting

Not exactly surprising that ND is more Republican than NV is Democratic, but if Washoe holds up, and Clark turnout is high, I'm still confident Heller goes down.

But Dems aren’t running up as big of margin they need to in Clark

It's been 3 days.

But we are already seeing monster turnout already in a lot of areas. Heck Ralston practically wrote “Heller is going to survive” in his opt this morning.

[Hindsight was 2020]

The fact that Heidi is DOA but Heller could survive is disgusting

Not exactly surprising that ND is more Republican than NV is Democratic, but if Washoe holds up, and Clark turnout is high, I'm still confident Heller goes down.

But Dems aren’t running up as big of margin they need to in Clark

It's been 3 days.

But we are already seeing monster turnout already in a lot of areas. Heck Ralston practically wrote “Heller is going to survive” in his opt this morning.

That's not what he said, and he mentioned the possibility of rural turnout being cannibalized. We'll see over the next few days how real of a possibility that is.

But you touched on the problem that’s bothering me.We are seeing massive rural vote turnout already when this group is suppose to suck during midterms. After all the crap Trump has done we should be hearing the opposite. Why is Clark not murdering? Why are we doing this bad in Arizona? Why are we doing so bad in Indiana? We can’t just sit back and say “well they have registration advantage there” because then we’re just conceding AZ, MO, ND, IN, and MT based on partisanship alone

[Hindsight was 2020]

Clark likely to hit 25k turnout again https://mobile.twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1054891245611479040

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Okay Dean is going to win. Rural areas are on fire and Dems are not counter punching

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Nevada is the one state where you can draw early conclusions from EV and it’s not good. For god sakes Heller should be getting blanched for his record and the state he’s in

[Hindsight was 2020]

Okay Dean is going to win. Rural areas are on fire and Dems are not counter punching

What the hell are you talking about? Clark is going to have north of 20k turnout for the fourth straight day.

An Dems are not winning there as big as they should. This has been fours days now of the same trend

[Hindsight was 2020]

Okay Dean is going to win. Rural areas are on fire and Dems are not counter punching

What the hell are you talking about? Clark is going to have north of 20k turnout for the fourth straight day.

An Dems are not winning there as big as they should. This has been fours days now of the same trend

I don’t think we have today’s Clark results yet?

No and if they murder today I’ll gladly eat crow but there is no sign they will

[Hindsight was 2020]

First weekend - Democrats are turning out in droves!
First week - Not looking good for Democrats!
Second weekend - Huge surge for Democrats!
Second week - Republicans are making a comeback!
Third weekend - Democrats have probably won.

Hahahahahaha

Hit the nail right on the head.

I don’t remember Ralston being concerned about Hillary in the slightest during EV in Nevada

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Hindsight is pessimistic about a Democratic candidate's chances? Now I’ve seen it all.

Hey I was never big on the Beto train

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Why no Florida #’s for today?

[Hindsight was 2020]

In Clark County, the Dem returns are about 27% over Rep returns so far, whereas in 2016 they were 53% over Rep returns. This indicates good news for Republicans in Nevada. But again, keep calling me a troll for summarizing the data.

Yeah I’ve been mr doom and gloom here today but those #’s aren’t that bad Beet

[Hindsight was 2020]

In Clark County, the Dem returns are about 27% over Rep returns so far, whereas in 2016 they were 53% over Rep returns. This indicates good news for Republicans in Nevada. But again, keep calling me a troll for summarizing the data.

Yeah I’ve been mr doom and gloom here today but those #’s aren’t that bad Bagel

That's Beet, and I'm Bagel, and for the record, even I think Rosen wins.

Whoops

[Hindsight was 2020]

Clark was a bit better for Democrats today. 25.4K voted, Democrats won by about 10% (45.2-35.3), padding their lead by 2.5K.

Nice. Not great but a better result then the last two days

[Hindsight was 2020]

Something about Arizona feels off. McSally has been acting for weeks like she is down and desperate while we haven’t heard anything from people like HotJosh that the GOP feels great in Arizona yet these #’s look like McSally has all but won. Maybe they are losing 8%-10% of reps and indies by almost 60% in their own internal