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Author Topic: NY-Liberty Opinion (Reform/R internal): Cuomo +3  (Read 1017 times)
NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #25 on: September 15, 2018, 02:16:04 pm »

Next week: A poll will show Sanders up by only 11, and someone will start a thread about how a Senator Zupan would vote.
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Spenstar
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« Reply #26 on: September 15, 2018, 02:41:33 pm »

This is a junk poll. If you look at polls that have a ranking of B- or higher from 538, they show things from Cuomo +19 to Cuomo +31. He isnt losing this and this poll shouldn't be taken seriously. Next.
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #27 on: September 15, 2018, 03:45:34 pm »

What part do you think the Save America Party will play in this election?  It was polling in the 20s in some polls this summer.
 
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Beet
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« Reply #28 on: September 16, 2018, 02:10:55 am »

OK let's go over some top lines for Dem Governors:

Walz 45
Pritzker 44
Gillum 47
Brown 46
Cuomo 46
Evers 46
Edmonson 44
Abrams 45
Cordray 43
Newsom 44

LOL, these people are polling anywhere from tie to up 17, but their toplines are all the same in the mid-40s. In contrast, leading Republican governor candidates (Lee, Abbott, Ducey) easily break 50. It's like there's some conspiracy among Dem Gov candidates to poll in the mid-40s.
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jfern
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« Reply #29 on: September 16, 2018, 02:12:18 am »

OK let's go over some top lines for Dem Governors:

Walz 45
Pritzker 44
Gillum 47
Brown 46
Cuomo 46
Evers 46
Edmonson 44
Abrams 45
Cordray 43

LOL, these people are polling anywhere from tie to up 17, but their toplines are all the same in the mid-40s. In contrast, leading Republican governor candidates (Lee, Abbott, Ducey) easily break 50. It's like there's some conspiracy among Dem Gov candidates to poll in the mid-40s.

LOL at Gillum having the highest number there. If only Florida Democrats had gone with a sensible white moderate.
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #30 on: September 16, 2018, 02:37:34 am »

OK let's go over some top lines for Dem Governors:

Walz 45
Pritzker 44
Gillum 47
Brown 46
Cuomo 46
Evers 46
Edmonson 44
Abrams 45
Cordray 43
Newsom 44

LOL, these people are polling anywhere from tie to up 17, but their toplines are all the same in the mid-40s. In contrast, leading Republican governor candidates (Lee, Abbott, Ducey) easily break 50. It's like there's some conspiracy among Dem Gov candidates to poll in the mid-40s.

LMAO you actually unironically think this poll is anything above absolute trash and thus think Cuomo is at 46.
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Beet
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« Reply #31 on: September 16, 2018, 02:51:31 am »

OK let's go over some top lines for Dem Governors:

Walz 45
Pritzker 44
Gillum 47
Brown 46
Cuomo 46
Evers 46
Edmonson 44
Abrams 45
Cordray 43
Newsom 44

LOL, these people are polling anywhere from tie to up 17, but their toplines are all the same in the mid-40s. In contrast, leading Republican governor candidates (Lee, Abbott, Ducey) easily break 50. It's like there's some conspiracy among Dem Gov candidates to poll in the mid-40s.

LMAO you actually unironically think this poll is anything above absolute trash and thus think Cuomo is at 46.

My point is, even if it's a bad poll, it's still awfully weak for a Governor is a heavily D state, in a D year, who's an incumbent who just won his primary by a landslide. It's just one example of weakness in the D Governor slate. I think I posted earlier how nine Republican governors (Ricketts, Sununu, Baker, Hogan, McMaster, Hutchinson, Ivey, Abbott, Colyer, until he lost his primary) up for reelection have approval ratings +10 or higher, whereas no Democratic governors do. link. Democratic governance is unpopular.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #32 on: September 16, 2018, 04:37:56 am »

OK let's go over some top lines for Dem Governors:

Walz 45
Pritzker 44
Gillum 47
Brown 46
Cuomo 46
Evers 46
Edmonson 44
Abrams 45
Cordray 43
Newsom 44

LOL, these people are polling anywhere from tie to up 17, but their toplines are all the same in the mid-40s. In contrast, leading Republican governor candidates (Lee, Abbott, Ducey) easily break 50. It's like there's some conspiracy among Dem Gov candidates to poll in the mid-40s.

LMAO you actually unironically think this poll is anything above absolute trash and thus think Cuomo is at 46.

My point is, even if it's a bad poll, it's still awfully weak for a Governor is a heavily D state, in a D year, who's an incumbent who just won his primary by a landslide. It's just one example of weakness in the D Governor slate. I think I posted earlier how nine Republican governors (Ricketts, Sununu, Baker, Hogan, McMaster, Hutchinson, Ivey, Abbott, Colyer, until he lost his primary) up for reelection have approval ratings +10 or higher, whereas no Democratic governors do. link. Democratic governance is unpopular.

Yes, but in WI, MI, IL, and NM all Dem takeovers, GOp incumbents are weak, as well, even LePage in ME.

It's an  anti-incumbent mood😁
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