I'm still not sure whether this is a tossup or lean D.
Tester is definitely favored. No way is this the critical seat for the Democrats taking back the Senate.
Fortunately for you, Tester isn’t as complacent and overconfident as most of his supporters.
I agree that this is one of the more predictable races, though. Rosendale could win (narrowly) if Republicans are having than better than expected night, but in a Democratic year he likely loses by 3-5 points or something like that. Tester winning by double digits was never going to happen (which should have been obvious to everyone).