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July 18, 2019, 10:08:27 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  MT: YouGov/CBS - Tester +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT: YouGov/CBS - Tester +2  (Read 1286 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: September 16, 2018, 11:28:50 am »

WHAT?!?!?!?!?!?!!!!!!!!!!!!11111111111111111111111111111111!!!!!!!!!!!!!!? NO WAY!!1!

Still Safe #populist Purple heart/D/retail politixx.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2018, 02:08:52 pm »

Tester is doomed, long live King Rosendale. Etc, etc.
daddy Rosendale needs to come back to us in MD.

Maryland Matt for MD-GOV 2022 Tongue Heíd definitely have a much better chance of winning that race than even winning Garfield or Petroleum against Teaster.
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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2018, 03:04:18 pm »

Which race does Rosendale have a better chance of winning? This Senate race or NH-SEN 2020?

Oof, both states are elastic libertarian havens, but Iíd say NH-SEN, not just because Shaheen is a much weaker incumbent, but because NH at least has a few pretty Republican towns, whereas in Montana even hardcore Republicans are pretty much swing voters who only care about small government and have pretty libertarian views in general, but particularly on social issues. Honestly, Seattle is arguably more conservative than rural Montana, tbh.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2018, 03:28:37 pm »

Let's just wait and see here.  Still Lean R due to the state fundamentals and they literally rewarded someone who assaulted a reporter.

Iím sorry, but this is a very, very dumb comment for many reasons.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2018, 03:57:11 am »
« Edited: September 18, 2018, 04:01:10 am by MT Treasurer »

I'm still not sure whether this is a tossup or lean D.

Tester is definitely favored. No way is this the critical seat for the Democrats taking back the Senate.

Fortunately for you, Tester isnít as complacent and overconfident as most of his supporters.

I agree that this is one of the more predictable races, though. Rosendale could win (narrowly) if Republicans are having than better than expected night, but in a Democratic year he likely loses by 3-5 points or something like that. Tester winning by double digits was never going to happen (which should have been obvious to everyone).
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