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Author Topic: TN-SSRS: Lee +9  (Read 367 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: September 17, 2018, 11:18:51 am »

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/09/17/politics/cnn-polls-arizona-tennessee-senate/index.html

Lee 52
Dean 43
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Neoliberalbusters
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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2018, 11:50:43 am »

Seems close to the final margin, as opposed to Lee winning by 20 (LOL).
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2018, 11:56:04 am »

While this race isn't competitive like the Senate race, we'll almost certainly see a narrower margin than we saw in 2016.
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Noted Irishman
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2018, 11:59:47 am »

An average of the 2 polls is probably closer to reality. I don't see Bredesen coming within striking distance while Dean simultaneously loses by 20+ (lol) but at the same time, Bredesen's success and appeal aren't inherently going to create huge coat-tails.
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mollybecky
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« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2018, 02:25:13 pm »

The situation is flipped from 2002 when Bredesen was the gubernatorial candidate and ran well ahead of Bob Clement, the Nashville congressman running for Senate.  Bredesen is a unique candidate for the Tennessee political environment with many Republicans (hopefully enough) to cross over to vote for him.  I don't see the same for Karl Dean.
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TX more competitive than OH
Mizzouian
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« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2018, 07:09:41 pm »

I think Bredesen has a decent chance of winning his race if Lee is winning the gubernatorial race by upper single digits to low double digits. Much less of a hill to climb for enough ticket splitters.
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