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  Atlas Forum
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: TJ in Oregon, Virginiá)
  How did Trump win Florida (search mode)
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Author Topic: How did Trump win Florida  (Read 4684 times)
Timothy87
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« on: December 26, 2018, 10:57:17 am »

Trump has longtime connections to Florida. The large population of NY/NJ transplants would certainly be receptive to him. Probably some backlash to Obama on Cuba policy helped hold the Cuban vote. Clinton weakness with black voters kept that turnout down a bit but what did it was the huge swing in non college educated whites. Florida is filled with them. Despite overall state growth, turnout in key areas went down in 2012 (Volusia, Lee, Pasco, Hernando, Brevard, Okaloosa, Highlands) where Romney needed big numbers to win

I think the Pulse shooting actually helped Clinton, because Orlando swung hard Dem, probably in anger over gun violence (same way Newtown, CT has)
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