Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 17, 2019, 01:27:25 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TX Quinnipiac: Cruz leads Beto by 9, 54-45
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] Print
Poll
Question: Will Cruz win?
#1Cruz will win  
#2Cruz will lose  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 60

Author Topic: TX Quinnipiac: Cruz leads Beto by 9, 54-45  (Read 2874 times)
Progressive Pessimist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,316
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #75 on: October 09, 2018, 08:24:23 pm »

Beto is probably not gonna win

You can remove "probably" from that sentence.
Logged
IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,915
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #76 on: October 11, 2018, 04:15:06 am »

Quote
I highly, highly doubt that. If Roy Moore couldn't win a Trump +28 state that is notoriously inelastic, he would never win a Trump +9 state.

Are you from Texas? Serious question. Look at Abbott's numbers. The way things work in Texas is that everything is connected. Governor, Senate, etc are all drawing from the same pool. Texas is very, very, very good at GOTV as well as fighting tooth and nail.

I'm rolling through the Alabama GOP turnout figures. Moore wins with another percent turnout in his favor. Alabama also had their issues with the primary where Moore won, and the whole show around that.

In Texas, how it would have worked is that there wouldn't have been another candidate against Moore and he would have ran unopposed within the GOP. Once they decided that Moore was (and remains) a good fit for the state they would have run on that.

Yes, Texas has different challenges from Alabama, but it has competent state organization and very, very solid GOP organization. MS, and particularly AL just don't compare. They don't have the R history of Texas, nor do they have two former presidents and their organizations all in-state. You also have a large number of Dems flipped R, which AL and MS and GA seem to prefer.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC